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8th December 2021

TQ Weekend Wrap – Free Horse Racing Tips and Trends: 5th Jan 2019

  • SANDOWN: Future Stars On Show In Tolworth Hurdle…….
  • WINCANTON: Three LIVE Races To Take In……..
  • TQ UPDATE: A Cracking Start to 2019………..

Happy New Year to you all!!

We hope you had a good one – can you believe it’s 2019?? It only seems like yesterday that we were welcoming in the new century!!

Anyway, we start a new year fresh and raring to go and there’s a lot to look forward to. Yes, January and February might not be everyone’s favourite months but one we get these two out the way it’s full steam ahead to the Cheltenham Festival in March.

We got it spot-on last week too in the Challow Hurdle as the exciting Champ won his fourth race over hurdles and is now as short at 5/1 for the Ballymore Novices’ Hurdle at the Festival, while some are even talking about this novice contesting the Champion Hurdle – we’ll see!

Anyway, as long as the cold weather stays away there is still a fair bit to look forward to over the next few months and we get going with the first Saturday in 2019 this weekend with LIVE action from Wincanton and Sandown.

We’ve seven races to take in across the two venues, with the Grade One Tolworth Novices’ Hurdle the weekend’s highlight – don’t forget last year we saw Summerville Boy land the prize before going onto glory in the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival so this is always a race to look back on in a few months time.

With eight wins between them in the last fourteen runnings then the powerhouse yards of Paul Nicholls and Nicky Henderson should always be respected in Saturday’s Tolworth Hurdle.

So, plenty to look forward too and, as always, we’ll be hoping to find plenty more winners for you with free tips and all key trends for the LIVE races. Enjoy!

Have a Great Weekend and we hope you have a top 2019!


This Week At Trainers-Quotes: Yards Start 2019 In Style…………….

Here’s just a sample of recent winners…………………

“Moonraker – Capable but not always the most reliable – not far back the last twice and dropped a pound for the last of those here. Luke takes over in the saddle and with the horse back down to his last winning mark then must have a squeak. Each-way.” 1st 15/2 Mick Appleby

“Hogans Height – Won three novice chases last season but has been a touch disappointing this season. However, we’ve corrected his wind again and a few other bits and bobs. He’s in good form at home and as he’s still a novice over hurdles this looks a good opportunity to get back on track.” 1st 11/8 Jamie Snowden

“Chica de la Noche – Some way below her best these days but been solid enough off this mark in recent runs and only needs things to fall right for her to get her head back in front again. Wide draw no help here (10) but likely to go well if the race works out for her.” 1st 7/2 Simon Dow

“Scorpion Sid – Was a decent novice hurdler and jumps fences well. 2m on good ground was too sharp a test last time but this looks more realistic. Providing the ground doesn’t dry today he looks to have a decent chance.” 1st  Evs Jamie Snowden

“Love Rat – Sixth here last time out over 1m3f but 5lbs lower this time so hopeful we can get a lot closer. We are also putting the visor on for the first time to help him focus. Di’s Gift looks the one to beat but feel we’ve decent place claims.” 1st 9/1 Scott Dixon


Don’t forget the TQ VIEW daily selection is what the team feel is the ‘best quote’ of the day. With over 5 years’ experience speaking to all the trainers they are in no better place to sort the wheat from the chaff!

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Also, a lot of our members use the TRAINERS-QUOTES info to lay horses as well as back them – there are plenty of angles these days with the betting exchanges!! Or even back other horses in certain races with the trainers also taking about other horses in races they’ve heard good words about!

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Sandown: Future Stars In Action In The Tolworth Hurdle……

Sandown Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV4)

1.50 – Unibet Handicap Chase Cl2 2m ITV4

12/12 – Won over at least 2m (chase) previously
11/12 – Ran within the last 2 months
11/12 – Priced 17/2 or shorter

11/12 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
10/12 – Favourites placed
9/12 – From the top 3 in the betting
9/12 – Officially rated 135 or higher
9/12 – Won between 1-4 times over fences in the UK previously
8/12 – Never raced at Sandown
8/12 – Aged either 8 or 9 years-old
8/12 – Carried 11-0 or more in weight
7/12 – Irish bred
7/12 – Winning Favourites
6/12 – Unplaced last time out
6/12 – Went onto run in that season’s Champion Chase at the Cheltenham Festival
4/12 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/12 – Went onto win a race at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (Champion Chase, Grand Annual)
3/12 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
3/12 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
3/12 – Won their last race
Trainer Philip Hobbs has won 2 of the last 3 runnings
Speredek won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 7 running is 9/2

The consistent Gino Trail, who was second in this race last year, can be expected to go well and is a proven course and distance winner here at the track. However, he’s not getting any younger at 12 years-old and having not been out for 268 days then there is every chance he might just need this – 11 of the last 12 winners of this race had raced in the last two months. Overtown Express was third in the race last year but hasn’t quite fulfilled his potential so the safe bet here is to stick with the in-form CAPELAND, from the Paul Nicholls yard that has a good record in this race. This 7 year-old has won three of his last four starts and despite being up another 7lbs here has been winning with a tad more in-hand than the official margins suggest. Of the rest, CD winner Tara Bridge and the Lucy Wadham-trained Movie Legend are other consistent sorts that should run their races.

2.25 – Unibet Tolworth Novices´ Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 2m110y ITV4

13/14 – Won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
13/14 – Placed 1st or 2nd in their last race
13/14 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
12/14 – Priced  5/1 or shorter
12/14 – Won by a horse aged either 5 or 6 years-old
11/14 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles previously
11/14 – Came from the top three in the market
10/14 – Won last time out
10/14 – Placed favourites
9/14 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
9/14 – Won by an Irish bred horse
7/14 – Winning Favourites
7/14 – Won by a horse aged 5 years-old
4/14 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable
4/14 – Ran at either Sandown (2) or Newbury (2) last time out
3/14 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable
3/14 – Ridden by jockey Barry Geraghty
3/14 – Ridden by jockey Ruby Walsh
2/14 – Ran at Sandown before
2/14 – Won by the Jonjo O’Neill stable
2/14 – Won the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle later that season (Summerville Boy, 2018 & Noland, 2006)
1/14 - Won the Neptune Investment Hurdle later that season (Yorkhill 2016)
5 or 6 years-old have won 20 of the last 26 runnings
Since 1988 ALL winners have been aged 7 or younger
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 4/1

A decent renewal of this Novice Hurdle and with three winners since 2006 going onto land a race at the Cheltenham Festival that same season then this is a contest to look back on in a few months. Last year’s winner - Summerville Boy - was the latest of those winners after he went on to take the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle on the opening day of the 2018 Festival. Plenty of key trends to take into the race too and it’s been a good contest for favourite backers with 7 of the last 14 market leaders winning, while 10 of the last 14 jollies were placed. The Paul Nicholls and Nicky Henderson yards have good record in the race too with 4 wins and 5 wins to their names. Nicholls has Grand Sancy, who needs to bounce back from a recent fourth at Ascot, and Southfield Stone, who has done little wrong in winning his last three. However, Henderson had several entries for JP McManus earlier in the week so with Barry Geraghty picking RATHHILL then it’s hard to ignore his chance. He was a good winner on his hurdles debut at Newbury last time out and looked to have a lot more to come. That win also came on soft ground and with quotes of around 16/1 (odds are subject to chance) for the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle then he’s clearly well regarded. The Tizzard-trained Elixir De Nutz is another that’s sure to be popular after winning his last two at Cheltenham – plus the yard won this prize in 2017. But with six career runs he might just be prone to an improver, while those last two wins came on much quicker ground than his going to get here. I’ll stick with Henderson, who is looking for his sixth success in the race with his Rathhill looking as if he’s got a bit more scope for improvement.

3.00 - Unibet Veterans´ Handicap Chase Final (The Final of The 2015 Veterans´ Chase Series) Cl2 3m37y ITV4

Just 3 previous runnings
Buywise won the race in 2018
Pete The Feat won the race in 2017
The David Pipe yard won the race in 2016
2/3 – winners aged 11 years-old
2/3 – Carried 10-8 or less in weight
Trainer David Pipe has a 38% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Kerry Lee has a 31% record with her chasers at the track
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 27% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Lucy Wadham has a 225 record with her chasers at the track
Trainer Colin Tizzard is just 2 from 42 with his chasers here

Some old faces on show here. The Charlie Longsdon pair of Loose Chips and Pete The Feat, who won this in 2017 are respected but at 13 and 15 years-old are no spring chickens. Buywise is another past winner of the race (2018) and is back down to that winning mark here but has been well below-par in recent runs. The consistent Exitas, Band Of Blood, Cultram Abbey and Rathlin Rose are others to note, while the 2017 Bet365 Gold Cup hero Henllan Harri can’t be discounted either as he’s returned in good form of late. However, the Venetia Williams yard are in top form of late, so it might be worth chancing her pair – HOUBLON DES OBEAUX (e/w) and TENOR NIVERNAIS (e/w). The former is extremely well-handicapped on old form – once rated in the 160’s – and has run with credit twice already this season. He was sixth in the race last year too, but is now 8lbs lower. Tenor Nivernais is also looking well-handicapped at the moment and should be a lot fitter for two recent runs at Sandown and Ludlow.

3.35 –32Red.com Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m110y ITV4

11/13 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
11/13 – Won over at least 2m1f (hurdles) previously
11/13 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
11/13 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles in the UK before
10/13 – Unplaced last time out
8/13 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
6/13 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
6/13 – Officially rated between 127 and 132
6/13 – Priced a double-figure price in the betting
6/13 – Raced at either Ascot (3) or Cheltenham (3) last time out
5/13 – Went onto finish unplaced in a Cheltenham Festival race that season
5/13 – From the top 3 in the betting
4/13 – Irish bred
4/13 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/13 – Won last time out
2/13 – Trained by Oliver Sherwood
2/13 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/13 – Trained by Venetia Williams
1/13 – Winning favourites
Rayvin Black won the race in 2015 & 2016
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 7/1

Note: 2002 & 2003 runnings were staged at Ascot

With 11 of the last 13 winners aged between 5-7 years-old then this is a decent trends to apply to the race – yes, good news for most, but it will help knock a few out. The lightly-raced Demopolis with Barry Geragthy riding is another punters are sure to latch onto, while the same can be said for the Paul Nicholls-trained Saintemilion, who is returning from a 740 day break. But 8 of the last 13 winners also won with 10-12 or less in weight so Thistimenextyear and MONSIEUR LECOQ (e/w) make plenty of appeal. The last-named gets the nod though after catching the eye with a smooth 7 length win at Ffos Las last time out. He acted well in soft/heavy ground that day and with just five career runs should have more to offer. This 5 year-old also gets in here with just 10-9 to carry and Lizzie Kelly helps by taking off a further 3lbs. Finally, OUR MERLIN bounced back to form last time out at Wincanton and even though he’s up 8lbs he ran well at this meeting last year and won’t mind the softer ground – he rates the main danger to the selection.

WINCANTON: Three LIVE Races To Enjoy…………..

Wincanton Horse Racing Betting Trends (RUK/ITV4)

2.05 – Watch Irish Racing On Racing TV Chase (A Novices’ Limited Handicap) Cl3 2m4f35y ITV4

Just 3 previous runs
3/3 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
3/3 – Carried 10-10 or more in weight
2/3 – winning favourites
Trainer Alan King has a 33% record with his chasers here
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 33% record with his chasers here
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 28% record with his chasers here
Trainer Venetia Williams is just 4 from 45 with her chasers here

With a 33% record with his chasers at the track then it’s hard to get away from the Nicky Henderson-trained – KUPATANA – here. Yes, he needs to bounce back from unseating last time out but was in the process of running a good race and prior to that had shown some nice promise. Barton Knoll and The Dellercheckout are others to consider. 

2.40 – Like Racing TV On Facebook Handicap Hurdle Cl3 2m5f82y ITV4

Just 2 previous runnings
Both winners aged 6 or 7 years-old
Trainer Tom George won the race in 2017
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 38% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Emma Lavelle has a 21% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Philip Hobbs is just 8 from 85 with his hurdlers at the track

Anything the Paul Nicholls yard run should be respected as they’ve a decent 38% record with their hurdlers at the track – at this stage they’ve got Magoo entered. But with the Tom George yard having won this race in 2017 with KK LEXION (e/w) looks the most interesting. He returned to the track last time with a fine third at Doncaster and with that coming off a 188 day break then he can be expected to have improved for it. He’s only 3lbs higher than when winning this prize a few years ago and acts well in all ground types. Of the rest, recent winners Earlofthecotswolds and Dark Episode head into the race in great form and can go well, while it’s hard to ignore the Henderson-trained Wallace Spirit, who returned with a fine third last time out at Kempton.

3.15 – Follow @racingtv On Twitter Handicap Chase Cl2 (5yo+) 2m4f ITV4

7/7 – Finished in the top 6 last time out
6/7 – Aged between 7-9 years-old
6/7 – Carried 11-5 or less in weight
6/7 – Won between 1-2 times over fences before
5/7 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
5/7 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
5/7 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
3/7 – French bred
2/7 – Ran at Exeter last time out
2/7 – Trained by Tom George
1/7 – Winning favourite
1/7 – Won last time out
Kayf Adventure (15/8) won the race last year
The average winning SP in the last 7 runs is 5/1

Course winner Catamaran Du Seuil wasn’t disgraced when running eighth last time out in the Caspian Caviar Gold Cup at Cheltenham and is one for the shortlist. THEINVAL (e/w) is generally a consistent performer and should be thereabouts too. He should strip fitter for two recent runs at Ascot and Cheltenham and represents the in-form Nicky Henderson yard – he looks the safest option in an open race. Paul Nicholls has Copain De Classe and being a proven course winner then he enters the mix too with Bryony Frost riding. The in-form Venetia Williams team have Calipto, but having unseated in two of his last three that would be a concern. Sizing Platinum can’t be ruled out either on his best form but at 11 years-old isn’t getting any younger and also needs to defy a 188 day absence from the track.  



Have a GREAT Weekend

TQ Team

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