York Dante Stakes Free Tips and Key Trends

York Dante Stakes Free Tips and Key Trends

Run at York racecourse, the Dante Stakes is a Group Two contest for 3 year-olds that is run over a distance of 1m2f.

Staged in the middle of May each season the middle-distance race is often seen as one of the main Epsom Derby Trials, with four of the last 16 Dante Stakes winners going onto land the fourth English Classic, with Golden Horn in 2015 being the most-recent horse to complete the Dante/Derby double.

Trainer John Gosden has won two of the last three runnings, while the Sir Michael Stoute camp have landed the race 6 times – anything they send to post, as well as leading Irish trainer Aidan O’Brien, who has also won the race 4 times, should be respected.

Here at TRAINERS-QUOTES we take a look back at past winners of the Dante Stakes, plus give you the key trends ahead of the 2018 renewal – this year run on Thursday 17th May

 

Recent Dante Stakes Winners

2017 – PERMIAN (10/1)
2016 – WINGS OF DESIRE (9/1)
2015 – GOLDEN HORN (4/1)
2014 – THE GREY GATSBY (9/1)
2013 – LIBERTARIAN (33/1)
2012 – BONFIRE (3/1)
2011 – CARLTON HOUSE (11/4)
2010 – CAPE BLANCO (9/2)
2009 – BLACK BEAR ISLAND (12/1)
2008 – TARTAN BEARER (10/1)
2007 – AUTHORIZED (10/11 fav)

 

Betfred Dante Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m2f88y ITV
 Main Trends and Stats

14/16 – Winners that went onto run in the Epsom Derby (4 won)
13/16 – Finished third or better last time out
10/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Won their previous race
10/16 – Had a previous race that season
8/16 – Went onto be placed in the Epsom Derby
4/16 – Went onto win the Epsom Derby
3/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (won it 4 times in all)
3/16 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute (won it 6 times in all)
3/16 – Won by jockey Ryan Moore
3/16 – Had won over 1m2f before
2/16 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/16 – Ridden by William Buick
2/16 – Trained by John Gosden (two of last 3 runnings)
1/16 – Had run at York before
0/16 – Winners from stall 2
Just 1 winning favourite in the last 11 runnings
Golden Horn (2015) was the last Dante winner to go onto win the Epsom Derby
The average winning SP in the last 11 years is 9/1

 

TQ VERDICT: This race has developed into one of the best Derby Trials in recent years – with four of the last 16 Dante winners going onto glory at Epsom the following month – Golden Horn, in 2015, was the latest to win both races. Trainer Aidan O’Brien has won the race three times in recent years and sends James Cook and Zabriskie over, but despite both being respected both would need to step up on what we’ve seen on the track so far. The John Gosden yard also have a good recent record in the race and with Crossed Baton and ROARING LION they have a decent hand again here. Crossed Baton has done little wrong in winning his last three but it’s hard to know how much more he’s got in the locker with both recent wins being by narrow margins. Therefore, their other runner – Roaring Lion – gets the call. This 3 year-old is the highest-rated in the field at 116 and although he’s not quite fired this season the step up to 1m2f looks a good move. He’s looked a bit one-paced over a mile this season but still wasn’t disgraced in finishing fifth (2 ½ lengths) in the 2,000 Guineas. The winner of that race – Saxon Warrior – is the clear Derby favourite so that run still looks a good effort. Breeding suggests this trip is just about within range and if running up to his 116 mark then he’s got 8lbs in-hand on the next best – WELLS FARHH GO. That horse is now 2-from-2 and was last seen winning the Acomb Stakes here last August. That was over 7f but being a Galileo colt then there is every reason to think there is more to come now stepped up in distance. He rates a big danger to the selection and you feel that if this Tim Easterby-trained runner was in the care of one of the big yards he’d be a tad shorter in the betting for this. The consistent Mildenberger can’t be overlooked either – he represents last year’s winning connections and was a gutsy winner of at Listed race at HQ last time over 1m1f. He’s a tough sort that is sure to be involved but did see the back of Roaring Lion in the Royal Lodge Stakes last September so would have some ground to make up with that horse. White Mocha and Godolphin’s Nordic Lights are others to note and have done little wrong so far during their careers but this would require a step up so I’m happy to stick with the 2,000 Guineas form and pin my hopes on Roaring Lion improving now over this longer trip.