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4th December 2020

2020 Thyestes Chase Free Tips and Trends

Staged at Gowran Park racecourse, in Ireland, the Thyestes Chase is run over a distance of 3m, and is often contested by horses that go onto run in the Grand National later in the season. That said, we’ve not seen any winners of this race go onto win the Aintree race that same season, but Hedgehunter (2004) and Numbersixvalverde (2005) did go onto glory in the Aintree marathon later in their careers.

In recent years, the Willie Mullins yard have won the Thyestes Chase four times in the last 8 runnings, and seven times in all – he looks to have another strong hand this year too.

Here at TQ we look back at recent winners and highlights the key stats to take into the 2020 running – this year staged on Thursday 23rd January.

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Recent Thyestes Chase Winners

2019 – INVITATION ONLY (4/1 fav)
2018 - MONBEG NOTORIOUS (7/2 fav)
2017 – CHAMPAGNE WEST (7/1)
2016 – MY MURPHY (16/1)
2015 – DJAKADAM (9/2)
2014 – ON HIS OWN (12/1)
2013 – JADANLI (25/1)
2012 – ON HIS OWN (10/1)
2011 – SIEGEMASTER (16/1)
2010 – WHINSTONE BOY (5/1)
2009 – PREISTS LEAP (20/1)
2008 – PREISTS LEAP (20/1)
2007 – HOMER WELLS (16/1)
2006 – DUN DOIRE (9/4 fav)
2005 – NUMBERSIXVALVERDE (8/1)
2004 – HEDGEHUNTER (10/3 fav)
2003 – BE MY BELLE (4/1)

 

Thyestes Chase Betting Trends

17/17 – Won by an Irish-based stable
16/17 – Irish bred
16/17 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
16/17 – Had won between 1-3 times over fences (rules) before
13/17 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
13/17 – Aged 9 or younger
13/17 – Placed favourites
11/17 – Carried 10-7 or less
9/17 – Had run at Gowran Park over fences before
9/17 – Finished unplaced last time out
9/17 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
9/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
7/17 – Raced at Leopardstown last time out
6/17 – Trained by Willie Mullins (won the race 7 times in all)
4/17 – Went onto run in that season’s Grand National (all failed to finish)
4/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Won last time out
2/17 – Ridden by Phillip Enright
2/17 – Ridden by David Casey
2/17 – Won by a previous winner of the race
The average winning SP in the last 17 runnings is 10/1

TQ VERDICT:
BEST BET: SMOKING GUN
DANGERS: PONT AVEN, ROARING BULL

 

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