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27th September 2020

2020 Skybet Chase Free Tips and Trends

Staged at Doncaster racecourse the Skybet Chase (formerly known as the Great Yorkshire Chase) is a Listed Handicap run over 3m. The race can often throw up some Grand National clues, although no winner in the last 10 runnings has gone onto win the Aintree marathon.

In recent years the Alan King, Paul Nicholls and Pipe stables have dominated the race with two wins a-piece since 2003, while in the last 13 runnings we’ve seen just two winning favourites. The Alan King team have won two of the last four runnings of the SkyBet Chase with Ziga Boy (in photo).

Here at TQ we look back at recent winners (note, the 2010 and 2011 runnings were abandoned) and gives you the key stats to take into the 2020 renewal – this year being run on Saturday 25th January.

 

Recent Skybet Chase Winners

2019 - GO CONQUER
2018 - WAKANDA (8/1)
2017 – ZIGA BOY (10/1)
2016 – ZIGA BOY (8/1)
2015 – IF IN DOUBT (4/1 fav)
2014 – RAINBOW HUNTER (25/1)
2013 – Meeting Abandoned
2012 – CALGARY BAY (12/1)
2009 – BIG FELLA THANKS (9/2)
2008 – AN ACCORDION (11/2 fav)
2007 – SIMON (7/1)
2006 – A GLASS IN THYNE (16/1)
2005 – COLOURFUL LIFE (9/1)
2004 – TYNEANDTHYNEAGAIN (7/1)
2003 – BARRYSCOURT LAD (9/2)

Key Skybet Chase Betting Trends

13/14 – Had won between 0-3 times over fences before
12/14 – Carried 11-2 or less
12/14 – Aged 9 or younger
11/14 – Officially rated 130 or higher
11/14 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
10/14 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9/14 – Carried 10-12 or less
9/14 – Unplaced favourites
8/14 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
8/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/14 – Irish bred
7/14 – Finished unplaced last time out
4/14 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/14 – Won last time out
2/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/14 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Trained by Alan King
The average winning SP in the last 14 runnings is 9/1

Note: The 2007 running was staged at Southwell

Other Stats:
4 of the last 13 winners of this race went onto contest the William Hill Trophy (now JLT Chase) at the Cheltenham Festival that season (1 winner)
5 of the last 13 winners went onto run in that season’s Grand National (no winners, all unplaced)

 

TQ VERDICT: Having trained two of the last four winners of this race then trainer Alan King is always a yard to follow. He’s got another big-looking hand this year too with Good Man Pat, Azzerti and DINGO DOLLAR in the race and both have been popular in the betting all week. The former was last seen running 5th at Ascot over 3m on heavy ground so the concern, for me, would be his stamina. With that in mind Dingo Dollar looks the more reliable of the pair having run sixth in this race last year but gets in this time rated 2lbs lower. He’s still only 8 years-old and has returned this season with a decent 5th in the Ladbrokes Trophy (Hennessy). He’s been kept fresh for this, with no runs since and with another year to strengthen-up I think he can run a solid race – Tom Cannon rides. Trainer Sue Smith won this in 2018 and tries again - this time with Ravenhill Road, who is another course winner in the field and heads here off the back of a good win at Haydock last time out. Joint top-weight Ok Corral will have its supporters for the Nicky Henderson yard, but he’s been very poor so far this season so would need to recapture his old form to figure. Henderson also has Burbank in the race and having won well at Newbury last time can go well – but is 11lbs higher this time! The consistent Fingerontheswitch has been running well this season too, but with 12 of the last 14 winners aged 9 or younger, then this 10 year-old is overlooked. Chidswell (11), Ok Corral(10), Calipto (10) and Monbeg River (11) are the other old-timers the race. Cobra De Mai, Solomon Grey and Quarenta are others that cases can be made for, but the other Alan King runner – GOOD MAN PAT (e/w) – could represent some value. This 7 year-old has the useful Alex Thorne riding and claiming 7lbs and looks the sort to do better now upped in trip again. He ran well over this trip in November but is 3lbs lower this time and also have the jockey claiming 7lbs so is 10lbs better off. Soft ground is fine too and with just 7 runs over fences and age on his side might have more to offer.

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