TQ Weekend Wrap – Free Horse Racing Tips and Trends: 9th June 2018

TQ Weekend Wrap – Free Horse Racing Tips and Trends: 9th June 2018

 

  • LIVE Saturday Racing Across Three Meetings……………
  • This Weekend We are At Haydock, Newmarket & Musselburgh
  • TQ: Birthday ‘Treasure’ For Snowden…………
  • SNOWY: Our Pro Punter Banks 101pts For Members in May…..

 

 

Hi,

So, that’s another week done-and-dusted!!

We are now firmly into June and racing towards the halfway point of the year – it probably won’t be long before we see a John Lewis Christmas ad on the tele!!

Moving on…………………

This Saturday is certainly not one of the standouts on the racing calendar but what the afternoon of LIVE ITV Racing might lack in quality, it certainly makes up for in quantity.

Yes, we’ve eight races spread across three venues with Musselburgh, Newmarket and Haydock the tracks in question.

Some competitive handicaps to look forward, including the Sprint Cup up at Musselburgh. However, Haydock is the feature meeting this Saturday with four LIVE races to take in.

We’ve the Listed Achilles Stakes to enjoy, plus the Group Three John Of Gaunt and Pinnacle Stakes as the main events.

In other news………………….

Pro Punter Banks 101pts in May: Also – be sure to check out our sister site at Tipster Platforms – we’ve loads of top industry tipsters under our roof, including ‘Snowy’ a pro punter that has bagged members over 750pts in profit since he joined us in 2016 – plus another 101pts pocketed last month. Well worth a look and all bets are proofed to the TP boys (more below).

So, a bumper day to look forward to with EIGHT LIVE races to enjoy from three tracks – as always, we’ll be hoping to find plenty more winners for you and as always, we’ve got it all covered with free tips and all key trends for the LIVE races. Enjoy!

 

Have a Great Weekend – Enjoy!

 

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This Week At Trainers-Quote:

Birthday Delight For Snowden…………………………..

Unfortunately, no joy in the Derby last week for the Harry Dunlop-trained Knight To Behold but Harry told us it was a great experience and hopefully they will have a horse good enough to run in the race again at some stage in the future.

However, it’s still been another top week here at Trainers-Quotes with more returns to cheer about!! Including a top ‘Birthday’ winner for trainer Jamie Snowden after his DOUBLE TREASURE won well for the yard at Fontwell on Tuesday.

Yes, the horse returned at 4/6 and most of the time we expect horses at his price to get the job done but there was plenty of 11/10 and 5/4 on offer during the day for TQ members to snap-up. (see below what members were told by Jamie)

The good form of the Jamie Snowden yard didn’t end there as they also sent out Havisham to win at Fakenham on Sunday at a tasty 8/1. A useful former flat horse that has taken time to get the hang of things over hurdles but after a great front-running ride from the promising Page Fuller got off the mark over the sticks and looks a horse to follow in that sort of form.

 

Here’s just a snippet of what members were told this week…………………………

 

“Double Treasure – Is in great form and should relish going back over hurdles. There are a couple in here to make him think a bit but I couldn’t be happier with our chap.”

1st 4/6 Jamie Snowden

 

“Krystallite – Great run to be second last time here over this trip. Same make and same jockey so every reason to think we can go close again here.”

1st 7/2 Scott Dixon

 

“Oud Metha Bridge – Has had a great winter on the AW. We ran him on the turf last run as he is 10lbs lower on grass but I think he is better on the AW. Course and distance winner here and some nice prize money on offer. The Gosden horse to beat, but hopefully he will be in the shake-up again with Shelley riding.”

3rd 25/1 Julia Feilden

 

“Havisham – Was half decent on the flat. He was off for a while with an injury and has taken a while to educate him over hurdles. He should appreciate the step up in trip and on handicap debut we should see an improved performance here on decent ground.”

1st 8/1 Jamie Snowden

 

“Big Lachie – In good order at home and has come on for his recent return run at Ripon. We’ve got the Butler horse to beat – King Crimson – but a nice draw in 2 helps. However, going to be hard to beat the favourite as 4lb well-in and finished ahead of us last time (2nd, when we were 4th) but we’ll give it a go.”

1st 5/1 Mark Loughnane

 

“Billy Booth – Won here last time out over 5f but the way he ran on that day suggests this step up to 6f is a good move. Only raised 2lbs for that and sticking with the visor here that seemed to do the trick last time. Draw 9 not 100% ideal as might need a bit of luck in-running from there but is very well and hopeful of another good showing. Decent each-way.”

1st 8/1 Gay Kelleway

 

“Hint Of Grey – Disappointing last run at Brighton on debut for the yard. But that was her first run for 4 months. Upped in trip today and hopefully the ground should suit. Has also run well at this track before and hoping for a better run today.”

1st 3/1 Gary Moore

 

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Don’t forget the TQ VIEW daily selection is what the team feel is the ‘best quote’ of the day. With over 5 years’ experience speaking to all the trainers they are in no better place to sort the wheat from the chaff!

Yet again more proof that our TQ info that – don’t forget comes direct from the yards each day – is a must-have for any serious punter!

Also, a lot of our members use the TRAINERS-QUOTES info to lay horses as well as back them – there are plenty of angles these days with the betting exchanges!! Or even back other horses in certain races with the trainers also taking about other horses in races they’ve heard good words about!

 

YOUR direct line through to the UK’s TOP Trainers – EVERY time they have a horse running…

Be a fly-on-the-wall at the UK’s TOP yards…

Continue to peek behind the stable door to see how the horses are REALLY performing at home… And what the Trainers REALLY think about their chances…?

Get involved and tap into top daily info from 20 leading yards, below – Just drop us a line here and we can discuss any offers we’ve got on at the moment.

 

You can check out all the latest winning quotes on the main site here………..

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LIVE Saturday Racing: 8 Races Across Three Venues…….

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

3.05 – Animal Health Trust Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-105) 7f ITV4

One previous running
Trainer Mark Johnston has a 20% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer William Haggas has a 21% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer David Baron has a 20% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Hannon is just 12 from 132 with his 3 year-olds at the track

TQ VERDICT: Just the one previous running of this race to go on. With only 12 winning 3 year-olds from this last 132 sent to post then trainer Richard Hannon doesn’t actually do that well here. He does, however, have a leading chance with Yafta to try and improve those stats – a horse that has finished in the top two in five of his 6 races (2 wins). Stamina would, however, be a concern after being a beaten favourite over this trip on his only try over it. A recent win over 6f was encouraging though so it’s easy to see why connections are giving it another crack. The David Baron yard do well here with their 3 year-olds (20%) so their Fake News is a contender. He won well at Wolves last time out but conditions here will be a lot different, plus he’s up 8lbs and the second that day has done little to frank the form since. Stormbringer and RUFUS KING look to have lively outside chances too – especially the last-named with Ryan Moore booked to ride. This 3 year-old will find this drop in grade much easier than last time but, having said that, still ran well to be third that day at Epsom. The quicker ground will help and although he’s got to give weight away does set the standard as the highest-rated in the field (103). The Mark Johnston yard also boast a decent 20% record at the track with their 3 year-olds. Stoute’s Georgian Manor is sure to be popular too after a smooth maiden win at Beverley last time out. Connections clearly feel he’s up to the rise in grade and must be one for the shortlist but this would be a big step up in grade. So, it’s CAVATINA that gets the second vote here. This 3 year-old filly was a good winner at Leicester last time over this trip and looks worth a try in this better grade. A 9lb rise looks a tad harsh but she did it well and Haggas is another with a good record at the track with this age group (21%) – she can go well.

3.40 – John Sunley Memorial Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 1m6f ITV4

One previous running
Trainer Mark Johnston won this race 12 months ago
Horse from stall 12 won this race 12 months ago
Trainer Mark Johnston has a 21% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Josie Gordon is 0 from 15 riding older horses at the track

TQ VERDICT: Only one past running to go on here but with trainer Mark Johnston winning the pot 12 months ago, and also having a decent 21% record at the track with his 4+ year-olds, then his two runners – SOLIDER IN ACTION and ADDICTED TO YOU appeal. The last-named looks their better hope according to the betting and that’s no surprise after a nice win at Chelmsford last time out. That was over 2m so we know he stays further than this 1m6f trip but the 10 length victory couldn’t have been more impressive. Back on the turf here but the quick ground will suit and a 10lb rise for that win looks fair enough – there could be more to come. Their other runner – Soldier In Action – has been a tad disappointing of late but as a result is dropping down the ratings and off 101 is now looking very attractive and looks a nice each-way option if bouncing back to form. Of the rest, course winners Great Hall, Quloob, Fire Jet, Amazing Red and Mark Hopkins are others to note, while the consistent Bryon Flyer, with Ryan Moore booked to ride looks sure to be involved at the business end too.

 

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

 

2.15 Betway Middle Distance Handicap Cl3 (3yo) 1m4f ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer Hugo Palmer has a 20% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Ralph Beckett has a 16% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey William Buick has a 24% record riding 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Richard Kingscote has a 22% record riding 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Silvestre De Sousa has a 22% record riding 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Oisin Murphy is just 3 from 36 riding 3 year-olds at the track

TQ VERDICT: A very tight race here with just six runners heading to post and really it looks as if they all have a squeak. Sea Youmzain and Jack Regan are the two recent winners in the field but as a result are up 6lbs and 5lbs, plus also upped in grade. Of the two Sea Youmzain might have more to offer but I would be concerned that his only try over this 1m4f trip resulted in being beaten favourite. Star Of Southwold was last seen running fifth in the Lingfield Derby Trial, but was 15 lengths back that day and despite this being a much easier grade I think he’s still got a bit to prove over this distance. The Ralph Beckett camp must feel that Podemos is better than what he’s shown to date and with just three runs should have more to come. The stable also has a fair 16% record with their 3 year-olds here and should not be far away. Another yard that do well here at the track is Hugo Palmer (20%) – they run Morning Skye. However, his sole win has been on the AW and is yet to run over this far. So, that leaves us with the Godolphin runner – NIGHT STORY. Yes, the horse has been poor of late but being the only proven distance winner in the field must count for something. He’s only had one run on the turf too so that last run would have taught him a fair bit and is also down a pound. William Buick also does well riding 3 year-olds here (24%) strike-rate so there cold be some value in giving this Charlie Appleby runner another chance.

 

2.50 Betway Pinnacle Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m3f ITV4

15/15 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
13/15 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
13/15 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
12/15 – Rated 92 or higher
11/15 – Placed favourites
11/15 – Had won over 1m4f before
11/15 – Aged 4 years-old
10/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/15 – Drawn in stall 5 or lower
5/15 – Had run at Haydock before
4/15 – Won last time out
4/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Trained by Roger Varian
2/15 – Trained by John Gosden
2/15 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 5/1

TQ VERDICT: A decent Group Three to look forward to here. The German raider – Forsun – will be hard to assess but she’s a Listed winner in her homeland and has decent form on good ground. The champion jockey – Silvestre De Sousa – has also been booked to ride this 5 year-old so she can’t be totally discounted. However, with 11 of the last 15 winners aged 4, she does fall down on this trend. Okay, most of the runners in the race fit the bill here (4 years-old) but with 13 of the last 15 also finishing in the top three last time out then this knocks out a few more. We’ve seen four winning favourites in the last 15 runnings, while it’s generally a race the punters get right with 10 of the last 15 winners coming from the top three in the market. The Prescott horses are starting to fire and with a decent 36% record at the track with their runners their consistent Melinoe enters the mix. She’s a bit to find at the weights but is a solid handicapper that deserves a crack at this higher level – but she does look more likely to fill a place, rather than win. Another yard in cracking order is the William Haggas team and they also do very well here at Haydock with a 28% record with their older horses here. They run two – What A Home and MAM’SELLE. Both are respected but jockey bookings suggest the last-named is their main hope. James Doyle rides this 4 year-old, who should be coming to the boil after two runs this season. Last time she was tried over 1m6f but didn’t really get home so the drop back to 1m4f is a huge plus. She’s the first one for the shortlist. The 101-rated Titi Makfi and the 105-rated God Given are others to respect, especially the last-named Cumani runner as she’s the only proven course and distance winner in the field. She’ll be a lot fitter for a recent fourth at Ascot. Of the rest, the consistent Cribbs Causeway should be far away and looks a banker for placepot and each-way players and Company Asset is weighted to go well. However, the other one I like here is CRIMSON ROSETTE. This Charlie Fellowes-trained 4 year-old was a good winner last time at Doncaster and certainly looks an improver. She powered away to win a Class 3 Handicap at Doncaster last time and the step up to 1m2f looks likely to bring out even more. The second has since won to frank the form and with only six career runs on the turf looks to have plenty of scope for improvement.

 

3.25 Betway Achilles Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo) 5f ITV4

9/9 – Returned 14/1 or shorter
8/9 – Aged 5 or older
8/9 – Had raced in the last 10 weeks
8/9 – Won between 6-8 times before
8/9 – Didn’t win last time out
8/9 – Had won over 5f before
7/9 – Drawn between stalls 2-7 (inc)
6/9 – Had run at the course before
6/9 – Winning distance 1 length or less
6/9 – Had finished in the top 5 last time out
5/9 – Unplaced favourites
4/9 – Winning favourites
Final Venture (9/4) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 13/2

TQ VERDICT: Plenty of old sprint faces on show here. Last year’s winner – Final Venture – is a good place to start. This 6 year-old is one of just two proven course and distance winners in the field and after a close third last time out at York heads here in decent order. He’ll be cherry-ripe after three runs this season, but it is worth noting last year’s win came on soft ground. Trainer Robert Cowell took this in 2015 and he’ll be trying to add to that success with Encore D’Or and Blue Vega running for his yard. However, despite rarely running a bad race Blue Vega has been hard to win with, while Encore D’Or won’t find it easy giving weight to the others. Gracious John is the other proven course and distance winner in the field but is also another that has to give weight away so is overlooked. The 9 year-old Duke Of Firenze looks as if he’s still got a race in him but I just feel that might come at Handicap level with time now slightly catching up with him. The 101-rated Doctor Sardonicus can’t be ruled out and should not be far away either but might just be a better horse in the AW with 5 of his 7 career wins coming at one of the AW tracks. It’s the 8 year-old Muthmir that sets the clear standard off a rating of 111 and also after a fine fifth to the classy Battaash here in the Group Two Temple Stakes last time out. However, with just two wins from his last 16 races he’s not always an easy horse to catch right and might not be much value in the betting here. So, with that in mind, I also like here is JUDICIAL. Rated just 4lbs lower than Muthmir but at 6 year-olds has age on his side and could have more to come. He returned at HQ last time with a close second in the Group Three Palace House Stakes – a race that should have him spot-on for this. He sweated a bit before the race that day and also hung a bit in the closing stages so to run as well as he did with all that going on too further adds to how good a run it was. Of the rest, ALPHA DELPHINI, who is rated 105, was a close third behind Judicial last time too and is also worthy of an interest. This Bryan Smart runner has only been beaten more than 2 lengths in 6 of his last 7 races, while his only run here at the track resulted in a close third in the 2017 Group Two Temple Stakes – a repeat of that effort would see him go close.

 

4.00 Betway John Of Gaunt Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 7f ITV4

14/15 – Rated 107 or higher
14/15 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
13/15 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
12/15 – Came from the top three in the betting
12/15 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Had won over 7f before
10/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/15 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
10/15 – Drawn in stall 3 or lower
9/15 – Favourites placed
9/15 – Had won at least 4 times before
5/15 – Had run at the track before
4/15 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/15 – Aged 9 years-old
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1

TQ VERDICT: With 13 of the last 15 winners drawn in stalls 6 or lower then of the 8 runners – Emmaus (7) and Dutch Connection (8) have this to overcome. However, of that pair Emmaus is a colt that could certainly have more to offer. This 4 year-old has won three of his four starts to date, including a smooth Listed class win at Leicester last time. There could be more to come but my only niggle is that all three career wins have been at Leicester, plus all three have come with some degree of cut underfoot. The Godolphin pair – Dutch Connection and D’bai – are hard split and they also won the race in 2016. The Charles Hills-trained Dutch Connection can be expected to improve for his excellent fourth in the Group One Lockinge Stakes last time out. This drop in grade makes him a big player and is also the highest-rated in the field. The yard has a decent 20% record with their older horses here too. The only concern would be the dreaded ‘bounce-factor’ with that recent good run coming off a 218 day break, while 10 of the last 15 winners were aged 4 or 5. D’bai ran a blinder to be second to the classy The Tin Man at Windsor last time out in a Listed race and should be better for it. He can go well but does probably have a bit to find at this level with wins to date coming in lower grades. Course and distance winner Muntadab is respected too, while Mr Owen and Larchmont Lad, whose yard had a third in this race 12 months ago, are others that are not too far behind the principles in terms of ratings. However, the call here is TABARRAK. This 5 year-old caught the eye when winning over course and distance here in the Listed Spring Trophy last time out and should have more to come. From 13 career runs on the turf, he’s finished in the top two 10 times (5 wins), with this 7f trip looking his best distance (4 wins), plus the Hannon camp boasts a decent 18% record with their older horses at the track.

 

 

Musselburgh Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.55 – Edinburgh Gin’s Seaside Gin Handicap Cl3 (4yo+) 1m4 1/2f ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer Rebecca Bastiman has a 20% (+23) record with her older horses at the track
Trainer Ralph Beckett is 1-from-1 with his older horses at the track
Trainer Tim Easterby is 5 from 65 with his older horses at the track

TQ VERDICT: Theglasgowwarrior and Dance King are proven course and distance winners here at the track but despite that being a plus do have a bit to find on these terms with a few of the others. However, this looks to rest between the Ralph Beckett-trained Western Duke and the William Haggas runner Reverend Jacobs. The first-named was a fair third on his return run at Ascot last time and with the yard 1-from-1 with their runners here then they generally don’t make the long trip up for nothing. Everything points to a big run. The call, however, is REVEREND JACOBS. The Haggas team are another that don’t often leave empty-handed when running here at Musselburgh. This 4 year-old returned with a gutsy neck win at York last time out and should have more to come. Yes, he’s up 8lbs for that but this extra ½ a furlong should help and you just get the feeling there’s more in the locker.

 

2.30 – Edinburgh Gin Scottish Sprint Cup Handicap Cl2 (4yo+) 5f ITV4

13/14 – Won over 5f before
11/14 – Favourites that finished in the top 5
11/14 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
11/14 –  Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/14 – Carried 9-1 or less
9/14 – Had won between 2-5 times before
9/14 – Came from a double-figure stall
9/14 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
9/14 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/14 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
6/14 – Won last time out
4/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Trained by Bryan Smart
Line Of Reason (11/1) won the race in 2017
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 16/1

TQ VERDICT: LINE OF REASON was a good winner of this race 12 months ago and would have had this as a target during this first half of the season. Okay, some average runs this term so he needs to bounce back but on a plus and as a result of that is running off a 7lb lower rating. He won from draw 8 last year so 7 this time looks fine, while Joe Fanning, who rode him last year, is also back in the saddle. He had Caspian Prince (4th), El Astronaute (7th), Orion’s Bow (11th) and Bowsen Fred (16th) in behind that day too. Of that bunch, El Astronaute looks to have improved this season with a string of solid efforts and a bold bid from the front from this speedy sort is expected. Move In Time is another that is having a good time of it at the moment. This 10 year-old is defying his age and was very impressive when winning by 3 ½ lengths at HQ last time out. More is needed here off another 7lb hike in the ratings but is a sprinter in rude health at the moment. Cases can certainly be made for Major Jumbo and Copper Knight – however, the other two I like here are FERNDALE and DARK SHOT. Ferndale represents the Bryan Smart yard who have liked to target this race in the past. With just 8-4 he gets in with a featherweight and was only beaten 3 ¼ lengths last time out at York. Dropped 2lbs for that run gives him every chance of improving on that effort and draw 8 looks okay. Dark Shot was only out last Saturday, when fifth in the Dash at Epsom. This 5 year-old still ran well that day and didn’t get the clearest of runs in the final stages. He’s closely-matched with El Astronaute, based on his neck second to that horse at York last month, and does also have several of the key trends on his side, including age, draw and weight.

 

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There’s plenty to look forward to and plenty of money to be won!

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THAT’S YOUR LOT!!!

Have a GREAT Weekend

TQ Team