2018 King George VI Chase Free Tips and Trends

Betfair Chase Trends and Free Tips

Staged each year on at Christmas on Boxing Day (26th Dec) the King George VI Chase is the highlight contest on the festive racing calendar.

With star names like Desert Orchid, One Man and, more recently, Kauto Star, who won the King George Chase a staggering five times, amongst the household names to land this decent pot then the 3m Grade One race never fails to attract the best longer distance chasers in training, while it’s also seen as a good guide to that season’s Cheltenham Gold Cup.

We take a look back at recent winners and highlight the key stats to take into the 2018 renewal – this year run on Wednesday Dec 26th, where the Nicky Henderson-trained Might Bite will be all the rage to defend his crown.

Past King George VI Chase Winners

2017 – Might Bite (6/4 fav)
2016 – Thistlecrack (11/10 fav)
2015 – Cue Card (9/2)
2014 – Silviniaco Conti (15/8 fav)
2013 – Silviniaco Conti (7/2)
2012 – Long Run (15/8 fav)
2011 – Kauto Star (3/1)
2010 – Long Run (9/2)
2009 – Kauto Star (8/13 fav)
2008 – Kauto Star (10/11 fav)
2007 – Kauto Star (4/6 fav)
2006 – Kauto Star (8/13 fav)
2005 – Kicking King (11/8 fav)
2004 – Kicking King (3/1 fav)
2003 – Edredon Bleu (25/1)
2002 – Best Mate (11/8 fav)

Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Sandown Park

King George VI Chase Trends

15/16 – Had won a Grade One chase before
15/16 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
15/16 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
15/16 – Finished in the top three last time out
14/16 – Placed favourites
14/16 – French (10) or Irish bred (4)
14/16 – Had won over 3m or further (fences) before
13/16 – Officially rated 169 or higher
12/16 – Aged 8 or younger
11/16 – Winning favourites
11/16 – Won last time out
10/16 – Had won a race over fences at Kempton before
9/16 – Ran in the Betfair Chase (Haydock) last time out
8/16 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
7/16 – Won by a previous winner of the race
7/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (9 times in all)
5/16 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
2/16 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
2/16 – Ridden by Noel Fehily
2/16 – Won by an Irish-based yard (only 3 in the last 32 runnings)
Colin Tizzard and Nicky Henderson have trained 5 of the last 8 winners (2 Tizzard, 3 Henderson)
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 7/2

A cracking renewal of the Christmas Boxing Day card with many chances. The current Gold Cup hero Native River will be popular and has never finished out of the top three from 14 starts over fences. He’s a reliable sort that looks sure to be in the mix. Tea For Two often runs well in this race and of the bigger priced runners looks good each-way value. Bristol De Mai certainly has the class, but the jury is still out if he’s as good away from this beloved Haydock and he flopped in this race last year at 3/1 too. Might Bite is the current champ so can be ignored either but he’s on a recovery mission after running well below-par last time out in the Betfair Chase when last of five. He’s a big player but this looks a much better race than the one he took last year and there are a few chinks in his armour that are starting to appear. Thistlecrack was the 2016 winner of this race and returned from a few issues with a fair third in the Betfair Chase. He’s another that can go well but at the age of 10 will need to defy the key age trend – 12 of the last 16 winners were aged 8 or younger. So, the two that interest me the most are POLITOLOUGE and WAITING PATIENTLY. The first-named will be looking to give trainer Paul Nicholls his tenth win in the race and after returning with a smooth win at Ascot last month and the form of that win has since been franked with the runner-up landing the Peterborough Chase recently. Yes, this is a step up in trip, but he’s been running as if the extra three furlongs are within range and at just 7 years-old he still looks to be improving. Waiting Patiently is a horse with bundles of potential that has one all six of his starts over fences. Connections have treated him with kid-gloves over the last few seasons but he’s a course winner here too and a horse that travels and jumps really well. He’s another that will have to prove himself over the trip as this will be the furthest he’s gone but with most of the key trends on his side then he’s got a lot going for him. He does return from a 312-day break, but don’t worry too much as he’s won first time out for the last two seasons.