2019 Royal Ascot Free Tips and Trends: DAY FIVE (Sat 22nd June)

2019 Royal Ascot Free Tips and Trends: DAY FIVE (Sat 22nd June)

Into DAY FIVE at  ROYAL ASCOT we’ve six more mouth-watering races to look forward to that include the Chesham Stakes and the Hardwicke Stakes, but all eyes will be on some of the best sprinters in the world as they line-up for the Group One Diamond Jubilee Stakes at 4.20.

Did you know that 13 of the last 16 Diamond Jubilee Stakes winners were aged 5 or younger?

Like all big race days here at TRAINERS-QUOTES we’ve got it all covered with key trends and stats, plus our free tips (to be added once final runners are out) – use these trends to narrow down the field and find the best past profiles of recent winners.

2019 Royal Ascot Horse Racing Trends

2.30 – Chesham Stakes (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 7f

Chesham Stakes Recent Winners

2018 – Arthur Kitt (13/2)
2017 – September (11/8 fav)
2016 – Churchill (8/11 fav)
2015 – Suits You (14/1)
2014 – Richard Pankhurst (10/1)
2013 – Berkshire (16/1)
2012 – Tha’ir (9/2)
2011 – Maybe (5/2 fav)
2010 – Zaidan (7/1)
2009 – Big Audio (22/1)
2008 – Free Agent (7/2 jfav)
2007 – Maze (11/2)
2006 – Champlain (7/2)
2005 – Championship Point (4/1)
2004 – Whazzat (7/1)
2003 – Pearl Of Love (11/10 fav)

Chesham Stakes Key Trends

16/16 – Had no more than 2 previous career runs
15/16 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
14/16 – Ran over 6f last time out (9 won)
14/16 – Had just 1 previous career run
13/16 – Were foaled in March or earlier
11/16 – Won their previous race
11/16 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
5/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/16 – Irish trained-winners (Aiden O’Brien)
2/16 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/16 – Trained by Richard Hannon
Ryan Moore has ridden the winners in 2011, 2016 and 2017
12 of the last 13 winners came between stalls 1-8
6 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 1 (3) or 7 (3)
10 of the last 13 winners returned 10/1 or shorter
Trainer Paul Cole has won the race 4 times before

3.05 – Hardwicke Stakes (Group 2) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) 1m4f

Hardwicke Stakes Recent Winners

2018 – Crystal Ocean (4/7 fav)
2017 – Idaho (9/2)
2016 – Dartmouth (10/1)
2015 – Snow Sky (12/1)
2014 – Telescope (7/4 fav)
2013 – Thomas Chippendale (8/1)
2012 – Sea Moon (3/1 fav)
2011 – Await the Dawn (4/6 fav)
2010 – Harbinger (8/11 fav)
2009 – Bronze Cannon (8/1)
2008 – Macarthur (11/8 fav)
2007 – Maraahel (10/3)
2006 – Maraahel (9/2)
2005 – Bandari (10/1)
2004 – Doyen (6/5 fav)
2003 – Indian Creek (14/1)

Hardwicke Stakes Key Trends

16/16 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
16/16 – Had won a Group 2 or 3 previously
14/16 – Placed last time out
14/16 – Had won over 1m4f before
12/16 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
12/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (3), Mark Johnston (2) or Sir Michael Stoute (7)
11/16 – Had run at Ascot before
11/16 – Aged 4 years-old (inc last 9 winners)
10/16 – Placed favourites
10/16 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
6/16 – Ran at Epsom last time out (Coronation Cup)
7/16 – Won their previous race
6/16 – Winning favourites
4/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
11 of the last 13 winners returned 8/1 or shorter
9 of the last 13 winners returned 9/2 or shorter
No winner from stall 1 in the last 13 runnings
7 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 2-5 (inc)

3.40 – Windsor Castle Stakes (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 5f

Windsor Castle Recent Winners

2018 – Soldier’s Call (12/1)
2017 – Sound And Silence (16/1)
2016 – Ardad (20/1)
2015 – Washington DC (5/1)
2014 – Hootenanny (7/2 fav)
2013 – Extortionist (16/1)
2012 – Hototo (14/1)
2011 – Frederick Engels (9/4 fav)
2010 – Marine Commando (9/2)
2009 – Strike The Tiger (33/1)
2008 – Flashmans Papers (100/1)
2007 – Drawnfromthepast (9/1)
2006 – Elhamri (20/1)
2005 – Titus Alone (11/4)
2004 – Chateau Istana (12/1)
2003 – Holborn (5/2 fav)
2002 – Revenue (14/1)

Windsor Castle Trends

17/17 – Had at least 1 previous outing
16/17 – Won by a foal born April or earlier
16/17 – Had 2 or 3 previous runs
14/17 – Had won over 5f before
12/17 – Placed last time out
12/17 – Had never run at Ascot before
10/17 – Returned a double-figure price (inc a 100/1 winner)
9/17 – Won their previous race
9/17 – Unplaced favourites
7/17 – Won by a Feb foal
3/17 – Winning favourites
2/17 – Trained by Wesley Ward
Just one horse placed from stall 1 in the last 11 runnings
8 of the last 11 winners came from a double-figure stall

4.20 – Diamond Jubilee Stakes (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (3yo+) 6f

Diamond Jubilee Stakes Recent Winners

2018 – Merchant Navy (4/1)
2017 – The Tin Man (9/2)
2016 – Twilight Son (7/2)
2015 – Undrafted (14/1)
2014 – Slade Power (7/2 fav)
2013 – Lethal Force (11/1)
2012 – Black Caviar (1/6 fav)
2011 – Society Rock (25/1)
2010 – Starspanglebanner (13/2 jfav)
2009 – Art Connoisseur (20/1)
2008 – Kingsgate Native (33/1)
2007 – Soldier’s Tale (9/1)
2006 – Les Arcs (33/1)
2005 – Cape Of Good Hope (8/1)
2004 – Fayr Jag (12/1)
2003 – Choisir (13/2)

Diamond Jubilee Stakes Key Trends

15/16 – Previous distance (6f) winners
12/16 – Failed to win their last race
13/16 – Aged 5 or younger
13/16 – Previous Group Race winners
11/16 – Had run at Ascot before
9/16 – Won by a UK-based yard
8/16 – Returned a double-figure price
8/16 – Unplaced favourites
5/16 – Ran in the King’s Stand Stakes earlier at the meeting
3/16 – Winning favourite (joint)
2/16 – Trained by James Fanshawe
5 of the last 14 winners were Irish-bred
8 of the last 14 winners came from a double-figure draw
No winner from stall 1 in the last 14 runnings
6 of the last 14 winners returned a double-figure price.

 

5.00 – Wokingham Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (CLASS 2) (3yo+ 0-110) 6f

Wokingham Stakes Recent Winners

2018 – Bacchus (33/1)
2017 – Out Do (25/1)
2016 – Outback Traveller (10/1)
2015 – Interception (10/1)
2014 – Baccarat (9/1)
2013 – York Glory (14/1)
2012 – Dandy Boy (33/1)
2011 – Deacon Blues (15/2)
2010 – Laddies Poker Two (9/2 fav)
2009 – High Standing (8/1)
2008 – Big Timer I (20/1)
2007 – Dark Missile (22/1)
2006 – Baltic King (10/1)
2005 – Iffraaj (9/4 fav)
2004 – Lafi (6/1 fav)
2003 – Ratio (14/1) / Fayr Jag (10/1) (dead-heat)

Wokingham Stakes Key Trends

19/19 – Had won before over 6f or 7f
19/19 – Had no more than 4 runs that season­­
18/19 – Finished sixth or better last time out
17/19 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
17/19 – Had won a race over 6f before
16/19 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/19 – Had at least 2 runs already that season
12/19 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
10/19 – Had run at Ascot before (6 had won here)
9/19 – Ran at either Ascot, Goodwood or Newmarket last time
5/19 – Won their previous race
4/19 – Won by the favourite
10 of the last 13 winners carried 9-3 or less in weight
8 of the last 13 winners returned 14/1 or shorter
9 of the last 13 winners came from a double-figure draw
8 of the last 9 winners came from a double-figure stall
6 of the last 8 runnings – the top 2 finishers all came from double-figure stalls
Horse from stall 15 has been placed in 3 of the last 8 runnings
Since 1980 there have been only 7 winning favourites
Since 1980 there have been 31 winners returning a double-figure price

 

5.35 – Queen Alexandra Stakes (Conditions Race) (CLASS 2) (4yo+) 2m5f159y

Queen Alexandra Stakes Recent Winners

2018 – Pallasator (11/2)
2017 – Oriental Fox (10/1)
2016 – Commissioned (12/1)
2015 – Oriental Fox (4/1)
2014 – Pique Sous (11/4)
2013 – Chiberta King (8/1)
2012 – Simenon (11/4 fav)
2011 – Swingkeel (11/2)
2010 – Bergo (10/1)
2009 – Caracciola (6/1)
2008 – Honolulu (7/4 fav)
2007 – Enjoy The Moment (6/1)
2006 – Baddam (11/2)
2005 – Cruzspiel (10/1)
2004 – Corrib Eclipse (25/1)
2003 – Cover Up (4/5 fav)

Queen Alexandra Stakes Key Trends

14/16 – Finished unplaced last time out
10/16 – Had won over at least 2m on the flat before
9/16 – Had run at Ascot before
9/16 – Aged 4, 5 or 6 years old
5/16 – Won by a NH yard
5/16 – Irish-trained winners
3/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/16 – Trained by Willie Mullins
9 of the last 13 winners returned 6/1 or shorter
11 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 9-16 (inc)
10 of the last 13 winners came from a double-figure stall