2018 Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe Betting Trends & Free Tips

Run over 1m4f the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe is one of Europe’s most valuable Group One contests that is open to horses of either sex that are aged 3 or older and staged at Longchamp racecourse.

In recent years the contest has been dominated by the younger horses with 11 of the last 16 winners being aged 3 years-old, while the same amount – 11 of the last 16 – came here off the back of a last time out victory. Last year we saw the John Gosden-trained Enable land the race and if lining-up again in 2018 will be looking to become only the second horse since 1978 win land back-to-back Arcs.
As always, we are on-hand with all the key stats for the 2018 Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe – this year run on Sunday 7th October.

Here at TQ we are on-hand with all the key stats for the 2018 Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe – this year run on Sunday 7th October.

 

Recent Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe Winners

2017 – Enable (10/11 fav)
2016 – Found (6/1)
2015 – Golden Horn (9/2)
2014 – Treve (11/1)
2013 – Treve (9/2)
2012 – Solemia (33/1)
2011 – Danedream (20/1)
2010 – Workforce (6/1)
2009 – Sea The Stars (4/6 fav)
2008 – Zarkava (13/8 fav)
2007 – Dylan Thomas (11/2)
2006 – Rail Link (4/7 fav)
2005 – Hurricane Run (11/4)
2004 – Bago (10/1)
2003 – Dalakhani (9/4)
2002 – Marienbard (158/10)

Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe Betting Trends

15/16 – Had won a Group 1 race before
14/16 – Had won over 1m4f before
13/16 – Had 4 or more runs that season
12/16 – Drawn in stall 8 or lower
12/16 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting
11/16 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
11/16 – Had won at least 5 times before
11/16 – Won last time out
11/16 – Aged 3 years-old
10/16 – Had run at Longchamp before
9/16 – Had won at Longchamp previously
8/16 – Won by a French-based yard
8/16 – Placed favourites
7/16 – Ran at Longchamp last time out
7/16 – Female winners
4/16 – Winning favourites
4/16 – Won by a UK-based yard
2/16 – Trained by Andre Fabre (won the race 7 times in all)
2/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (2016, 2007)
3 of the last 9 Epsom Derby winners that season have won
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 15/2
Trainer John Gosden has won 2 of the last 3 runnings
Since 1976 we’ve seen just 2 winners aged 5 or older
18 of the last 24 winners were aged 3 years-old
Jockey Olivier Peslier has won the race 4 times
Jockey Frankie Dettori has won the race 5 times

 

 

It’s Arc Day in France this Sunday as a stellar field line-up for the Qatar Prix de l’ Arc de Triomphe, with the winner set to pocket a monster £2.5million.

Trainer John Gosden has won two of the last three runnings and he’ll be looking to win the race for a second year on the spin with his talented mare ENABLE. She will be looking to become the first back-to-back winner of the race since Treve (2013/2014) and only the second horse to land two Arcs since 1979.

She’s been lightly-raced this season but returned at Kempton on the All Weather last month to blow away the cobwebs and win her seventh race on the spin. Frankie Dettori is in the saddle again and the pocket Italian will be looking to win this race for a sixth time.

She’s been handed a top draw in 6 too – backed up with 11 of the last 16 winners of this race coming from stalls 6 or lower! Add in that some of her main rivals – including Kew Gardens (14), Sea Of Class (15) and Waldgeist (13) – having bad draws then it’s hard to look beyond her.

Yes, this year as a 4 year-old she will have more weight to carry – she won with just 8st 9lbs last year but will have 9st 2lbs this time but being an older and stronger horse that’s not a big issue.

With the race being run at Chantilly last year then those looking for something to take her on with might look to this being her first run at the track, but she’s now won at eight different venues so has shown she’s more than capable of honing her talents in different conditions.

The other horses drawn low are Clincher (1), Patascoy (2), Nelson (3), Capri (4), Tiberian (5) and of that bunch the O’Brien-trained CAPRI (e/w) might also be worth a small saver. He was only 5th in the Prix Foy here behind Waldgeist but that was his first run for 5 months so can be expected to have come on a lot for it. Softer ground will help too and don’t forget last year’s Group One St Leger winner stays a bit further than this trip, so we can expect connections to make full use of that stamina.

Of course, Waldgeist, who will be looking to give legendary French trainer Andre Fabre his eighth win in the race is feared. He’s won his last four in impressive fashion, but – as mentioned – draw 13 is not ideal. The same applies to Sea Of Class from draw 15. But on a plus, this 3 year-old has won her last two at this Group One level and also gets in here with just 8st 9lbs to carry – the same weight as Enable won with 12 months ago. That means she will get 7lbs from Enable so despite the poor draw that weight allowance means she can’t be totally ruled out. Jockey James Doyle will have to work some magic from the saddle.

However, it’s still ENABLE for me, with a little saver on the Ballydoyle runner – Capri – who is sure to have come on a lot for his last run.