2018 Coral Eclipse Free Tips and Trends

Run over 1m2f at Sandown Park racecourse in early July the Coral-Eclipse Stakes is open to horses aged 3 or older and with 13 of the last 15 winners having already landed a Group One contest in their careers then it often attracts some of the best horses from around the world.

In recent years, we’ve seen 2 of the last 9 Epsom Derby winners from that season go onto land the Coral-Eclipse, while favourites have a decent record – winning 7 of the last 16 and being placed in 12 of the last 16.

Here at TRAINERS-QUOTES we look back at recent winners and highlights the key stats to be looking out for ahead of the 2018 renewal – this year run on Saturday 7th July.

 

Coral-Eclipse Stakes Past Winners

2017 – Ulysses (8/1)
2016 – Hawkbill (6/1)
2015 – Golden Horn (4/9 fav)
2014 – Mukhadram (14/1)
2013 – Al Kazeem (15/8 fav)
2012 – Nathaniel (7/2)
2011 – So You Think (4/11 fav)
2010 – Twice Over (13/8 fav)
2009 – Sea The Stars (4/7 fav)
2008 – Mount Nelson (7/2)
2007 – Notnowcato (7/1)
2006 –David Junior (9/4)
2005 –Oratorio (12/1)
2004 –Refuse To Bend (15/2)
2003 –Falbrav (8/1)
2002 – Hawk Wing (8/15 fav)

Eclipse Stakes Betting Trends

16/16 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
13/16 – Won by a previous Group One winner
13/16 – Had at least 2 runs already that season
12/16 – Raced between 2 and 3 times that season
12/16 – Placed favourites
11/16 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out (three won there)
11/16 – Placed in their last race
7/16 – Favourites that won
5/16 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
4/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
4/16 – Raced in the Epsom Derby that season
4 of the last 11 winners won last time out
2 of the last 9 Derby winners of that season went onto win the race
The last 6 year-old to win the race was in 1886
The average winning SP in the last 16 runnings is 5/1

 

Other Eclipse Stakes Trainer Facts

Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2011, 2008, 2005, 2002 & 2000
Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 2007, 2001, 1997, 1994, 1993 & 2017
Godolphin-owned horses have won the race in 2004, 1998, 1996, 1995 & 2016
Trainer John Gosden has won 2 of the last 6 runnings

 

TQ VERDICT: It’s was on! Yes, the three-way showdown between the Epsom Derby winner, third and fourth was set up nicely but in some late drama on Friday night the Derby winner- Masar – will now MISS THE RACE after banging his leg. However, we’ve still the Derby third Roaring Lion and fourth Saxon Warrior, who has since also flopped in the Irish Derby, in the race in a fascinating match-up. The drop back in trip – from 1m4f to 1m2f – will be a huge factor here though and many feel it will suit those in-behind Masar much better. Saxon Warrior and Roaring Lion didn’t seem to quite get home over 1m4f in the Derby and that was evident again for Saxon Warrior last weekend in the Irish Derby. This 1m2f trip could, therefore, be perfect for them both and Roaring Lion has already backed that up with a 4 length romp in the Dante Stakes over this trip earlier this season. However, with Saxon Warrior looking to have had a hard race last Saturday at the Curragh I still think he’s vulnerable here. Hawkbill is the 2016 winner of this race so can’t be underestimated, even if he has run a bit below-par this season. He did, however, win the Group One Sheema Classic over 1m4f back in March and that form would see him go well at a big price. O’Brien also runs Cliffs Of Moher, but last year’s Derby runner-up has fallen short at the highest level, but their HAPPILY would certainly be an alternative and spoil the party for the main two in the betting. She gets a handy 13lbs from the older horses in the race and 3lbs from the Derby boys. Okay, she’s yet to win over this trip but was a very close fourth over it last time in France and was also a two-time Group One winner over in France last season. Her third in the Irish 1,000 Guineas has since been franked with the winner dotting-up in the Coronation Stakes at Ascot so she can be expected to go well too. Forest Ranger is the final one to note. He’s done very well since being gelded over the winter (2-from-2) and will head here fresher than most after last being seen winning the Huxley Stakes at Chester. This leap into Group One company makes life harder but he’s a horse going the right way and clearly enjoy having a tiny bit less weight to carry in his undercarriage!