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30th September 2020

2020 Clarence House Chase Betting Trends and Free Tips

Staged at Ascot racecourse the Clarence House Chase is a Grade One contest run over a distance of 2m1f.

The Clarence House Chase was first run back in 1989 when the popular Desert Orchid won the prize as a 10 year-old. The race is also a good guide to that season’s Queen Mother Champion Chase with Sprinter Sacre landing both races in 2013, Sire de Grugy in 2014, while Dodging Bullets did the same double in 2015. In more recent years, the Willie Mullins-trained Un De Sceaux has made the race his own by landing 3 of the last 4 renewals, while in 2019 Altior was the latest horse to take this before going onto Champion Chase glory.

Trainers Paul Nicholls and Nicky Henderson have each won the race five times, plus – as mentioned – the Willie Mullins camp have taken the last three runnings.

Here at TQ we are on hand with all the key stats ahead of the 2020 renewal – this year run on Saturday 18th January.

Recent Clarence House Chase Winners

2019 – ALTIOR (1/10 fav)
2018 - UN DE SCEAUX (4/9 fav)
2017 – UN DE SCEAUX (1/2 fav)
2016 – UN DE SCEAUX (1/2 fav)
2015 – DODGING BULLETS (7/2)
2014 – SIRE DE GRUGY (5/4 fav)
2013 – SPRINTER SACRE (1/5 fav)
2012 – SOMERSBY (9/2)
2011 – MASTER MINDED (4/7 fav)
2010 – TWIST MAGIC (11/8 fav)
2009 – MASTER MINDED (1/4 fav)
2008 – TAMARINBLEU (12/1)
2007 – No Race
2006 – TYSOU (10/1)
2005 – WELL CHIEF (5/1)
2004 – ISIO (4/1)
2003 – No Race

Clarence House Chase Past Trends

17/17 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
17/17 – Won at least 3 times (fences) previously
16/17 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
16/17 – Won a race over fences at 2m1f or further
15/17 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting market
15/17 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
14/17 – Favourites placed
12/17 – Won by a French-bred horse
12/17 – Won their last race
11/17 – Went onto run in that season’s Champion Chase (5 winners)
10/17 – Raced at Sandown (6) or Wetherby (3) last time out
10/17 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
10/17 – Favourites that won
8/17 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
7/17 – Won by a horse aged 8 years-old
5/17 – Went onto win the Champion Chase that season (2009 - Master Minded, Sprinter Sacre 2013, 2014 Sire de Grugy, 2015 Dodging Bullets, 2019 Altior)
4/17 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable (won the race 5 times in all)
4/17 – Had won the Tingle Creek Chase (Sandown) last time out
3/17 – Trained by Willie Mullins
2/17 – Won by the Pipe stable
Since 1989 there have only been 3 winners aged in double-figures
Since 1989 (29 runnings) there have been 12 winners aged 8 years-old
Un De Sceaux has won the race in 2016, 2017 and 2018

The average winning SP in the last 14 runnings is 10/3

Note:
2006 – Renewal at Sandown
2005 & 2017 – Renewals at Cheltenham

 

TQ VERDICT: A fascinating match-up here that really should revolve around the three-time winner of this race – UN DE SCEAUX and the rapidly improving Defi Du Seuil. The pair were separated by just a neck in the Tingle Creek at Sandown last month so based on that run we look set for another cracker. Defi looks set to go off favourite and another good run here will determine if connections opt for the Champion Chase or the Ryanair Chase at the Cheltenham Festival – although they’ve already said they are likely to live him in both right up till the last minute. It will take a good performance to beat Defi, but I just feel that with only a neck between them the value sits with UN DE SCEAUX. He’s a proven winner of this race – well three-time winner actually, while Defi has only run at Ascot once (hurdles) and was a well-beaten 10/11 fav that day. Therefore, he’s a bit to answer re the track, but, in contrast, the Mullins horse seems to love it here – his form reads 2-from-2 as the 2017 renewal of this race that he won was staged at Cheltenham. Soft/heavy ground is a plus and despite his advancing years (is 12 now) the reports from the Mullins yard is that he’s still showing his sparkle and that was backed up with a second in the Tingle Creek – a race that also came off a 221 day break so can also be expected to have improved for it. Of the rest, Janika looks best of the rest and can pick up the pieces if the main two both have an off day.

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