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30th October 2020

2020 Cambridgeshire Handicap Free Tips and Trends

Run over 1m1f the Cambridgeshire Handicap is staged at Newmarket racecourse on their Rowley Mile track. First run in 1839 the contest is the first race in what’s known as the Autumn Double, with the Cesarewitch being the other race run in October.

We take a look ahead to the 2020 renewal of the Bet365 Cambridgeshire Handicap, this year run on Saturday 26th September – giving you the key stats to look out for.....Did you know ALL of the last 18 winners were aged 6 or younger?

Recent Cambridgeshire Handicap Winners

2019 - Lord North (9/2 fav)
2018 - Wissahickon (11/1)
2017 - Dolphin Vista (50/1)
2016 – Spark Plug (12/1)
2015 – Third Time Lucky (14/1)
2014 – Bronze Angel (14/1)
2013 – Educate (8/1 fav)
2012 – Bronze Angel (9/1)
2011 – Prince of Johanne (40/1)
2010 – Credit Swap (14/1)
2009 – Supaseus (16/1)
2008 – Tazeez (25/1)
2007 – Pipedreamer (5/1 fav)
2006 – Formal Decree (9/1)
2005 – Blue Monday (5/1 fav)
2004 – Spanish Don (100/1)
2003 – Chivalry (14/1)
2002 – Beauchamp Pilot (14/1)

Key Cambridgeshire Handicap Trends

18/18 – Aged 6 or younger
16/18 – Won 3 or more times in their career
15/18 – Carried 9-5 or less
14/18 – Won from a double-figure stall
13/18 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
13/18 – Unplaced favourites
13/18 – Had won over 1m2f before
13/18 – Finished 5th or better last time out
12/18 – Had 5 or more runs that season
12/18 – Rated between 90-100
12/18 – Returned a double (or treble) figure price in the betting
10/18 – Carried 8-12 or less
5/18 – Ran at Newbury last time out
4/18 – Winning favourites
4/18 – Trained by John Gosden
3/18 – Won their last race
12 of the last 14 winners had run in the last 9 weeks
The average winning SP in the last 18 years is 20/1

TQ VERDICT: A massive 29 runners heading to post here but some useful trends too. ALL of the last 18 winners were aged 6 or younger, so that’s a negative for the two 7 year-olds in the field – You’re Hired and Zhui Feng. 15 of the last 18 winners carried 9-5 or less – the top three on the card – Certain Lad, Sir Busker and Montatham would have this trend against them. 14 of the last 18 (78%) have won from a double-figure draw, but it goes without saying that with 29 runners the large bulk of the runners in previous years would have naturally had a double-figure draw anyway. Horses aged between 4-6 have the best record, while having run in the last few months is another plus. It’s a race trainer John Gosden likes to target too – he’s won 4 of the last 18 and with Frankie riding his Al Rufaa, this one could be supported in the market – but being a 3 year-old that would put me off. Trainer William Haggas has a strong had too with recent winners Sinjaari and the lightly weighted Ilaraab in the field. The three I like against the field though are TEMPUS, DEREVO (e/w) and BELL ROCK (e/w). The former has won 3 of this 4 turf starts, including his last two in impressive fashion and a 4lb rise for the last of those doesn’t look too harsh. He looked to have more in hand at the line and this Kingman colt could easily progress out of handicaps very soon – drawn 23. Devero was well-backed last time and only just failed to get the job done at Doncaster. He’s off the same mark here, but Ryan Moore is back in the saddle and this 1m1f trip could be ideal for him. The final pick – Bell Rock – is a proven course winner that comes here off the back of a fair third (of 18) at Goodwood. He’s been freshened up with a few months off since and is a horse that’s gone well off a break in the past. Oisin Murphy rides and draw 24 looks ideal.

 

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