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28th November 2020

2020 Haldon Gold Cup Betting Trends & Tips

The focus is on Exeter racecourse on Tuesday 3rd November as they stage the 2020 Haldon Gold Cup Chase – a Grade 2 limited handicap run over 2m1f.

Here at TQ we've got all the key stats to look out for ahead of the 2020 renewal, this year run on Tuesday 3rd November. Did you know that 12 of the last 18 winners were French-bred, while ALL of the last 18 winners returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting.

 

Recent Haldon Gold Cup Winners

2019 - JANIKA (5/2 fav)
2018 – GOD’S OWN (7/2)
2017 - POLITOLOGUE (5/2 fav)
2016 – SIR VALENTINO (10/1)
2015 – VIBRATO VALTAT (5/2 fav)
2014 – GOD’S OWN (8/1)
2013 – SOMERSBY (9/2)
2012 – CUE CARD (5/6 fav)
2011 – MEDERMIT (7/2)
2010 – TCHICO POLOS (3/1)
2009 – PLANET OF SOUND (4/1 fav)
2008 – ASHLEY BROOK (8/1)
2007 – PABLO DU CHARMIL (9/2)
2006 – IMPEK (9/1)
2005 – MONKERHOSTIN (10/1)
2004 – AZERTYUIOP (6/5 fav)
2003 – EDREDON BLEU (7/2)
2002 -  EDREDON BLEU (10/1)

Haldon Gold Cup Betting Trends

18/18 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
17/18 – Had won a chase race over at least 2m2f before
17/18 – Having their 1st run of the new season
16/18 – Officially rated 150 or higher
15/18 – Had won at least 3 times over fences before
12/18 – Won by a French-bred horse
12/18 – Carried 10-9 or more
11/18 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
10/18 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
10/18 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
10/18 – Ran at either Aintree (5) or Cheltenham (5) last time out
7/18 – Unplaced favourites
7/18 – Had won just 3 previous times over fences
6/18 – Winning favourites
5/18 – Had won over fences at Exeter before
5/18 – Carried 11-10
4/18 – Aged 7 years-old
4/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/18 – Trained by Tom George
3/18 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
3/18 – Won their last race
2/18 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
The average winning SP in the last 18 years is 5/1

TQ VERDICT: A decent enough renewal of this Grade 2 Handicap Chase on what is Exeter racecourse's biggest day of the season. It's a race the Paul Nicholls and Tom George yards have done well in recently - winning 7 of the last 18 runnings between them and they both look to have decent chances again in 2020 with Nicholls running Greaneteen, while George has the top-rated Bun Doran in the contest. Bun Doran has to give weight away all round as a result of being the best horse in the ratings in the race, but he's gone well fresh in the past and it's hard to ignore the stables record of three wins in the last six years. However, this will be the furthest he's gone so lasting home is a bit of a question mark. With that in mind, I'd rather opt for the Nicholls runner - GREANETEEN - who has won over slightly longer in the past, but has also won here at Exeter - albiet over hurdles. He's also gone well fresh in the past and certainly wasn't disgraced when running fourth in the Grand Annual Chase at the Cheltenham Festival back in March. He's only a pound higher for that run and prior to that had been going the right way with three wins on the spin at Ascot, Musselburgh and Fontwell. He looks the sort to have more in the locker - he's still only 6 years-old - and has only had 9 career runs, while the Nicholls yard have a cracking 32% record with their chasers here. Of the rest, Vision Des Flos and Espirit Du Large are proven course winners too. The last-named was last seen falling in the Arkle when beaten at the time, but before that had won two solid races over fences, including once here at Exeter - he looks one for the shortlist. Global Citizen and Glen Forsa certainly have the form to go well too, but the other of interest is the Nick Williams runner - MOONLIGHTER (e/w). The yard boasts an impressive 38% record with their chasers at Exeter and this 7 year-old gets in here with only 10-8 to carry. He probably found the 2m5f trip too far last time so this drop back will suit and prior to that run was a fair 4th in the Kingmaker Novices' Chase at Warwick. He's only had 6 runs over fences and could have more to come.

 

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