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21st September 2021

2021 Coral Eclipse Stakes Free Tips and Trends

Run over 1m2f at Sandown Park racecourse in early July the Coral-Eclipse Stakes is open to horses aged 3 or older and with 15 of the last 19 winners having already landed a Group One contest in their careers then it often attracts some of the best horses from around the world.

In recent years, we’ve seen 2 of the last 12 Epsom Derby winners from that season go onto land the Coral-Eclipse, while favourites have a decent record – winning 9 of the last 19 and being placed in 15 of the last 19.

Here at TQ we look back at recent winners and highlights the key stats to be looking out for ahead of the 2021 renewal – this year run on Saturday 3rd July.

 

Coral-Eclipse Stakes Past Winners

2020 – Ghaiyyath (9/4)
2019 - Enable (4/6 fav)
2018 - Roaring Lion (7/4 fav)
2017 – Ulysses (8/1)
2016 – Hawkbill (6/1)
2015 – Golden Horn (4/9 fav)
2014 – Mukhadram (14/1)
2013 – Al Kazeem (15/8 fav)
2012 – Nathaniel (7/2)
2011 – So You Think (4/11 fav)
2010 - Twice Over (13/8 fav)
2009 – Sea The Stars (4/7 fav)
2008 – Mount Nelson (7/2)
2007 – Notnowcato (7/1)
2006 –David Junior (9/4)
2005 –Oratorio (12/1)
2004 –Refuse To Bend (15/2)
2003 –Falbrav (8/1)
2002 – Hawk Wing (8/15 fav)

Eclipse Stakes Betting Trends

19/19 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
15/19 – Had at least 2 runs already that season
15/19 – Won by a previous Group One winner
15/19 – Placed favourites
14/19 – Placed in their last race
13/19 – Raced between 2 and 3 times that season
11/19 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out (three won there)
9/19 – Favourites that won
5/19 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
5/19 – Raced in the Epsom Derby that season
4/19 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
4/19 – Trained by John Gosden (4 of last 9)
6 of the last 14 winners won last time out
2 of the last 12 Derby winners of that season went onto win the race
The last 6 year-old to win the race was in 1886
The average winning SP in the last 19 runnings is 9/2

13 of out the last 16 winners had run in the previous 30 days
12 out of the last 16 winners were Group 1 winners
15 of the last 16 winners came from the first four in the betting
14 out of the last 16 winners had won over 1m 2f or further

Other Eclipse Stakes Trainer Facts

Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2011, 2008, 2005, 2002 & 2000
Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 2007, 2001, 1997, 1994, 1993 & 2017
Godolphin-owned horses have won the race in 2004, 1998, 1996, 1995, 2016 & 2020
Trainer John Gosden has won 4 of the last 9 runnings

TQ VERDICT: A real shame that for this lucrative G1 contest we’ve only four runners and really with the Roger Varian-trained El Drama rated 13lbs+ inferior to the other trio. That leaves us with three runners to focus on - St Mark’s Basilica, Mishriff and Addeybb. A case can certainly be made for them all. Trainer John Gosden has won 4 of the last 9 runnings and will be trying to follow-up with his globe-trotting Mishriff. This 4 year-old has won over £10m in prise money to date and was last seen taking the G1 Sheema Classic at Meydan. He’s a top-class middle-distance performer and with the stiff finish here at Sandown will be fine dropping back to 1m2f here. The concern though is having to give 10lbs away to this season’s French Guineas and Derby winner - ST MARK’S BASILICA. This Aidan O’Brien runner has clearly improved this term for stepping up in trip and there could be more to come having only had seven career outings. He’s now won his last three races - all Group Ones - and looks another top-class performer to come off the Ballydoyle conveyor belt. Ryan Moore rides and being a 3 year-old gets a handy 10lbs from both Mishriff and Addeybb. Of course, the William Haggas-trained Addeybb is certainly not discounted either. He’s the only course winner in the field and has won two of his last three G1 races. He stays this trip will and is the top-rated in the field (125) too. But, as mentioned, he’s also got to give 10lbs away to the 120-rated St Mark’s Basilica, while this race has also been won by a horse aged 5 or younger in ALL of the last 19 renewals - a trend this 7 year-old will, therefore, have to overcome.

 

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