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20th October 2020

2020 Classic Chase Free Tips and Trends

The Classic Chase is a 3m5f gruelling Grade 3 handicap that is run at Warwick racecourse every season in January and provides punters with another chance to see some potential Aintree Grand National hopefuls on show – In 2017 the Lucinda Russell-trained One For Arthur won the Classic Chase before going onto land the Grand National at Aintree in April, while 12 months ago we saw Impulsive Star take the prize.

Did you know that ALL of the last 14 Classic Chase winners have raced in the last 6 weeks.

We take a look back at recent winners of the Classic Chase and give you the key betting trends, plus our free horse racing tip in the Classic Chase, this year in 2020 set to be run on Saturday 11th January.

Recent Classic Chase Winners

2019 - IMPULSIVE STAR (8/1)
2018 – MILANSBAR (12/1)
2017 – ONE FOR ARTHUR (14/1)
2016 – RUSSE BLANC (20/1)
2015 – HAWKES POINT (15/2)
2014 – SHOTGUN PADDY (9/1)
2013 - RIGADIN DE BEAUCHENE (5/1)
2012 – HEY BIG SPENDER (14/1)
2011 – WEST END ROCKER (10/1)
2010 – No Race
2009 – No Race
2008 – D’ARGENT (18/1)
2007 – LADALKO (9/2 fav)
2006 – EUROTREK (6/1)
2005 – BARON WINDRUSH (11/1)
2004 – SOUTHERN STAR (15/2)

Classic Chase Betting Trends and Stats

14/14 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
12/14 – Had won a chase race over at least 3m
13/14 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
11/14 – Carried 11-2 or less in weight
11/14 – Winners that came from outside the top 3 in the betting market
10/14 – Officially rated between 129-140
10/14 – Aged between 7-9 years-old
9/14 – Won by a horse aged 9 or older
9/14 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
9/14 – Won by an Irish bred horse
8/14 – Won between 2-5 times over fences before
8/14 – Had raced at Warwick (hurdles, chase, NH Flat) previously
8/14 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
7/14 – Returned a double-figure price
7/14 – Favourites placed
6/14 – Had run at either Cheltenham (3) or Newbury (3) in their last race
5/14 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Grand National (One For Arthur won both races in 2017)
3/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/14 – Won their last race
2/14 – Trained by Alan King Just one winning favourite in the last 14 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 14 runnings is 10.5/1

 

TQ VERDICT: The 10 year-old IMPULSIVE STAR (e/w) won this race last year and off just 4lbs higher has to enter the mix with the first-time blinkers on. He should be much fitter for a recent run. and this would have been a target all season – his regular rider, Sam Waley-Cohen, goes the steering. Other proven stayers over this trip are Mysteree and Goodnight Charlie. Cheltenham Festival winner – Le Breuil – is a proven course winner and it’s interesting that connections put a 7lb claimer on to help with the 11-12 weight, but you just wonder if Cheltenham is this ones main target again. Bobo Mac and Kimberlite Candy have to be considered too, as well as Darlac and the consistent Petite Power, but despite being the likely favourite I was really taken by the way THE CONDITIONAL ran in the Ladbrokes Trophy at the end of November and looks a staying chaser on the up. Yes, he’s 5lbs higher here and has a lot more weight to carry in this lesser graded race but this 8 year-old was only beaten 1 ½ lengths at the line in that decent Newbury handicap. Connections are clearly taking their time with him and around 6 weeks off would have him fresh and well ready for this. The extra trip is a slight unknown, but he stayed on well over 3m2f last time to suggest it’s within range.

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