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28th November 2020

2020 Breeders’ Cup Betting Tips and Trends: Sat 7th Nov

The 2020 Breeders’ Cup will be staged this year at Keenland racecourse for just the second time in the events history – and with plenty of mega-pots up for grabs then the best horses from around the globe will be heading to the Kentucky track in hope of making it into the Breeders’ Cup record books.

The 2020 Breeders’ Cup meeting will run over Friday 6th November and Saturday 7th November.

We take a look at four of the main races – the Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mares Turf, Breeders’ Cup Turf, Breeders’ Cup Mile and, of course, the Breeders’ Cup Classic from a trends and stats angle………

 

Keeneland Breeders' Cup Trends and Tips

6.57 – Maker’s Mark Breeders´ Cup Filly & Mare Turf (Grade 1) (3yo+ Fillies & Mares) (Turf) 1m2f

Past Breeders´ Cup Filly & Mare Turf Winners

2019 – Iridessa
2018 – Sistercharlie
2017 – Wuheida
2016 – Queen’s Trust
2015 – Stephanie’s Kitten
2014 - Dayatthespa
2013 – Dank
2012 – Zagora
2011 – Perfect Shirl
2010 – Shared Account
2009 – Midday
2008 – Forever Together
2007 – Lahudood
2006 – Ouija Board
2005 – Intercontinental
2004 – Ouija Board

Key Breeders´ Cup Filly & Mare Turf Trends

16/16 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
16/16 – Had raced in the last 12 weeks
15/16 – Won by either a UK (6) or US (9) based yard
13/16 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
13/16 – Drawn in stall 7 or lower (note, different tracks)
13/16 - Previous Group/Grade 1 winners
12/16 – Placed favourites
12/16 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/16 – Had won no more than 6 times
8/16 – Had won over 1m2f before
7/16 – Won last time out
7/16 – Drawn in stalls 5,6 or 7 (note, different tracks)
4/16 – Winning favourites
4 of the last 8 runnings went to trainer Chad Brown
No horse has won back-to-back runnings
Ouija Board (2004 & 2006) the only horse to win the race twice
Sistercharlie won the race in 2018  and 3rd in 2019
Iridessa (8/1) won the race in 2019 (Joseph O’Brien)

SELECTION: RUSHING FALL
DANGER: SISTERCHARLIE

 

8.15 – Fan Duel Breeders´ Cup Mile (Grade 1) (3yo+) (Turf) 1m

Past Breeders’ Cup Mile Winners

2019 – Uni (9/2)
2018 – Expert Eye
2017 – World Approval
2016 – Tourist
2015 - Tepin
2014 - Karakontie
2013 – Wise Dan
2012 – Wise Dan
2011 – Court Vision
2010 – Goldikova
2009 – Goldikova
2008 – Goldikova
2007 – Kip Deville
2006 – Miesque’s Approval
2005 – Artie Schiller
2004 – Singletary

Key Breeders´ Cup Mile Trends

16/16 – Had won over at least a mile before
16/16 – Had won at least 4 times before
15/16 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
14/16 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
12/16 – Aged 4 or older
11/16 – US-trained winners
11/16 – Had won a Group/Grade1 race before
8/16 – Winning favourites (including 8 of last 11)
8/16 – Drawn between stalls 8-11 (note, different tracks)
6/16 – Won last time out
4/16 – French-trained winners
1/16 – UK/IRE-trained winners
Trainer Mark Casse has won 2 of the last 5 renewals
Uni (9/2) won the race in 2019 (Chad Brown)

SELECTION: UNI
DANGER: RAGING BULL

 

9.33 - Longines Breeders´ Cup Turf (Grade 1) (3yo+) (Turf) 1m4f

Past Breeders´ Cup Turf Winners

2019 – Bricks And Mortar
2018 – Enable
2017 – Talismanic
2016 – Highland Reel
2015 - Found
2014 – Main Sequence
2013 – Magician
2012 – Little Mike
2011 – St Nicholas Abbey
2010 – Dangerous Midge
2009 – Conduit
2008 – Conduit
2007 – English Channel
2006 – Red Rocks
2005 – Shirocco
2004 – Better Talk Now

Key Breeders´ Cup Turf Trends

15/16 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
14/16 – Raced in the last 8 weeks
15/16 – Had won at least 3 times before
12/16 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
13/16 – Had won a Group/Grade 1 before
12/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/16 – Had won over 1m4f before
11/16 – European-trained winners
11/16 – Placed favourites
11/16 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher (note, different tracks)
6/16 – Won last time out
4/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
5/16 – US-trained winners
3/16 – Winning favourites
4 of the last 9 runnings went to trainer Aidan O’Brien
Bricks An Mortar (11/8 fav) won the race in 2019 (Chad C Brown)

SELECTION: MAGICAL
DANGER: CHANNEL MAKER

 

10:18 – Longines Breeders´ Cup Classic (Grade 1) (3yo+) (Dirt) 1m2f

Past Breeders’ Cup Classic Winners

2019 – Vino Rosso
2018 – Accelerate
2017 – Gun Runner
2016 – Arrogate
2015 – American Pharoah
2014 – Bayern
2013 – Mucho Macho Man
2012 – Fort Larned
2011 – Drosselmeyer
2010 – Blame
2009 – Zenyatta
2008 – Raven’s Pass
2007 – Curlin
2006 – Invasor
2005 – Saint Liam
2004 – Ghostzapper

Key Breeders´ Cup Classic Trends

16/16 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
16/16 – Had won over at least 9f before
16/16 – Raced in the last 9 weeks
15/16 – Previous Group/Grade 1 winners
15/16 – USA-trained winners
15/16 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Had won at least 5 times before
11/16 – Won last time out
11/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/16 – Unplaced favourites
7/16 – Had raced at Belmont Park last time out
2/16 – Winning favourites
3 of the last 6 winners were trained by Bob Baffert
In the 36 runnings to date of the Breeders’ Cup Classic - 4 year-old horses have the best record – winning 15, while 3 year-olds have taken 12 and 5 year-olds have won 9.

SELECTION: IMPROBABLE
DANGER: MAXIMUM SECURITY

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