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20th October 2020

Boxing Day (26th Dec 19) Tips and Trends: Kempton & Wetherby

A huge day on Boxing Day with eight domestic horse racing fixtures, but the festive highlight as racing resumes after a three-day break is the King George VI Meeting at Kempton Park.

The King George VI  Chase is the feature race of the day as punters will look to get their Christmas expenses paid for – a race in recent years we’ve seen horse racing greats like Kauto Star, Long Run, Best Mate, Kicking King, One Man and, more recently, Thistlecrack and Might Bite, landing the prize.

We take a look at each race on the card and highlight the main trends – hopefully this will help you narrow down the fields and point you in the direction of a few winners.

 

 

Kempton Horse Racing Trends (RacingUK/ITV)

12:50 – 32Red Casino Mobile Novices' Hurdle Race 2m

12/12 – Had raced in the last 8 weeks
11/12 - Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/12 – Favourites placed in the top 3
10/12 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
9/12 – Had won a NH Flat race before
9/12 – Winning distance 3 lengths or more
7/12 – Won just once over hurdles before
7/12 – Winning favourites
3/12 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
4/12 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/12 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
Mister Fisher (7/2) won the race 12 months ago

BEST BET: VEGAS BLUE
Danger: GETAWAY FRED

1.20 – 32Red.com Chase (A Novices´ Limited Handicap) Chase Cl3 2m4f110y ITV

15/15 – Aged 7 or younger
14/15 – Had won between 0-1 times over fences in the UK
13/15 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
10/15 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
8/15 – Placed favourites (1 joint)
8/15 – Officially rated between 119 and 125
7/15 – Carried 11-6 or more
6/15 – Winning distance – 6 lengths or more
6/15 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
5/15 – Won by a French bred horse
5/15 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
4/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
2/15 – Raced at Kempton last time out
Glen Forsa (7/1) won the race 12 months ago

BEST BET: HOLD THE NOTE
Danger: FIDUX

1.55 – 32RedKauto Star Novices´ Chase (In memory of Nigel Clark) (Grade 1) Cl1 3m ITV

16/16 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
15/16 – Placed in the top two last time out
12/16 – Won last time out
12/16 – French (7) or Irish (5) bred
11/16 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
11/16 – Aged 6 or younger
11/16 – Had won at least 2 times over fences in the UK
10/16 – Went onto run in that season’s RSA Chase (no winners)
10/16 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
9/16 – Aged 6 years-old
8/16 – Placed favourites
8/16 – Had won (chase) over at least 3m before
8/16 – Raced at Newbury last time out
7/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/16 – Trained by David Pipe
2/16 – Ridden by Tom Scudamore
2/16 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
1/16 – French trained
1/16 – Went onto run in the Cheltenham Gold Cup (One winner - Coneygree 2015)
La Bague Au Roi (8/1) won the race 12 months ago

BEST BET: DANNY WHIZZBANG
Danger: SLATE HOUSE

2.30 – Unibet Christmas Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV

15/17 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
15/17 – Had won at least 4 times over hurdles before
14/17 – Placed favourites
13/17 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
11/17 – Went onto run in the Champion Hurdle (Faughan (2015) & Buveur D’Air (2018) winners)
10/17 – Won last time out
9/17 – Winning favourites
9/17 – Went onto finish in the top 5 in the Champion Hurdle that season
8/17 – Irish trained
8/17 – Ran in the Fighting Fifth Hurdle (Newcastle) last time out
8/17 – Had run over hurdles at Kempton before
6/17 – French bred
6/17 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
4/17 – Trained by Noel Meade
2/17 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/17 – Trained by Willie Mullins
Verdana Blue (11/2) won the race 12 months ago

BEST BET: FUSIL RAFFLES
Danger: SILVER STREAK

3.05 – 32Red King George VI Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 3m ITV

16/17 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
15/17 – Had won a Grade One chase before
15/17 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
15/17 – Finished in the top three last time out
15/17 – French (11) or Irish bred (4)
14/17 – Placed favourites
14/17 – Had won over 3m or further (fences) before
13/17 – Officially rated 169 or higher
13/17 – Aged 8 or younger
11/17 – Winning favourites
11/17 – Won last time out
10/17 – Had won a race over fences at Kempton before
10/17 – Ran in the Betfair Chase (Haydock) last time out
9/17 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
8/17 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (10 times in all)
7/17 – Won by a previous winner of the race
2/17 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
2/17 – Won by an Irish-based yard (only 3 in the last 33 runnings)
Colin Tizzard and Nicky Henderson have trained 5 of the last 9 winners (2 Tizzard, 3 Henderson)
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 4/1

BEST BET: CYRNAME
Danger: CLAN DES OBEAUX

15:40 – 32Red Download The App Handicap Hurdle Race 2m5f

 

12/12 – Won no more than 3 times (UK Hurdles)
11/12 – Aged 6 or younger
10/12 – Won between 0-2 times hurdles (UK)
10/12 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
10/12 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/12 – Carried 11-2 or more in weight
8/12 – Officially rated 120-129
8/12 – Ran 5 or less weeks ago
8/12 – Won last time out
6/12 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
6/12 – Unplaced favourites
6/12 – French bred
3/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
Erick Le Rouge (7/1) won the race 12 months ago

BEST BET: LASKADINE
Danger: ELYSEES

Wetherby Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

2.10- Rowland Meyrick Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m45y ITV

10/11 – Aged 8 or younger
10/11 – Had won 3 or less times over fences (UK)
9/11 – Didn’t win last time out
9/11 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
9/11 – Raced in the last 5 weeks
9/11 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
8/11 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
8/11 – Had raced at Wetherby before
7/11 – Unplaced in their last race
7/11 – Had won over 3m (chase) before
6/11 – Irish bred
4/11 – Raced at either Haydock (2) or Aintree (2) last time out
2/11– Winning favourites
Lake View Lad won the race 12 months ago

BEST BET: LAKE VIEW LAD
Danger: TOP VILLE BEN

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