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7th May 2021

2021 Peter Marsh Chase Free Tips and Trends

The Peter Marsh Chase is a Grade Two race run over 3m that is staged at Haydock Park racecourse.
First run in 1981 the contest is sometimes billed as another Grand National trial, but we’ve yet to see a winner of this race land the Aintree marathon in the same season, although the 1995 winner, Earth Summit, did go onto win the Grand National 3 years later.

Here at TQ we take a look back at recent winners and gives you the main stats to look out for ahead of the 2021 renewal – this year run on Saturday January 23rd.

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Recent Peter Marsh Chase Winners

2020 – VINTAGE CLOUDS (7/1)
2019 - WAKANDA (6/1)
2018 – THE DUTCHMAN (13/2)
2017 – BRISTOL DE MAI (4/1 jfav)
2016 – CLOUDY TOO (6/1)
2015 – SAMSTOWN (16/1)
2014 – WYCHWOODS BROOK (16/1)
2013 – No race
2012 – ACCORDING TO PETE (9/1)
2011 – No race
2010 – OUR VIC (20/1)
2009 – CLOUDY LANE (6/1)
2008 – No race
2007 – THE OUTLIER (8/1)
2006 – EBONY LIGHT (33/1)
2005 – LORD TRANSCEND (9/4 fav)
2004 – ARTIC JACK (6/1)
2003 – TRUCKERS TAVERN (9/2)
2002 – RED STRIKER (8/1)
2001 – No race
2000 – THE LAST FLING (11/2)

Key Peter Marsh Chase Betting Trends

17/17 – Won on ground described as soft or worse previously
16/17 – Aged 8 or older
16/17 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
16/17 – Carried 11-3 or less in weight
15/17 – Had run within the last 36 days
12/17 – Won at least 3 times over fences previously
12/17 – Officially Rated 139 or higher
12/17 – Won at Haydock previously
12/17 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
11/17 – Favourites unplaced
10/17 – Irish bred
10/17 – Won before (fences) over at least 3m
9/17 – Won between 3-5 times over fences before
9/17 – Aged either 8 or 9 years-old
9/17 – From outside the top 3 in the betting
9/17 – Finished in the top 3 in their last race
9/17 – Won over fences at Haydock before
7/17 – Went onto finish unplaced in that season’s Grand National
7/17 – Ran at Wetherby last time out
6/17 – Raced in the Rowland Meyrick (Wetherby) last time out
6/17 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
5/17 – Trained by Sue Smith
4/17 – Ridden by Danny Cook
2/17 – Trained by the McCain stable
2/17 – Won their last race
2/17 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 17 runnings is 10/1

 

The Venetia Williams yard are going well at the moment and they look to have a decent staying chaser on their hands here with Royale Pagaille, who has won his last two. However, he’s been raised a big-looking 16lbs from the last of those wins and even though he was very impressive the last day at Kempton, that’s a big jump and he’s also got a huge weight 11st 10lbs to carry here. I can’t put you off him, but I don’t think he’s much value. Course winner Sam’s Adventure is only 6lbs higher than his win here last month but also only has 10st 7lbs to carry this time. But a chance is taken on another ‘Sam’ – in SAM BROWN. This lightly-raced 9 year-old could have more scope than most with only four runs over fences and last time he ran the useful Imperial Aura to 3 lengths at Carlisle. He’s off the same mark here but the step up in trip looks interesting. Okay, he’s got to prove he stays this far and that’s an unknown, but has won over 2m 7 1/2f in the past so the signs are good. Heavy ground is fine too and despite the 83-day break he’s a horse that’s gone well fresh in the past. Of the rest, the Colin Tizzard yard have a 20% record with their chasers here so their LAMANVER PIPPIN (e/w) is worth a saver too. He ran poorly last time out at Chepstow as favourite, but is better than that based on his 1 length second at Cheltenham the time before. He gets in here with a lowly 10st 4lbs in weight and Nico de Boinville is an eye-catching jockey booking.

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