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22nd October 2020

2019 King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes Betting Tips & Trends

Staged at Ascot racecourse, the King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes is run over a distance of 1m4f and is generally regarded as Britain’s most prestigious all-aged flat horse race.

With over £600,000 up for grabs for the winner the it goes without saying the race always attracts horses from the best yards around the country with Sir Michael Stoute and Saeed Bin Suroor, who have won the King George six and five times, being the trainers with the best recent record in the contest, while the powerful Aidan O’Brien yard have won the prize four times.

Here at TQ we take a look back at the recent winners of the race and gives you the key trends to look out for ahead of the 2019 renewal – this year run on Saturday 29th July.

 

Past King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes Winners

2018 - Poet's Word (7/4)
2017 - Enable (5/4 fav)
2016 – Highland Reel (13/8 fav)
2015 – Postponed (6/1)
2014 – Taghrooda (7/2)
2013 – Novellist (13/2)
2012 – Danedream (9/1)
2011 – Nathaniel (11/2)
2010 – Harbinger (4/1)
2009 – Conduit (13/8 fav)
2008 – Duke of Marmalade (4/6 fav)
2007 – Dylan Thomas (5/4 fav)
2006 – Hurricane Run (5/6 fav)
2005 – Azamour (5/2 fav)
2004 – Doyen (11/10 fav)
2003 – Alamshar (13/2)
2002 – Golan (11/2)

 

King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes Trends

17/17 – Previous Group 1 or 2 winners
16/17 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
16/17 – Had 2 or more runs already that season
15/17 – Had won over 1m4f before
14/17 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
14/17 – Placed last time out
13/17 – Previous Group 1 winner
12/17 – aged 4 years-old
10/17 – Had run Ascot before
10/17 – Won their previous race
8/17 – Favourites that won
8/17 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
6/17 – Won at Ascot before
4/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
Frankie Dettori has ridden the winner in 1995, 1998, 1999, 2004 and 2017
2 of the last 5 winners were that season’s Epsom Oaks winner
Galileo (2001) was the last horse to do the Derby/King George double
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 1981, 1983, 2002, 2009, 2010 & 2018
Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor won the race in 1995, 1997, 1998, 1999 & 2004
Trainer Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2001, 2007, 2008 & 2016
The average winning SP in the last 17 runnings is 7/2

TQ VERDICT: A cracking renewal of the King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes – we’ve the 2017 winner Enable trying to win back her crown, plus last year’s runner-up Crystal Ocean. While if you add in this season’s Epsom Derby winner – Anthony Van Dyck – and the Hardwicke Stakes hero – Defoe – then there’s a lot to get excited about. The ratings suggest the last-named – Defoe – would need another step forward as he’s rated 8lbs inferior to Crystal Ocean and 6lbs behind Enable, but he’s a proven CD winner and certainly has place claims still. The Derby winner – Anthony Van Dyck – will get the 3 year-old allowance of 11lbs from Crystal Ocean and 8lbs off Enable so that certainly makes him interesting – he’ll be looking to become the first Derby winner to add the King George in the same season since Galileo (2001). Last year’s runner-up, Crystal Ocean, has bounced back this season better than ever with three wins on the bounce and the most-recent an excellent success in the Group One Prince Of Wales’s Stakes at the Royal Meeting. He’s yet to finish out of the top three from his 14 turf starts (8 wins) and being the top-rated in the field it’s hard to knock his chance. He’s just as good at 1m2f and over this 1m4f trip and acts well at the track – it will be a shock if he’s not in the top three at the very least. He beat Magical by 1 ¾ lengths the last day and with ENABLE only beating that same horse ¾ of a length then the pair are obviously very closely-matched. However, the Gosden mare gets a handy fillies’ allowance here (3lbs) and being that last run was her first 8 months then we can expect her to have come on a lot. I also feel she’s a better horse over this 1m4f trip and was hugely impressive in her 2017 win here. Any rain that might be forecast is fine too so I’ll take her to make it win number eleven on the spin!  Of the rest, Cheval Grand and Waldgeist have squeaks of hitting the frame if showing their best form, but really it will be a shock if the winner isn’t coming from one of the first two in the betting.

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