2019 Irish Derby Free Tips and Trends

2019 Irish Derby Free Tips and Trends

The Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby is a Group One contest run over 1m4f at the Curragh racecourse.

In recent years the race has been dominated by one trainer – Aidan O’Brien, who has landed the lucrative pot a staggering 12 times since 1997, including 9 of the last 11 renewals, and you can expect the Ballydoyle handler to be mob-handed once again.

We take a look back at past winners, plus give you all the key stats ahead of the 2019 renewal, this year run on Saturday 29th June.

Recent Irish Derby Winners

2018 – LATROBE (14/1)
2017 – CAPRI (6/1)
2016 – HARZAND (4/6 fav)
2015 – JACK HOBBS (10/11 fav)
2014 – AUSTRALIA (1/8 fav)
2013 – TRADING LEATHER (6/1)
2012 – CAMELOT  (1/5 fav)
2011 – TREASURE BEACH (7/2)
2010 – CAPE BLANCO (7/2)
2009 – FAME AND GLORY (8/11 fav)
2008 – FROZEN FIRE (16/1)
2007 – SOLDIER OF FORTUNE (5/1)
2006 – DYLAN THOMAS (9/2 fav)
2005 – HURRICANE RUN (4/5 fav)
2004 – GREY SWALLOW (10/1)
2003 – ALAMSHAR  (4/1)

Key Irish Derby Betting Trends and Stats

16/16 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
14/16 – Won by an Irish-based yard
13/16 – Had 3 or more wins in their career
14/16 – Favourites that were placed in the top 4
13/16 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Won a Group race before
13/16 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
12/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/16 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
11/16 – Failed to win their last race
11/16 – Ran in the Epsom Derby last time out
10/16 – Had never raced at the Curragh before
9/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (won it 12 times in all)
7/16 – Placed in the Epsom Derby (3 winners, Harzand, Australia & Camelot)
4/16 – Previous Group 1 winners
3/16 – Ridden by Seamie Heffernan
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 9/2

 

TQ VERDICT: Like most years, the Irish Derby seems to be about one trainer – Aidan O’Brien – who has won this race a staggering 12 times. He’s once again mob-handed with 5 of the 8 runners, with his Epsom Derby winner – ANTHONY VAN DYCK and fourth Broome are his clear main players. The Kevin Prendergast runner Madhmoon – who was runner-up in the Derby also re-opposes and is sure to have his supporters too in a bid to spoil the O’Brien party. He also clipped heels during that Epsom race so his backers will cling to that as a reason why he can overturn the form – but I’m not so sure. I feel there is more to come from the Derby winner and he’s already a winner at the track. Ryan Moore would have had the pick of the O’Brien runners so the fact he’s sided with AVD is another good sign he’s progressed since Epsom – he can become the first horse to win both races since Harzand in 2016, and follow in the hoof prints of other O’Brien runners – like High Chaparral, Galileo , Australia and Camelot, who also achieved the Epsom/Irish Derby double.