2019 Royal Ascot Free Tips and Trends: DAY FOUR (Fri 21st June)

2019 Royal Ascot Free Tips and Trends: DAY FOUR (Fri 21st June)

Into DAY FOUR at  ROYAL ASCOT we’ve six more mouth-watering races to look forward to that include the Albany Stakes and the King Edward VII Stakes, but the two Group Ones on the card – the Commonwealth Cup and Coronation Stakes stand out as the feature contests – Did you know that 12 of the last 13 Coronation Stakes winners returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting?

Like all big race days here at TRAINERS-QUOTES we’ve got it all covered with key trends and stats, plus our free tips (to be added once final runners are out) – use these trends to narrow down the field and find the best past profiles of recent winners.


2019 Royal Ascot Horse Racing Trends

2.30 – Albany Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 6f

Albany Stakes Past Winners

2018 – Main Edition (7/1)
2017 – Different League (20/1)
2016 – Brave Anna (16/1)
2015 – Illuminate (4/1 fav)
2014 – Cursory Glance (14/1)
2013 – Kiyoshi (8/1)
2012 – Newfangled (7/4 fav)
2011 – Samitar (16/1)
2010 – Memory (15/2)
2009 – Habaayib (16/1)
2008 – Cuis Ghaire (8/11 fav)
2007 – Nijoom Dubai (50/1)
2006 – Sander Camillo (4/1 fav)
2005 – La Chunga (10/1)
2004 – Jewel In The Sand (10/1)
2003 – Silca’s Gift (5/1)


Albany Stakes Key Trends

16/16 – Had between 1 and 2 previous runs
16/16 – Never raced at Ascot before
15/16 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
14/16 – Won by either a Feb or Mar foal
12/16 – Won their previous race
11/16 – Placed favourites
9/16 – Returned a double-figure price
7/16 – Won by trainers Channon (2), Hannon (3) or Noseda (2)
5/16 – Previous winner over 6f
4/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Ran at Sandown last time
The last 13 winners came from double-figure stalls
10 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 11-15 (inc)

 

3.05 – King Edward VII Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m4f

King Edward VII Stakes Recent Winners

2018 – Old Persian (9/2)
2017 – Permian (6/1)
2016 – Across The Stars (7/1)
2015 – Balios (3/1)
2014 – Eagle Top (12/1)
2013 – Hillstar (15/2)
2012 – Thomas Chippendale (9/2)
2011 – Nathaniel (11/4 fav)
2010 – Monterosso (7/2)
2009 – Father Time (9/1)
2008 – Campanologist (9/1)
2007 – Boscobel (7/1)
2006 – Papal Bull (5/4 fav)
2005 – Plea Bargain (9/2)
2004 – Five Dynasties (11/4 fav)
2003 – High Accolade (5/2 fav)

King Edward VII Stakes Key Trends

16/16 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
15/16 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the
12/16 – Had never raced at Ascot before
11/16 – Placed favourites
11/16 – Finished in the top three last time out
10/16 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
9/16 – Had won at least 2 previous races during their career
6/16 – Had already won a Listed or better class race
4/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Trained by John Gosden
3/16 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
3/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
3/16 – Trained by Mark Johnston
No winner from stall 1 in the last 13 runnings
11 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 4-9 (inc)
12 of the last 13 winners returned 9/1 or shorter

3.40 – The Commonwealth Cup (Group 1) (Class 1) (3yo) 6f

Commonwealth Cup Recent Winners


2018 – Eqtidaar (12/1)
2017 – Caravaggio (5/6 fav)
2016 – Quiet Reflection (7/4 fav)
2015 – Muhaarar (10/1)

Commonwealth Cup Trends

4/4 – Won over 6f before
4/4 – Drawn 8 or lower
4/4 – Ran in the last month
3/4 – Won 3+ times before
3/4 – Had run at Ascot before
3/4 – Rated 117 or higher
2/4 – Winning favourite
2/4 – Came from stall 8
2/4 – Won last time out

4.20 – Coronation Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m

Coronation Stakes Past Winners

2018 – Alpha Centauri (11/4 fav)
2017 – Winter (4/9 fav)
2016 – Qemah (6/1)
2015 – Ervedya (3/1)
2014 – Rizeena (11/2)
2013 – Sky Lantern (9/2 jfav)
2012 – Fallen For You (12/1)
2011 – Immortal Verse (8/1)
2010 – Lillie Langtry (7/2 fav)
2009 – Ghanaati (2/1 fav)
2008 – Lush Lashes (5/1)
2007 – Indian Ink (8/1)
2006 – Nannina (6/1 jfav)
2005 – Maids Causeway (9/2)
2004 – Attraction (6/4 fav)
2003 – Russian Rhythm (4/7 fav)
2002 – Sophisticat (11/2)

Coronation Stakes Recent Trends

17/17 – Had won over at least 7f before
16/17 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/17 – Had between 1 and 2 previous runs that season
13/17 – Had won a Group 1 or 2 previously
12/17 – Had won over at least a 1 mile before
9/17 – Had run at Ascot before (3 winners)
8/17 – Ran in that season’s English 1,000 Guineas
8/17 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
7/17 – Unplaced last time out
5/17 – Ran in that season’s Irish 1,000 Guineas
3/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
12 of the last 13 winners returned 8/1 or shorter
No winners from stall 1 in the last 13 runnings
11 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 5 or higher
Just two horses placed from stall 2 (2nd ) in the last 13 runnings
7 of the last 13 winners were non UK-trained – French (3), Irish (4)

 

5.00 – Sandringham Handicap (Listed Race) 1m


Sandringham Handicap Recent Winners

2018 – Agrotera (11/2 fav)
2017 – Con Te Partiro (20/1)
2016 – Persuasive (11/4 fav)
2015 – Osaila (13/2)
2014 – Muteela (9/2 fav)
2013 – Annecdote (11/1)
2012 – Duntle (4/1 fav)
2011 – Rhythm Of Light (8/1)
2010 – Timepiece (5/1)
2009 – Moneycantbuymelove (9/2 fav)
2008 – Festivale (10/1)
2007 – Barshiba (16/1)
2006 – Red Evie (5/1 co-fav)
2005 – Beautyandthebeast (9/2)
2004 – Celtic Heroine (11/1)
2003 – Hold To Ransom (11/1)
2002 – Tashawak (12/1)

 

Sandringham Handicap Trends

15/17 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
15/17 – Had between 2 and 4 previous runs that season
13/17 – Had never run at Ascot before
13/17 – Had won over at least 7f before
12/17 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
11/17 – Carried 8-11 or more
11/17 – Placed in their previous race
7/17 – Had exactly 3 runs already that season
8/17 – Won their last race
7/17 – Returned a double-figure price
6/17 – Winning favourites (1 co)
4/17 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
3/17 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (7 winners in all)

 

5.35 – Duke of Edinburgh Handicap (CLASS 2) (3yo+ 0-105) 1m4f

Duke of Edinburgh Past Winners

2018 – Dash Of Spice (7/2 fav)
2017 – Rare Rhythm (20/1)
2016 – Kinema (8/1)
2015 – Arab Dawn (6/1 jfav)
2014 – Arab Spring (11/4 fav)
2013 – Opinion (8/1)
2012 – Camborne (11/2 fav)
2011 – Fox Hunt (12/1)
2010 – Cill Rialaig (16/1)
2009 – Drill Sergeant (14/1)
2008 – Sugar Ray (8/1)
2007 – Pevensey (8/1)
2006 – Young Mick (28/1)
2005 – Notable Guest (4/1)
2004 – Wunderwood (15/2)
2003 – Waverley (14/1)

Duke of Edinburgh Key Trends

16/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
15/16 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
15/16 – Had at least 2 previous career wins to their name
13/16 – Carried 9-0 or more
12/16 – Placed last time out
11/16 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
9/16 – Trained by Hughie Morrison (3), Mark Johnston (2) or Sir Michael Stoute (4)
9/16 – Had won over 1m4f before
7/16 – Had run at Ascot before
7/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
7/16 – Ran at either York or Epsom last time (inc 7 of last 8 runnings)
5/16 – Unplaced favourites
5/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time
4/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
3/16 – Winning favourites
12 of the last 13 winners came from a double-figure stall