2019 888Sport Chase Trends and Free Tips

The 888Sport Chase was first run back in 1988 and was staged as the Racing Post Chase until 2011 and then the Racing Plus Chase in 2012 & 2013. Leading bookmaker – BetBright – took over the sponsorship from 2014 till 2017, but in 2019 we’ve another new backer of the race with 888Sport taking over.

This Grade Three handicap is run over a distance of 3m at Kempton Park racecourse the contest is often described as another Grand National trial, with two horses – Rhyme ‘n’ Reason and Rough Quest – landing both races in the same season, while it could pay to know that both those horses also contested the Cheltenham Gold Cup that season.

Here at TQ we take a look back at recent winners of the 888Sport Chase and gives you the key stats to look out for ahead of the 2019 renewal – this year run on Saturday February 23rd..

Recent 888Sport Chase Winners

2018 – MASTER DEE (8/1)
2017 – PILGRIMS BAY (25/1)
2016 – THEATRE GUIDE (6/1)
2015 – ROCKY CREEK (8/1)
2014 – BALLY LEGEND (28/1)
2013 – OPENING BATSMAN (12/1)
2012 – NACARAT (9/2)
2011 – QUINZ (8/1)
2010 – RAZOR ROYALE (11/1)
2009 – NACARAT (10/1)
2008 – GUNGADU (4/1 fav)
2007 – SIMON (11/2)
2006 – INNOX (8/1)
2005 – FARMER JACK (5/1)
2004 – MARLBOROUGH (8/1)
2003 – LA LANDIERE (5/1 jfav)

Key 888Sport Chase Betting Trends

14/16 – Rated 139 or higher
14/16 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
13/16 – Aged 9 or younger
12/16 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
11/16 – Won a class 2 chase or better before
11/16 – Carried 10-13 or more
11/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/16 – Came from the top 4 in the betting
11/16 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
10/16 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
10/16 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
10/16 – Rated between 139 and 150
8/16 – Carried 11-5 or more
7/16 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
7/16 – Won last time out
5/16 – Aged 8 years-old
5/16 – French bred
4/16 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Grand National (all unplaced)
4/16 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/16 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
2/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/16 – Ridden by Richard Johnson (won it 5 times in all)
2/16 – Trained by Tom George
2/16 – Trained by Philip Hobbs (won it 4 times in all)
2/16 – Ran in the King George VI Chase last time out
2/16 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (1 winner)
The average winning SP in the last 16 runnings is 10/1
Note: The 2006 running was staged at Sandown Park

 

The Alan King-trained TALKISCHEAP gets a thumbs-up for most of the key trends and this 7 year-old is yet to finish out of the top three from his four chase starts. His recent runner-up effort to the useful On The Blind Side over this course and distance last month reads well, and earlier this season has also put in good performances behind the classy La Bague Au Roi – form that has been bolstered since.  He’ll be looking to provide trainer Alan King is first success in the race and looks sure to go close. The other horse that catches the eye is the Tom George-trained DOUBLE SHUFFLE. The stable has a decent record in the race with wins in 2009 and 2012, while don’t forget this 9 year-old was second in the 2017 King George VI Chase here – beaten just a length behind Might Bite. Yes, he’s a horse that doesn’t win that often – just 2 chase wins from 19 – but he’s been placed in the top three on 10 occasions over fences and certainly wasn’t disgraced when running fifth in this season’s King George. He was 31 lengths off the winner – Clan Des Obeaux – that day, but the Nicholls horse has since given that form a huge boost by winning the Denman Chase easily last weekend. Double Shuffle is now back into a handicap and the assessor has given him a squeak off a rating of 154. We know he loves the track too – his form figures here read 1-2-2-5 – plus he was also runner-up in this race in 2017. With 14 of the last 16 winners rated 139, or higher, then this is a negative for the well-fancied Glen Rocco. Yes, this 8 year-old has improved a lot this season and is also a CD winner at the track, but this will be his biggest test to date and he’s certainly no value in the betting. Nicholls can seemingly do no wrong on Saturdays at the moment so his Adrien Du Pont is another punters are sure to latch onto, while Nicholls also has Modus in the race – both tick the main weight and age stats so can’t be ruled out. The same can be said for the sole Henderson runner – Rather Be – but after rising up the ranks last season his progress has halted a bit so needs to bounce back.