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28th September 2020

Moyglare Stud Stakes Trends

Staged at the Curragh racecourse, the Moyglare Stud Stakes is a Group One run over a distance of 7f.

The race is for 2 year-old fillies and has been won by leading Irish trainer Aidan O’Brien a staggering 9 times, including in 2019 with his classy filly Love, who later went onto land the 2020 Epsom Oaks - while the UK-based trainers have won 3 of the last 8 renewals.

We look back at past winners and gives you all the key stats ahead of the 2020 running – this year staged on Sunday 13th September.

 

Recent Moyglare Stud Stakes Winners

2019 – Love (6/1)
2018 – Skitter Scatter (7/2 fav)
2017 – Happily (13/2)
2016 – Intricately (25/1)
2015 – Minding (15/2)
2014 – Cursory Glance (11/8 fav)
2013 – Rizeena (9/2)
2012 – Sky Lantern (7/1)
2011 – Maybe (8/13 fav)
2010 – Misty For Me (10/1)
2009 – Termagant (16/1)
2008 – Again (6/4 fav)
2007 – Saoirse Abu (13/2)
2006 – Miss Beatrix (14/1)
2005 – Rumplestiltskin (2/7 fav)
2004 – Chelsea Rose (9/1)
2003 – Necklace (5/4 fav)
2002 – Mail The Desert (8/1)

Moyglare Stud Key Trends

17/18 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
17/18 – Had won over 6f or 7f before
17/18 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
15/18 – Won between 1-2 times before
15/18 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
14/18 – Irish-trained
13/18 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
13/18 – Placed favourites
12/18 – Ran at the Curragh last time out
11/18 – Drawn in stall 7 or higher
11/18 – Had won over 7f before
10/18 – Had won a Group race before
10/18– Came from outside the top three in the betting
9/18 – Had won at the Curragh before
7/18 – Won last time out
7/18 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
6/18 – Winning favourites
3/18 – Ridden by Seamie Heffernan
7 of the last 10 winners were foaled in March or earlier

 

Trainer Aidan O'Brien has won the Moyglare Stud Stakes an incredible nine times so his runners - Mother Earth, Snowfall and Divinely has to be respected, but on what we've seen to date none of the three looks real Ballyboyle superstars in the making. It's also interesting that jockey Ryan Moore doesn't ride any of them - instead he gets the leg-up on the Donnacha O'Brien runner - Shale. This 2 year-old has won two of her four starts, including a G3 over this trip at Leopardstown two runs back, but last time was firmly put in her place behind the Joseph O'Brien runner - PRETTY GORGEOUS - and it could be more of the same again. This improving filly has only had three career runs, but has won two of them and desite losing to Shale two runs ago, is looking the more progressive of the two now. Shale was 2 1/2 lengths behind the selection last time over this course and distance, so based on that run has plenty in-hand to confirm places. Of the rest, course winners Thunder Beauty, A Ma Chere, Teresa Mendoza and Aunty Bridy are others that cases can be made - espectilly as they are all very lightly-raced (1 or 2 runs) so could easily improve loads from their latest runs.

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