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4th August 2021

Sandown TV Trends (Fri 23rd April 2021)

Plenty to look forward to this Friday as the ITV cameras head to Sandown Park for their opening day of their two-day mixed flat and jumps meeting. We get going on Friday (23rd April) with four LIVE flat races on the card that include the Bet365 Mile, Classic Trial, Gordon Richard Stakes and the Esher Cup.

So, as always, we’ve got it all covered here at TQ with all the key trends, plus our verdict, on each of the LIVE ITV races - we’re confident these trends will point you in the direction of a few winners, or at least help narrow down some of the field to highlight the horses that fit the best profile of past winners – So, let’s get going!

 

SANDOWN HORSE RACING TRENDS (RacingTV/ITV)

 

1.50 - bet365 Esher Cup (Handicap) Cl2 1m14y ITV4

17/17 – Had won no more than twice before
16/17 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
15/17 – Never raced at Sandown before
13/17 – Had won just once before
13/17 – Had between 2-4 runs before
13/17 – Drawn in stall 4 or higher
13/17 – Priced 17/2 or shorter in the betting
11/17 – Carried 8-12 or less in weight
10/17 – Had won over at least 1 mile before
10/17 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
10/17 – Unplaced favourites
8/17 – Won last time out
5/17 – Raced at Kempton last time out
3/17 – Ridden by Silvestre De Sousa
3/17 – Trained by the Hannon stable
2/17 – Trained by John Gosden
2/17 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 13/2
Masaru (9/1) won the race in 2019

BEST BET: RIFLEMAN
DANGER: QUINTILLUS

 

2.25 - bet365 Gordon Richards Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f7y ITV4

16/17 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
16/17 – Officially rated 110 or higher
15/17 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
15/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
14/17 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
14/17 – Had won a Group race before
14/17 – Had won at least twice (UK) before
12/17 – Placed favourites
11/17 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/17 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
10/17 – Drawn in stall 4 or higher
7/17 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
7/17 – Irish bred
6/17 – Had run at Sandown before
6/17 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
6/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
5/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/17 – Trained by John Gosden
3/17 – Won last time out
2/17 – Ridden by James Doyle
Crystal Ocean (Evs) won the race in 2018 and 2019
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 10/3

BEST BET: HIGHEST GROUND
DANGER: HUKUM

 

3.00 - bet365 Mile (Group 2) Cl1 1m14y ITV4

15/16 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting
14/16 – Had won a Group race before
13/16 – Had won over a mile before
12/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/16 – Had won 5 or more times before
11/16 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
10/16 – Placed favourites
9/16 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/16 – Aged 4 years-old
8/16 – Trained by the Hannon stable
8/16 – Winning favourites
6/16 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/16 – Horses drawn in stall 3 that finished second
5/16 – Had run at Sandown before
4/16 – Previous Group One winners
3/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Trained by David O’Meara
2/16 – Won by Sir Michael Stoute
2/16 – Won by a previous winner of the race
3 of last 9 winners have come from stall 1
Beat The Bank Won the race in 2019
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 3/1

BEST BET: PALACE PIER
DANGER: KHUZAAM

 

3.35 - bet365 Classic Trial (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f7y ITV4

14/16 – Won between 1-3 times before
14/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Never raced at Sandown before
11/16 – Had won over at least 1m before
11/16 – Placed in the top 2 last time out
9/16 – Irish bred winners
8/16 – Raced at Leopardstown (2), Curragh (2) or Newbury (4) last time out
8/16 – Horses drawn in stall 4 that finished in the first 3
7/16 – Won last time out
5/16 – Winning favourites
5/16 – Trained by John Gosden
3/16 – Winners from stall 4
3/16 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
2/16 – Ridden by William Buick
2/16 – Winners from stall 3
Berlin Tango (7/1) won the race in 2020
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1
Note: The 2020 running was staged at Kempton AW (June)

BEST BET: TRAWLERMAN
DANGER:  LONE EAGLE

 

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