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20th September 2021

King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes Betting Trends

Staged at Ascot racecourse, the King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes is run over a distance of 1m4f and is generally regarded as Britain’s most prestigious all-aged flat horse race.
With over £600,000 up for grabs for the winner the it goes without saying the race always attracts horses from the best yards around the country with Sir Michael Stoute and Saeed Bin Suroor, who have both won the King George five times, the trainers with the best recent record in the contest, while the powerful Aidan O’Brien yard have won the race four times.

We take a look back at the recent winners of the race and give you the key trends to look out for ahead of the 2018 renewal – this year run on Saturday 28th July.

Past King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes Winners

2017 – Enable (5/4 fav)
2016 – Highland Reel (13/8 fav)
2015 – Postponed (6/1)
2014 – Taghrooda (7/2)
2013 – Novellist (13/2)
2012 – Danedream (9/1)
2011 – Nathaniel (11/2)
2010 – Harbinger (4/1)
2009 – Conduit (13/8 fav)
2008 – Duke of Marmalade (4/6 fav)
2007 – Dylan Thomas (5/4 fav)
2006 – Hurricane Run (5/6 fav)
2005 – Azamour (5/2 fav)
2004 – Doyen (11/10 fav)
2003 – Alamshar (13/2)
2002 – Golan (11/2)

King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes 16 Year Trends

16/16 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
16/16 – Previous Group 1 or 2 winners
15/16 – Had 2 or more runs already that season
14/16 – Had won over 1m4f before
13/16 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Placed last time out
12/16 – Previous Group 1 winner
12/16 – aged 4 years-old
9/16 – Had run Ascot before
9/16 – Won their previous race
8/16 – Favourites that won
7/16 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
5/16 – Won at Ascot before
3/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
Frankie Dettori has ridden the winner in 1995, 1998, 1999, 2004 and 2017
2 of the last 4 winners were that season’s Epsom Oaks winner
Galileo (2001) was the last horse to do the Derby/King George double
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 1981, 1983, 2002, 2009 & 2010
Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor won the race in 1995, 1997, 1998, 1999 & 2004
Trainer Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2001, 2007, 2008 & 2016
The average winning SP in the last 16 runnings is 7/2


TQ VERDICT: A decent King George VI And Queen Elizabeth Stakes renewal that trainer Sir Michael Stoute has a very strong hand in this year. His recent Royal Ascot scorers - Crystal Ocean, who landed the Hardwicke Stakes by an easy 2 ½ lengths, and the Prince Of Wales’s Stakes winner Poet’s Word will be looking to give the popular handler his sixth win in the race. If he can grab a sixth win then he’d also overtake Saeed Bin Suroor and Dick Hern as the most-winning trainer of this race. Both have big chances too. Crystal Ocean powered away to win the Hardwicke Stakes by an easy 2 ½ lengths and despite stepping up from Group Two company into a Group One he looks well up to the task. His only run at this level was a close second in the St Leger last season but he’s a much better horse this season and with that last course and distance victory also coming on quick ground then he’ll get his conditions too. William Buick, who rode the winner of this race in 2011, takes over from Ryan Moore in the saddle and of the Stoute pair he gets the vote for me. The yard’s other runner – Poet’s Word – lowered the colours of Cracksman last time out at Royal Ascot, with that win taking his prize haul over the £2m barrier. He’s a high-class 5 year-old at this level but the main difference here will be the trip. He’s up from 1m2f to 1m4f and even though he’s won over this distance, it’s worth pointing out that came in a Group Three. Ground and track are fine and off a mark of 126 he’s the highest-rated in the field and also at a mark 4lbs higher than his stablemate Crystal Ocean. However, a tiny worry for Stoute fans might be that at the time of writing (Weds) they’ve had just one winner from their last 24 sent to post. The already-mentioned Cracksman did have a few excuses last time though and if running here can’t be overlooked. Off a mark of 125 he’s rated just a pound behind Poet’s Word, but I feel he actually did well to get within 2 ¼ lengths of the winner last time out. He was still just over 8 lengths ahead of Hawkbill but before the race he got a bit worked up and being a colt, it was clear his mind wasn’t solely on the job at hand. Gosden reported that after and said he’d be a much better horse in the second half of the season. Whether this race is going to come a bit too soon based on that comment we’ll have to see but back up to 1m4f should help and prior to that Ascot flop let’s not forget he’d won three Group Ones on the spin. However, unless there is significant rain it’s unlikely both the Gosden runners – Cracksman and Coronet – will run. The value against the Stoute duo though looks to be KEW GARDENS. This 3 year-old would give trainer Aidan O’Brien his fifth win in the race and after his easy Queens Vase win at the Royal Meeting he’s sure to have his supporters. Since then he’s landed a decent Group One at Longchamp but clearly stays further than this 1m4f with that Ascot success coming over 1m6f – connections are sure to make full use of that proven stamina in hot conditions. Another big plus ahead of his chance is that he gets the 3 year-old weight allowance – something three of the last seven winners have taken advantage of. He’s rated 114 but actually gets a massive 11lbs off Crystal Ocean and Poet’s Word so that with that weight pull it brings his mark right in line with the principles. Quick ground is also fine and it’s likely he’ll be the pick of Ryan Moore. The only other two to mention with a chance is Coronet, but we’ll have to see if this John Gosden runner takes his chance, and another O’Brien runner in Hydrangea. Coronet is a proven Group Two winner but yet to win at the highest level from seven tries. He’s a proven course and distance winner at the track on quick ground for Olivier Peslier, who rides again. He’s likely to go well but looks set to be placed rather than win. Hydrangea is another course and distance winner after landing the Group One Champions Fillies and Mares here on Champions Day last October. He since flopped at Ascot in the Duke Of Cambridge Stakes but that was over a mile and the step back up in trip looks a plus. Prior to that last run, she’d finished in the top two in four previous races at Group One and Two level so can’t be totally dismissed

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