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19th September 2021

TQ Weekend Wrap – Free Horse Racing Tips and Trends: 16th Nov 2019


  • CHELTENHAM: BetVictor Gold Cup Day……….
  • LINGFIELD: Two LIVE ITV Races On The AW………
  • CHELTENHAM SUNDAY: November Meeting Concludes…………
  • TRAINERS-QUOTES: Inside Info Continues To Reward Members…….


One of the weekend highlights for jump racing fans this Saturday and Sunday as the Cheltenham November Meeting takes centre stage – let’s just hope it survives the weather as they’ve already had to call off day one (Friday)!

Fingers crossed there are no issues!

The BetVictor Gold Cup is the main event on Saturday and we take a look at this race in more detail below. Last year we saw our very own Gary Moore land the big race with Baron Alco – he’ll be trying to follow-up with Dell Oro. Did you know, ALL of the last 17 winners of the BetVictor Gold Cup had run at Cheltenham before, while 16 of the last 17 were won by a UK-based trainer. We’ve got the race down to two – see which ones below!

We’ve also got our quick-fire tips for the other Saturday Cheltenham races – oh, and we’ve also taken a look at the best of the action from their Sunday card too, with a detailed look at the Greatwood Hurdle.

Back to Saturday and Lingfield Park (AW) is the supporting LIVE ITV fixture – we’ve two races to take in there live too and with Frankie heading to the Surrey venue then that should be a big crowd draw.

So, as always, we’ve got it all covered with free tips and all the key trends for the LIVE ITV races.


Have a Great Weekend



Moore And Sherwood Delight at Kempton…………….It was a top start to the week for the Gary Moore and Oliver Sherwood yards as they both fired in great winners at Kempton on Monday. Gary Moore sent out 25/1 shot DAREBIN to lead from the front under a top ride from son Jamie Moore. Gary told members he though the horse had a nice each-way chance.

“Darebin – Very tricky race and lots of horses with a chance, but slight bit of help from the handicapper after a few below-par runs – down 5lbs from first run this season. The blinkers are back on too so could have a reasonable e/w chance at a nice price.”

Prior to that success the Oliver Sherwood camp also got in on the act after their SAMMY BILL (1st 12/1) bolted-up by 11 lengths in a Novices Handicap Chase. This 6 year-old showed a great turn of foot turning for home and stayed on powerfully to win as he liked. He’s another owned by Mr Grand National – Trevor Hemmings – so you never know where this one might end up. Yes, he’s got a long way to go to match the heights of their National winner – Many Clouds – but after that performance on Monday he’s certainly going in the right direction.

“Sammy Bill – He has always worked seriously well at home, but he was too keen on a racecourse to get home. He is an enigma, I’m still not sure of what trip he wants or the best way to ride him. Sammy is an enormous horse with an equally huge stride, he’s a free going type and I’m not sure whether to let him bowl along and use that stride or hold him up with a view to finishing strongly…..He has schooled well at home, he’s neat on his feet yet he still has plenty of scope. Overall feel we’ve got an e/w chance here.


TQ Horse To Note………………………………..The Robin Dickin-trained MR PALMTREE ran a respectable second at Hereford on Tuesday and looks like he’s coming to the boil. The first two -pulled 6 lengths clear of the third that day so the form looks solid enough, while being backed into 6/1 (from 10/1) was another good sign of stable confidence. Jockey Tabitha Worsley also seems to get on well with the horse and we are sure the Dickin camp will find a similar race in the coming weeks which should see him go close again.


USE THE TQ INFO TO BACK OR LAY - Also, a lot of our members use the TRAINERS-QUOTES info to lay horses as well as back them – there are plenty of angles these days with the betting exchanges!! Or even back other horses in certain races with the trainers also taking about other horses in races they’ve heard good words about!


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Cheltenham Tips and Trends: Fri 14th Dec 2018


CHELTENHAM: It’s BetVictor Gold Cup Day……………….

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

12.05 - Ballymore Novices´ Hurdle (Registered As The Hyde Novices´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m5f ITV

15/15 – Priced 10/1 or shorter
15/15 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
13/15 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
12/15 – Had won a NH Flat race earlier in their career
12/15 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season (2 winners)
12/15 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
11/15 – Had raced at Uttoxeter (4), Chepstow (5) or Cheltenham (2) last time out
10/15 – Aged 5 years-old
9/15 – Won just once before (under rules)
9/15 – Had won over 2 ½m (or further) over hurdles before
8/15 – Won last time out
5/15 – Had raced at Cheltenham before
3/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/15 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
2/15 – Went onto win a race at the Cheltenham Festival that season


12.40 -
JCB Triumph Hurdle Trial (Registered as The Prestbury Juvenile Hurdle Race) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m87y RacingTV

14/14 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
13/14 – Won between 0-2  times over hurdles before
12/14 – Never raced at Cheltenham before
11/14 – Returned 4/1 or shorter
11/14 – Won last time out
10/14 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
10/14 – Went onto race in that seasons Triumph Hurdle (Cheltenham Festival)
9/14 – Carried 11-2 or more in weight
9/14 – Favourites that finished in the top 2
7/14 – Winning favourites
5/14 – Irish bred
5/14 – Went onto finish 1st or 2nd in the Triumph Hurdle
4/14 – German bred
4/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/14 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
3/14 – Raced at Chepstow last time out
3/14 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/14 – Trained by Alan King
2/14 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/14 – Went onto win the Triumph Hurdle (Defi Du Seuill 2017, Katchit 2006)
Owner JP McManus has won 2 of the last 3 runnings



1.15 - mallardjewellers.com Novices´ Chase Cl2 3m80y RacingTV

14/14 – Had won a race over at least 2m4f (fences) before
12/14 – Aged 7 or younger
11/14 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Favourites placed 1st or 2nd
11/14 – Had raced at Cheltenham before
10/14 – Won between 0-1 times over fences before
10/14 – Raced no more than twice over fences
10/14 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
9/14 – Raced at Cheltenham (3), Aintree (3) or Wetherby (2) last time out
8/14 – Aged 6 years-old
7/14 – Went onto run in the RSA Chase at the Cheltenham Festival that season (no winners)
7/14 – Won last time out
7/14 – Irish bred
5/14 – Winning favourites
4/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/14 – Trained by David Pipe
2/14 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/14 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan


1.50 - BetVictor Smartcards Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m3f110y ITV

16/17 – Had won a 3m+ race over fences before
15/17 – Had run at Cheltenham before
14/17 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – Aged 8 or younger
12/17 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
11/17  – Had won between 3 and 5 times over fences before
10/17 – Irish bred
10/17 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
8/17 – Officially rated between 135 and 146
8/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/17 – Had won over fences at Cheltenham before
7/17 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
7/17  – Ran at either Cheltenham (4) or Sandown (2) last time out
6/17 – French bred
3/17 – Won last time out
2/17 – Winning favourites (1 co)
2/17 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/17 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/17 – Trained by Colin Tizzard
2/17 – Trained by Fergal O’Brien (2 of last 6 years)
Rock The Kasbah (9/1) won the race in 2018
Perfect Candidate (7/1) won the race in 2017
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1



2.25 – BetVictor Gold Cup Chase (Handicap) Grade 3 (CLASS 1) (4yo+) 2m4f110y ITV

17/17 – Had run at Cheltenham before
16/17 – Had won over at least 2m4f over fences before
16/17 – Won by a UK-based trainer
13/17 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
12/17 – Had won at Cheltenham before
12/17 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
12/17 – Had won just 2 or 3 times over fences before
11/17 – Trained by Pipe (3), Jonjo O’Neill (3), Nicholls (2) or Twiston-Davies (3)
11/17 – Carried 10-13 or less (But 4 of the last 7 carried 10-13 or more)
11/17 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
9/17 – Won by a horse in the first 3 in the betting
9/17 – Aged 7 years-old
8/17 – Won this on their seasonal reappearance
8/17 – Placed favourites
5/17 – Won their last race
4/17 – Trained by the Pipe stable
4/17 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
3/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
3/17 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
3/17 – Ran at Carlisle last time out
2/17 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
1/17 – Irish-trained winners
The last winner aged in double-figures was in 1975
Paul Nicholls has saddled 10 placed horses (two winners, Al Ferof & Caid Du Berlais) from his last 37 runners
Baron Alco (8/1) won the race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 10/1

TQ VERDICT: We saw the Gary Moore yard win the race 12 months ago with Baron Alco and they will be trying to add to that success with Dell Oro. However, it’s a prize that’s been dominated by the Jonjo O’Neill, Nigel Twiston-Davies, Paul Nicholls and Pipe yard in recent years – between them, they’ve won 11 of the last 17 renewals! O’Neill doesn’t have runner, but Pipe has Warthog & Eamon An Cnoic, who was 5th in this race last year, Nicholls has Magic Saint & Brelan D’As, while Twiston-Davies saddles his 2017 winner, Splash Of Ginge and COUNT MERIBEL (e/w). And it’s the last-named that catches the eye. This 7 year-old returned to the track last month with a fair second to the useful Lostintranslation up at Carlisle, plus was a Novice Chase winner at this meeting last season. Looking at his form, he seems to act on any ground and also stays a bit further than this 2m4f, which will help in conditions. He also ticks most of the main trends, while this 7 year-old also seems to have a good record at this time of the year – 4 of his 5 career wins have been in November – the other came in October! Of the rest, Festival winner – Siruh Du Lac – was a gutsy winner of the Brown Advisory & Merriebelle Stable Plate Handicap Chase back in March and there is a chance we’ve not got to the bottom of him yet, having won 6 of his 8 chase starts. Lizzie Kelly is back to ride and can claim 3lbs too, but he is 9lbs higher than last time out. Spiritofthegames (3rd) and Eamon An Cnoic (4th) also ran well at that same Festival race last March and cases can certainly be made for them too. Slate House has been popular in the betting all week for the Colin Tizzard yard. He’s a prove CD winner after winning well here last month on heavy ground so conditions are fine, but he is up a big-looking 12lbs for that. It would be no shock to see him run well, but he’s got a bit to prove still and the value looks to have gone anyway. GUITAR PETE was a solid third in the race last year and returned a few weeks ago to win well at Wetherby. He beat Happy Diva, who also runs here, but 3 ½ lengths, so should be able to confirm that form on just 2lbs worse terms. With 13 top three finishes from his 23 runs over fences then he’s a consistent sort that is sure to run his race again, despite being rated 4lbs higher than 12 months ago in this race.  Nicholls’ Brelan D’As unseated in the race Saint Calvados (now a non-runner) won here recently, so has to bounce back, but with only 10-5 in weight can’t be ruled out with Barry Geragthy riding too. However, it’s the other Nicholls runner – MAGIC SAINT (e/w) that might be worth chancing too. This 5 year-old might lack a bit of experience but Nicholls won this race with a horse the same age in 2014. He’s also had a wind op since last season and has won in heavy ground in France. The trip is a slight unknown, but he has won over 2m2f and run 2nd over 2m5f to suggest it’s within range. He’s also a horse that’s gone well off a break and, as mentioned, the Nicholls camp love to target this race so is sure to be tuned-up and ready to go.


3.00 – Spinal Injuries Association Big Bucks Handicap Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 3m1f67y ITV

15/17 – Aged 7 or younger
14/17 – Carried 10-11 or less in weight
14/17 – Had between 2 and 5 previous hurdles wins
13/17 – Had won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) before
12/17 – Officially rated 126 to 137
12/17 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or less
12/17 – Placed favourites
12/17  – Ran at either Cheltenham (6), Aintree (3) or Chepstow (3) last time out
11/17 – Irish bred
11/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/17 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
9/17 – Had run at Cheltenham before
8/17 – Won their last race
7/17 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
7/17 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
4/17 – Won by the Pipe stable
1/17 – Won by an Irish-trained stable
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1
4 of the last 11 winners have had a claiming jockey riding
Anteros won the race in 2016 & was second in 2017
First Assignment won the race in 2018



3.30 - BetVictor Intermediate Handicap Hurdle Cl3 2m5f26y ITV

13/14 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
12/14 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
11/14 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
9/14 – Raced in the last 7 weeks
8/14 – Returned a double-figure price
7/14 – Favourites unplaced
7/14 – Carried 10-13 or less
7/14 – Had run at Cheltenham before
7/14 – Irish bred winners
6/14 – Went onto finish in the top 4 in a race at the Cheltenham Festival
5/14 – Won last time out
4/14 – French bred winners
2/14 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
2/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/14 - Winning favourites
Speedo Boy (4/1 jfav) won the race in 2018
2 of the last 6 winners went onto be placed in the Martin Pipe Conditionals race at the Cheltenham Festival that season
2 of the last 10 winners went onto be placed in the Ladbrokes World Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival that season



LINGFIELD: Two LIVE ITV Races From The Surrey Venue…….

Lingfield Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)

2.45 – Betway Churchill Stakes (Listed Race) (All-Weather Fast Track Qualifier) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV

11/13 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Rated between 102 and 112
10/13 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
10/13 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
9/13 – Won between 1-4 times before
9/13 – Favourites placed in the top two
8/13 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/13 – Placed last time out
8/13 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
4/13 – Winning favourites
3/13 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
Master The World (10/1) won the race in 2017 and 2018

TQ VERDICT: It’s hard to look beyond the John Gosden-trained LORD NORTH here. This 3 year-old has 12lbs in-hand at the weights based on the official ratings and with Frankie Dettori making the effort to ride him at this time of year is another big plus. Caradoc, Crossed Baton, Kuwait Currency and the CD winner, Pactolus can chase him home. While if you are looking for one at a price then with the Neil King yard having a 36% strike-rate with their runners at the track (5 from 14), then despite having a bit to find at the weights their Petite Jack might go well if you can fine top 3 or 4 placed markets.


3.15 – Betway Golden Rose Stakes (Listed Race) (All-Weather Fast Track Qualifier) Cl1 (3yo+) 6f ITV

12/12 – Previous winner over 6f or 7f
11/12 – Didn’t win last time out
11/12 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/12 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
10/12 – Aged 4 or older
9/12 – Won 5 or more times before
8/12 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
8/12 – Unplaced last time out
8/12 – Unplaced favourites
4/12 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
3/12 – Winning favourites
Gifted Master (9/2) won the race in 2017
Encrypted won the race in 2018


TQ VERDICT: Some familiar names on show here, including the 2017 winner of this race – GIFTED MASTER. This 6 year-old heads here as the second top-rated in the field – with only Judicial, who is yet to win beyond 5 1/2f, ahead of him. However, this Hugo Palmer runner receives a handy 3lbs from that runner and being he’s a proven CD winner as well, then he gets the nod. He returned to the track last time here over 7f with a fine second – he was also fifth in this race last year but that recent outing should have him spot-on for this as the yard look for their third win in this contest in as many years. Of the others, Above The Rest was a solid fourth in this race last year and can go well again, while Corinthia Knight was sixth. However, the danger can come from the Dettori-ridden STAKE ACCLAIM. The pocket Italian has a 36% record riding 4+ year-olds at the course, while it’s interesting the horse is actually having it’s first run at the track. Draw 3 looks ideal and the last time Frankie rode this 7 year-old they finished second in a Group 3 in France (Aug 19).

CHELTENHAM: November Meeting Concludes On Sunday………


1.15 - Glenfarclas Cross Country Chase Cl2 3m7f ITV

16/16 – Raced at Cheltenham previously
15/16 – Either Irish (9) or French (6) bred
14/16 – Won by a horse aged 9 or older
12/16 – Winner came from the top 3 in the betting
12/16 – Returned 6/1 or shorter
12/16 – Had a recent run that season
12/16 – Won at least 5 times over fences previously
12/16 – Unplaced in their last race
11/16 – Raced over this Cross County course previously (7 won)
11/16 – Favourites placed
11/16 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or less
10/16 – Carried 11-5 or more in weight
10/16 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
7/16 – Trained by Enda Bolger
6/16 – Favourites that won
Josies Orders won this in 2015 and 2018



1.50 – Racing Post #responsiblegambling Arkle Trophy Trial Novices´ Chase 2m ITV

16/17 – Placed in the top three in their last race
15/17 – Won by a horse aged 6 or younger
14/17 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
14/17 – Winners from the top 3 in the market
14/17 – Priced 7/2 or shorter in the betting
14/17 – Raced (hurdles or fences) at Cheltenham previously
13/17 – Favourites placed
13/17 – Raced just once previously over fences
11/17 – Winning distance – 6 lengths or more
11/17 – Won their latest race
10/17 – Won previously over fences
10/17 – Ran in the Arkle Chase at the Festival later that season (1 won, Azertyuiop, 2002)
9/17 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (inc last 6 of last 11 years)
9/17 – Favourites that won
7/17 – Won by a French bred
4/17 – Won by Irish bred
4/17– Raced at Cheltenham last time out
4/17 – Won by a German bred
3/17 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
3/17 – Fell in the Arkle Chase later that season



2.25 – Shloer Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV

10 previous runnings
9/10 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Officially rated 150+
8/10 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
8/10 – Won on seasonal reappearance
8/10 – Had won over fences at Cheltenham before
8/10 – Favourites that finished 1st or 2nd
7/10 – Aged 7 or older
7/10 – Went onto run in the Champion Chase (1 winner, Sprinter Sacre 2015)
6/10 – Failed to win last time out
5/10 – Carried 11-0 to win
5/10 – Won by a horse aged 8 or older
5/10 – Favourites that won
4/10 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/10 – German bred
3/10 – Raced at Aintree last time out
Seaux Royal won the race in 2018
Fox Norton won the 2016 and 2017 runnings



3.00 – Unibet Greatwood Hurdle (A Handicap) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m110y ITV

15/17 – Had won a 2m1f (or further) hurdles race before
15/17 – Had won no more than 4 times before over hurdles
14/17 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/17 – Officially rated 140 or higher
12/17 – Had a recent run (within the last 6 weeks)
12/17 – Finished in the top two last time out
12/17 – Had run at Cheltenham before
11/17 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
10/17 – Had run 6 or less times over hurdles
9/17 –  Winning distance – 2 lengths or further
8/17 – Carried 11-4 or more
8/17 – Placed favourites
7/17 – Came from the first three in the betting
7/17 – Won their previous race
6/17 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
4/17 – Winners that carried 11-12
4/17 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
3/17 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
3/17 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/17 – Winning favourites
1/17 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 9/1
6 of the last 10 winners contested the previous season’s Supreme Novices’ or Triumph Hurdle

TQ VERDICT: Another super-tough renewal of the Greatwood hurdle, but at least some nice trends to take into account. With 14 of the last 17 winners aged 4 or 5, then of the 15 runners this is a negative for the likes of Mohaayed, Countister, Harambe, Benny’s Bridge, Dame De Compagnie and Grapevine. 12 of the last 17 winners had also had a recent run (in last 6 weeks), had run at Cheltenham before too, were rated 140+ and also finished in the first two last time out. With those stats taken into account then three stand out – QUEL DESTIN, GUMBALL and MONSIUER LECOQ - all three are respected. Gumball likes to get on with things from the front and should make a bold bid again, but in this ground,  it might be hard to stay there and he only just clung on last time at Ascot – he’s also up 8lbs here. Monsieur Lecoq is a fast-improving hurdler too and will love the ground. He returned with a win at Ffos Las last month in the Welsh Champion Hurdle but is another that is up in the ratings (7lbs higher). I’d also be a tad concerned that one of his only poor runs came here at Cheltenham, when down the field in the County Hurdle last March. So, that leaves QUEL DESTIN. This Paul Nicholls runner won over this CD in heavy ground last month so we know conditions will suit. He also ran well to be 5th in the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle here last March and with 6 of the last 10 winners of this race having contested that Festival race, then that’s another good trend in his favour. Of the rest, Harambe, Quoi De Neuf and Humble Hero can have cases made for them, but the Hobbs yard have a fair record in the race too so their ZANZA (e/w) is also worth supporting. Dickie Johnson rides and this 5 year-old caught the eye when winning well at Newbury last time out. He escapes a penalty for that as it came in a conditional jockeys’ race, while with only 8 career runs should have more to come. He’s won on soft ground in the past too and despite not running at Cheltenham yet, he’s won three times at left-handed tracks so that’s a good sign.


3.30 – Sky Bet Supreme Trial Novices´ Hurdle (Registered as The Sharp Novices´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m110y ITV

15/15 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
13/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
12/15 – Won last time out
12/15 – Had won between 1-2 times over hurdles
11/15 – Favourites that finished in the top three
11/15 – Winning distance 2 lengths or less
9/15 – Had won a NH Flat race before
8/15 – Carried 11-7 in weight
8/15 – Went onto run in that season’s Supreme Novices’ Hurdle (1 winner, Altior)
8/15 – Aged 5 years-old
7/15 – Irish bred
6/15 – Aged 4 years-old
4/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/15 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/15 – Won by the Nicholls stable






Have a GREAT Weekend

TQ Team
























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