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14th June 2021

2021 Royal Ascot Free Tips and Trends: DAY TWO (Weds 16th June)

The feature contest on DAY TWO at Royal Ascot is the Group One Prince of Wales’s Stakes at 4.20. Did you know? 18 of the last 19 Prince Of Wales’s Stakes winners were aged 4 or 5 years-old, while 13 of the last 19 successful horses in the race were previous Group One winners. Like all big race days here at TQ we’ve got it all covered with key trends and stats– use these trends to narrow down the field and find the best past profiles of recent winners.

 

2021 Royal Ascot Horse Racing Trends

2.30 - Queen Mary Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies) 5f ITV

Queen Mary Recent Winners 2020 – Campanelle (9/2) 2019 – Raffle Prize (18/1) 2018 – Signora Cabello (25/1) 2017 – Heartache (5/1) 2016 – Lady Aurelia (2/1 fav) 2015 – Acapulco (5/2 fav) 2014 – Anthem Alexander (9/4 fav) 2013 – Rizeena (6/1) 2012 – Ceiling Kitty (20/1) 2011 – Best Terms (12/1) 2010 – Maqaasid (9/4 fav) 2009 – Jealous Again (13/2) 2008 – Langs Lash (25/1) 2007 – Elletelle (20/1) 2006 – Gilded (11/2) 2005 – Flashy Wings (4/1 jfav) 2004 – Damson (11/2 jfav) 2003 – Attraction (13/8 fav) 2002 – Romantic Liason (16/1) Queen Mary Stakes Trends 18/19 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out 18/19 – Had between 1 and 3 previous runs that season 16/19 – Had won over 5f (or shorter) before 16/19 – Won their previous race 15/19 – Won by a horse foaled between Jan-Mar 13/19 – Placed favourites 7/19 – Winning favourites (2 joint) 7/19 – Returned a double-figure price 4/19 – Trained by Wesley Ward (including 3 of last 6 runnings) 3/19 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (3 of the last 5) 2/19 – Won by trainer Richard Hannon  

3.05 - Queen´s Vase (Listed) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 2m ITV Queen´s Vase Recent Winners

2020 – Santiago (10/3) 2019 – Dashing Willoughby (6/1) 2018 – Kew Gardens (10/3) 2017 – Stradivarius (11/2) 2016 – Sword Fighter (33/1) 2015 – Aloft (5/2 fav) 2014 – Hartnell (7/2) 2013 – Leading Light (5/4 fav) 2012 – Estimate (3/1 fav) 2011 – Namibian (7/2 fav) 2010 – Mikhail Glinka (2/1 fav) 2009 – Holberg (7/1) 2008 – Patkai (6/4 fav) 2007 – Mahler (7/1) 2006 – Soapy Danger (4/1) 2005 – Melrose Avenue (4/1) 2004 – Duke Of Venice (9/2) 2003 – Shanty Star (7/2 fav) Queen´s Vase Key Trends 16/18 – Had never raced at Ascot before 12/18 – Had at least 2 previous career wins 12/18 – Placed last time out 11/18 – Had run over at least 1m4f before 9/18 – Placed favourites 7/18 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien 6/18 – Ran at either Lingfield or Haydock last time out 6/18 – Winning favourites 5/18 - Trained by Mark Johnston 5/18 - Ridden by Ryan Moore 2/18 - Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (won it 4 times in all) 2/18 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori No winner from stall 1 in the last 15 years The horse from stall 7 has been placed in 6 of the last 14 runnings (4 wins) 14 of the last 15 winners came from a single-figure stall 6 of the last 15 winners came from stalls 7 or 8  

3.40 - The Duke of Cambridge Stakes (Windsor Forest) (Group 2) 1m ITV

Duke of Cambridge Recent Winners 2020 – Nazeef (10/3) 2019 – Move Swiftly (9/1) 2018 – Aljazzi (9/2) 2017 – Qemah (5/2 fav) 2016 – Usherette (9/4 fav) 2015 – Amazing Maria (25/1) 2014 – Integral (9/4 fav) 2013 – Duntle (10/3) 2012 – Joviality (11/1) 2011 – Lolly For Dolly (11/1) 2010 – Strawberrydaiquiri (9/2) 2009 – Spacious (10/1) 2008 – Sabana Perdida (4/1) 2007 – Nannina (3/1 co-fav) 2006 – Soviet Song (11/8 fav) 2005 – Peeress (14/1) 2004 – Favourable Terms (13/2) Duke of Cambridge Trends 16/17 – Had won over a mile (or further) before 15/17 – Had at least 1 previous run that season 15/17 – Finished in the top 3 last time out 14/17 – Won by a 4 year-old 14/17 – Had won a Group 3 or better race before 11/17 – Had run at Ascot before 10/17 – Favourites that were placed 7/17 – Had won at Ascot before 5/17 – Returned a double-figure price 5/17 – Winning favourites (1 co) 4/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute 4/17 – Ran at Epsom last time out 4/17 – Owned by Cheveley Park Stud 3/17 – Trained by John Gosden 2/17 – Won by trainer James Fanshawe 2/17 – Winners from stall 1 Only four placed horses (2 winners) from stall 1 in the last 17 runnings  

4.20 - Prince of Wales´s Stakes (Group 1) 1m2f ITV

Prince of Wales´s Stakes Recent Winners 2020 – Lord North (5/1) 2019 – Crystal Ocean (3/1) 2018 – Poet’s Word (11/2) 2017 – Highland Reel (9/4) 2016 – My Dream Boat (16/1) 2015 – Free Eagle (5/2 fav) 2014 – The Fugue (11/2) 2013 – Al Kazeem (11/4) 2012 – So You Think (4/5 fav) 2011 – Rewilding (17/2) 2010 – Byword (5/2 fav) 2009 – Vision D’etat (4/1) 2008 – Duke of Marmalade (Evs fav) 2007 – Manduro (15/8 fav) 2006 – Ouija Board (8/1) 2005 – Azamour (11/8 fav) 2004 – Rakti (3/1) 2003 – Nayef (5/1) 2002 -  Grandera (4/1) Prince of Wales´s Stakes Trends 19/19 – Had won over at least 1m2f before 18/19 – Returned 17/2 or shorter in the betting 18/19 – Won by a 4 or 5 year-old 16/19 – Had at least 1 previous run that season 16/19 – Finished in the top three last time out 13/19 – Were previous Group 1 winners 12/19 – Placed favourites 11/19 – Won their last race 11/19 – Had run at Ascot before 9/19 – Won by a non-UK based trainer 6/19 – Winning favourites 3/19 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien 3/19 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori 2/19 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse 3 of the last 13 runnings have gone to a French-trained horse

5.00 - Royal Hunt Cup (Heritage Handicap) 1m ITV

Royal Hunt Cup Recent Winners 2020 – Dark Vision (15/2) 2019 – Afaak (20/1) 2018 – Settle For Bay (16/1) 2017 – Zhui Feng (25/1) 2016 – Portage (10/1) 2015 – GM Hopkins (8/1) 2014 – Field of Dream (20/1) 2013 – Belgian Bill (33/1) 2012 – Prince Of Johanne (16/1) 2011 – Julienas (12/1) 2010 – Invisible Man (28/1) 2009 – Forgotten Voice (4/1 fav) 2008 – Mr Aviator (25/1) 2007 – Royal Oath (9/1) 2006 – Cesare (14/1) 2005 – New Seeker (11/1) 2004 – Mine (16/1) 2003 – Macadamia (8/1) 2002 – Norton (25/1) Royal Hunt Cup Trends 17/19 – Had won over at least a mile before 16/19 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old 14/19 – Unplaced favourites 14/19 – Returned a double-figure price 14/19 – Carried 9-1 or less 12/19 – Had run at Ascot before 11/19 – Won by a 4 year-old (inc 9 of the last 12 runnings) 10/19 – Had 2 or 3 previous runs that season 5/19 – Won their last race 2/19 – Won by trainer James Fanshawe 2/19 – Won by trainer John Gosden 1/19 – Winning favourites Overall, high number stalls have dominated in recent years 13 of the last 15 winners came from a double-figure stall We’ve seen 3 winners from stall 33 in the last 12 runnings  

5.35 - Windsor Castle Stakes (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 5f ITV

Windsor Castle Recent Winners 2020 – Tactical (7/2 fav) 2019 – Southern Hills (7/1) 2018 – Soldier’s Call (12/1) 2017 – Sound And Silence (16/1) 2016 – Ardad (20/1) 2015 – Washington DC (5/1) 2014 – Hootenanny (7/2 fav) 2013 – Extortionist (16/1) 2012 – Hototo (14/1) 2011 – Frederick Engels (9/4 fav) 2010 – Marine Commando (9/2) 2009 – Strike The Tiger (33/1) 2008 – Flashmans Papers (100/1) 2007 – Drawnfromthepast (9/1) 2006 – Elhamri (20/1) 2005 – Titus Alone (11/4) 2004 – Chateau Istana (12/1) 2003 – Holborn (5/2 fav) 2002 – Revenue (14/1) Windsor Castle Trends 19/19 – Had at least 1 previous outing 18/19 – Won by a foal born April or earlier 17/19 – Had 2 or 3 previous runs 14/19 – Had won over 5f before 14/19 – Placed last time out 14/19 – Had never run at Ascot before 10/19 – Returned a double-figure price (inc a 100/1 winner) 10/19 – Unplaced favourites 9/19 – Won their previous race 9/19 – Won by a Feb foal 4/19 – Winning favourites 2/19 – Trained by Wesley Ward Just one horse placed from stall 1 in the last 13 runnings 10 of the last 13 winners came from a double-figure stall  

6.10 – Kensington Palace Stakes (Handicap) (4yo+) fillies and mares 1m ITV4

To follow.............   =================================================================

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