2019 Royal Ascot Free Tips and Trends: DAY TWO (Weds 19th June)

2019 Royal Ascot Free Tips and Trends: DAY TWO (Weds 19th June)

ROYAL ASCOT continues on Wednesday 19th June with another bumper six-race card to look forward too that includes the Jersey and Queen Mary Stakes, but the clear highlight on DAY TWO is the Group One Prince Of Wales’s Stakes – did you know 16 of the last 17 winners were aged 4 or 5 years-old?

So, like all big race days here at TRAINERS-QUOTES we’ve got it all covered with key trends and stats, plus our free tips (to be added once final runners are out) – use these trends to narrow down the field and find the best past profiles of recent winners.

2019 Royal Ascot Horse Racing Trends

2.30 – Queen Mary Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies) 5f

Queen Mary Recent Winners

2018 – Signora Cabello (25/1)
2017 – Heartache (5/1)
2016 – Lady Aurelia (2/1 fav)
2015 – Acapulco (5/2 fav)
2014 – Anthem Alexander (9/4 fav)
2013 – Rizeena (6/1)
2012 – Ceiling Kitty (20/1)
2011 – Best Terms (12/1)
2010 – Maqaasid (9/4 fav)
2009 – Jealous Again (13/2)
2008 – Langs Lash (25/1)
2007 – Elletelle (20/1)
2006 – Gilded (11/2)
2005 – Flashy Wings (4/1 jfav)
2004 – Damson (11/2 jfav)
2003 – Attraction (13/8 fav)
2002 – Romantic Liason (16/1)

Queen Mary Stakes Trends

16/17 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
16/17 – Had between 1 and 3 previous runs that season
15/17 – Had won over 5f (or shorter) before
15/17 – Won by a horse foaled between Jan-Mar
14/17 – Won their previous race
11/17 – Placed favourites
7/17 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
6/17 – Returned a double-figure price
3/17 – Trained by Wesley Ward (including 2 of last 4 runnings)
2/17 – Won by trainer Richard Hannon

 

3.05 – Queen´s Vase (Listed) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 2m

Queen´s Vase Recent Winners

2018 – Kew Gardens (10/3)
2017 – Stradivarius (11/2)
2016 – Sword Fighter (33/1)
2015 – Aloft (5/2 fav)
2014 – Hartnell (7/2)
2013 – Leading Light (5/4 fav)
2012 – Estimate (3/1 fav)
2011 – Namibian (7/2 fav)
2010 – Mikhail Glinka (2/1 fav)
2009 – Holberg (7/1)
2008 – Patkai (6/4 fav)
2007 – Mahler (7/1)
2006 – Soapy Danger (4/1)
2005 – Melrose Avenue (4/1)
2004 – Duke Of Venice (9/2)
2003 – Shanty Star (7/2 fav)

Queen´s Vase Key Trends

14/16 – Had never raced at Ascot before
12/16 – Had at least 2 previous career wins
11/16 – Placed last time out
9/16 – Placed favourites
11/16 – Had run over at least 1m4f before
6/16 – Ran at either Lingfield or Haydock last time out
6/16 – Winning favourites
5/16 – Trained by Mark Johnston
6/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
4/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (won it 4 times in all)
2/16 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
No winner from stall 1 in the last 13 years
The horse from stall 7 has been placed in 6 of the last 12 runnings (4 wins)
12 of the last 13 winners came from a single-figure stall
6 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 7 or 8

3.40 – The Duke of Cambridge Stakes (Windsor Forest) (Group 2) 1m

Duke of Cambridge Recent Winners

2018 – Aljazzi (9/2)
2017 – Qemah (5/2 fav)
2016 – Usherette (9/4 fav)
2015 – Amazing Maria (25/1)
2014 – Integral (9/4 fav)
2013 – Duntle (10/3)
2012 – Joviality (11/1)
2011 – Lolly For Dolly (11/1)
2010 – Strawberrydaiquiri (9/2)
2009 – Spacious (10/1)
2008 – Sabana Perdida (4/1)
2007 – Nannina (3/1 co-fav)
2006 – Soviet Song (11/8 fav)
2005 – Peeress (14/1)
2004 – Favourable Terms (13/2)

Duke of Cambridge Trends

14/15 – Had won over a mile (or further) before
14/15 – Had won a Group 3 or better race before
14/15 – Had at least 1 previous run that season
13/15 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
12/15 – Won by a 4 year-old
11/15 – Had run at Ascot before
8/15 – Favourites that were placed
7/15 – Had won at Ascot before
5/15 – Returned a double-figure price
5/15 – Winning favourites (1 co)
4/15 – Ran at Epsom last time out
4/15 – Owned by Cheveley Park Stud
2/15 – Won by trainer James Fanshawe
2/15 – Winners from stall 1
Only four placed horses (2 winners) from stall 1 in the last 15 runnings

 

4.20 – The Prince of Wales´s Stakes (Group 1) 1m2f

Prince of Wales´s Stakes Recent Winners

2018 – Poet’s Word (11/2)
2017 – Highland Reel (9/4)
2016 – My Dream Boat (16/1)
2015 – Free Eagle (5/2 fav)
2014 – The Fugue (11/2)
2013 – Al Kazeem (11/4)
2012 – So You Think (4/5 fav)
2011 – Rewilding (17/2)
2010 – Byword (5/2 fav)
2009 – Vision D’etat (4/1)
2008 – Duke of Marmalade (Evs fav)
2007 – Manduro (15/8 fav)
2006 – Ouija Board (8/1)
2005 – Azamour (11/8 fav)
2004 – Rakti (3/1)
2003 – Nayef (5/1)
2002 – Grandera (4/1)

Prince of Wales´s Stakes Trends

17/17 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
16/17 – Returned 17/2 or shorter in the betting
16/17 – Won by a 4 or 5 year-old
14/17 – Had at least 1 previous run that season
14/17 – Finished in the top three last time out
13/17 – Were previous Group 1 winners
11/17 – Placed favourites
9/17 – Won their last race
9/17 – Won by a non-UK based trainer
9/17 – Had run at Ascot before
6/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
2/17 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
2/17 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
3 of the last 11 runnings have gone to a French-trained horse

 

5.00 – Royal Hunt Cup (Heritage Handicap) 1m

Royal Hunt Cup Recent Winners

2018 – Settle For Bay (16/1)
2017 – Zhui Feng (25/1)
2016 – Portage (10/1)
2015 – GM Hopkins (8/1)
2014 – Field of Dream (20/1)
2013 – Belgian Bill (33/1)
2012 – Prince Of Johanne (16/1)
2011 – Julienas (12/1)
2010 – Invisible Man (28/1)
2009 – Forgotten Voice (4/1 fav)
2008 – Mr Aviator (25/1)
2007 – Royal Oath (9/1)
2006 – Cesare (14/1)
2005 – New Seeker (11/1)
2004 – Mine (16/1)
2003 – Macadamia (8/1)
2002 – Norton (25/1)

Royal Hunt Cup Trends

16/17 – Had won over at least a mile before
14/17 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
13/17 – Unplaced favourites
13/17 – Returned a double-figure price
13/17 – Carried 9-1 or less
10/17 – Had 2 or 3 previous runs that season
10/17 – Had run at Ascot before
10/17 – Won by a 4 year-old (inc 8 of the last 10 runnings)
5/17 – Won their last race
2/17 – Won by trainer James Fanshawe
2/17 – Won by trainer John Gosden
1/17 – Winning favourites
Overall, high number stalls have dominated in recent years
11 of the last 13 winners came from a double-figure stall
We’ve seen 3 winners from stall 33 in the last 10 runnings

 

5.35 – Jersey Stakes (Group 3) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 7f

Recent Jersey Stakes Winners

2018 – Expert Eye (8/1)
2017 – Le Brivido (2/1 fav)
2016 – Ribchester (7/1)
2015 – Dutch Connection (14/1)
2014 – Mustajeeb (9/2 jfav)
2013 – Gale Force Ten (9/2 fav)
2012 – Ishvana (20/1)
2011 – Strong Suit (11/1)
2010 – Rainfall (8/1)
2009 – Ouqba (12/1)
2008 – Aqlaam (13/2)
2007 – Tariq (15/2)
2006 – Jeremy (9/2)
2005 – Proclamation (7/1)
2004 – Kheleyf (6/1)
2003 – Membership (20/1)
2002 – Just James (20/1)

Jersey Stakes Trends

16/17 – Had at least 1 run already that season
13/17 – Had 4 or more career runs
11/17 – Had won over 7f before
10/17 – Had won a Listed or better class race before
9/17 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
8/17 – Unplaced favourites
8/17 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
7/17 – Had run at Ascot before
7/17 – Horses from stall 8 placed
6/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
4/17 – Won their previous race
2/17 – Trained by Jeremy Noseda
3/17 – Winning favourites
The Irish have won 3 of the last 7 runnings
The horse from stall 11 has finished 2nd in 5 of the last 11 runnings