2019 Fighting Fifth Hurdle Trends and Free Tips

TQ Weekend Wrap – Free Horse Racing Tips and Trends: 14th Dec 2019

Sponsored by leading bookmaker BetVictor, the Fighting Fifth Hurdle is a Grade 1 race is staged at Newcastle racecourse.

Having first been run in 1969 the contest is often seen as an early-season trial for the Champion Hurdle, with the Nicky Henderson-trained Punjabi (2008) and Buveur D’Air (2018) the last horses to win both races in the same season.

The 2017 and 2018 Champion Hurdle winner – Buveur d’Air – landed this race in 2017 before going onto Cheltenham glory again in March 2018, while he also took the price 12 months ago in 2018.

Here at TQ we are on-hand to look back at past winners, and give you the key trends to look out for ahead of the 2019 renewal – this year run on Saturday 30th November.

 

Recent Fighting Fifth Hurdle Winners

2018 – BUVEUR D’AIR (11/8)
2017 – BUVEUR D’AIR (1/6 fav)
2016 – IRVING (6/1)
2015 – IDENTITY THIEF (6/1)
2014 – IRVING (6/4 fav)
2013 – MY TENT OR YOURS (8/11 fav)
2012 – COUNTRYWIDE FLAME (11/4)
2011 – OVERTURN (7/4)
2010 – PEDDLERS CROSS (9/4)
2009 – GO NATIVE (25/1)
2008 – PUNJABI (8/11 fav)
2007 – HARCHIBALD (4/1)
2006 – STRAW BEAR (Evs fav)
2005 – ARCALIS (9/4 fav)
2004 – HARCHIBALD (9/4 jfav)
2003 – THE FRENCH FURZE (25/1)
2002 – INTERSKY FALCON (11/10 fav)

Fighting Fifth Hurdle Betting Trends & Stats

17/17 – Won a hurdles race over at least 2m before
16/17 – Won at least a Grade 2 hurdle before
15/17 – Finished in the first two in their latest race
14/17 – Raced in the Champion Hurdle later that same season
14/17 – Won at least 4 times over hurdles before
13/17 – Placed favourites
13/17 – Officially rated 151 or higher
11/17 – Won their last race
10/17 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
10/17 – Placed in the top 6 in the Champion Hurdle later that season
8/17 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
6/17 – Won by an Irish bred horse
4/17 – Won by an Irish based yard
4/17 – Raced over hurdles at Newcastle before
4/17 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (4 of last 11)
3/17 – Won by a previous winner of the race
2/17 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of last 5)
2/17 – Won the Champion Hurdle later that same season (2008 Punjabi, 2018 Buveur d’Air)
The average winning SP in the last 17 runnings is 5/1

Note: The 2008 renewal was staged at Wetherby, and the 2010 race at Newbury

 

 

TQ VERDICT: Only five runners, but really it will be a shock if the former Champion Hurdler – BUVEUR D’ AIR – isn’t taking this. This 8 year-old has won this pot for the last two seasons and is rated a clear 13lbs higher than his nearest rival – Silver Streak. Barry Geraghty comes up to ride again and that is a clear tip that the horse is ready to rumble again – he can take and begin his preparation for another tilt at the Champion Hurdle in March. The versatile Lady Buttons is a past CD winner here so loves the track and could surprise getting 7lbs off Silver Streak and Buveur D’Air, so I’ll take the Kirby runner to fill the silver medal place. Of the rest, Cornerstone Lad would also have his supporters in the forecast markets and is another CD winner, while Nelson River looks booked for fifth barring accidents to the others.