- Kempton: Four LIVE ITV Races to Take In…….
- Newcastle: A Gruelling Test For The Stayers in the Eider Chase…….
- Lingfield: O’Brien & Moore Team-up In The Winter Derby
- Trainers Quotes: Vaughan Double Strikes With Southern Raid…..
Hi, well the good times continued to roll this month as last weekend we saw another load of winners going in for the free tips and trends.
Waiting Patiently (2/1) was super-impressive in landing the Ascot Chase when beating a gallant Cue Card into second. It remains to be seen if he’ll be heading to Cheltenham, and the Ryanair Chase, as connections have made no secret that this horse really needs it soft and could prefer to wait for other targets at Aintree or Punchestown. Watch this space!
We also pointed you in the direction of Le Patriote (4/1), who boosted the Lanzarote Hurdle form, while Regal Encore (6/1) and Black Corton (10/11) added the party to round off another top afternoon of winners.
Hopefully it will be more of the same this Saturday as we look to bolster the betting bank further ahead of the up-coming Cheltenham Festival.
Onto This Week – The ITV cameras head to three venues this Saturday, with the main meeting coming at Kempton. Four LIVE races to take in including the newly-named Betqaq Handicap Chase, which most of you might known better as either the BetBright Chase, or even the Racing Post Chase.
We’ve also got the gruelling Eider Chase up at Newcastle to take in as the stayers are on show again, while down at Lingfield it’s Winter Derby day at the Surrey venue and with Ryan Moore and Aidan O’Brien teaming-up with Clear Skies then this Irish raider is sure to be popular.
So, bundles to get stuck into and we’ll be hoping to find plenty more winners for you and as always, we’ve got it all covered with free tips and all key trends for the LIVE races. Enjoy!
Have a Great Weekend!
This Week At Trainers-Quotes………Vaughan Raids Southern Tracks With 16/1 & 12/1 Winners………….
Plenty of good winners this week – you can see a selection of these below – but the signs have been good for a while that the Tim Vaughan team are starting to hit form again and that was backed-up last Friday and Saturday as Tim came south with two big-priced winners.
Tanit River got things flowing at Sandown on Friday at 16/1. This improving chaser jumped really well from the front and looked to win with a bit up it’s sleeve. Certainly, a horse to be looking out for again next time. Tim stayed down south as on Saturday his promising Point Of Principle was out in the opener at Ascot.
It looked a hot little contest with a couple of well-touted Henderson and Nicholls horses in, but despite having a bit to find at the ratings Tim told TQ members he thought his horse can mix it up with the main players in the race. He was right. Ok, actually winning was a slight shock, but at 12/1 he was a nice e/w price so it was worth chancing with only 5 runners in.
With Tim’s winner and the Henderson second pulling 9 lengths clear of the third it looks a top effort and it’s nice to see Tim mixing it up with the big boys now!
Plenty of other winners too – You can see a selection of these for yourself below, but the likes of Simon Dow, Jamie Snowden, Gary Moore, Henry Oliver, Julia Feilden, Dave Griffiths, Scott Dixon, Michael Scudamore, Lee Carter, Charlie Fellowes, Mark Loughnane and Oliver Sherwood have all been successful over the last 7 days to back up the overall good form of all the yards.
Here’s what Tim told members the morning of each race…………………………
“Tanit River – Been very disappointing since winning last January. Nothing much has come to light so we’ve given him 6 weeks to freshen up again and he’s also dropping to a very decent mark. Is now 4lbs lower than last win and we get weight from all-bar-one of the others here. Will love the ground and hoping a change of track (1st run here) will help. Seems a lot better at home now too, so certainly capable of going well in a race like this and looking well handicapped at the moment. Competitive race with several in there with similar chances, but can’t put you off him and would not be surprised if he ran better today. Each-way chance.” TIM VAUGHAN 1ST 16/1
“Point Of Principle – Decent sort. Looks between the first three in the betting, but I’d not be surprised if our horse was capable of mixing it up with them. Yes, has a bit to find at the weights, but will love the ground and also the stiff finish, plus heads here fit and well. Might be a tough ask winning, but couldn’t rule out a top three finish.” TIM VAUGHAN 1ST 12/1
Don’t forget the TQ VIEW daily selection is what the team feel is the ‘best quote’ of the day. With over 5 years’ experience speaking to all the trainers they are in no better place to sort the wheat from the chaff!
Yet again more proof that our TQ info that – don’t forget comes direct from the yards each day – is a must-have for any serious punter!
A SAMPLE OF JUST SOME OF THIS WEEK’S WINNING QUOTES………………………………
“Big Lachie was unlucky in running last time out, but unfortunately seems to run better when coming off the pace, so we have to always hope for a bit of luck in running! Ben Curtis couldn’t ride today, so Andrew Mullen is on board & he rides Newcastle very well so is a good deputy. We know the conditions are all fine, so if there is a good pace for us to run at then we think he should be involved again today.” MARK LOUGHNANE 1ST 4/1
“Twenty Eight Guns – Has been paying the price for a good time of it last season. Back to her last winning mark now though and back in grade is more realistic for her. Trip and ground will be fine, plus sports the cheekpieces for the first time. Trappy race, but should be thereabouts.”1ST MICHAEL SCUDAMORE 4/1
“Carolinae – I think these conditions today are perfect for this horse. She will love the track and the 7f is also spot-on for her. There also seems to be plenty of pace in the race which will suit, so hopeful of a nice run in a decent race. Solid Each-way.” 1ST CHARLIE FELLOWES 7/1
“First Experience – Really we’ve all got Gary’s to beat here, but still feel we’ve got a solid each-way chance. Dropped in class to a 0-60 for the first time will help. Good draw in 2 and Charlie, who claims 3lbs, keeps the ride. CD winner here so no track issues. All-in-all might be a struggle to win, but hopeful we’ll not be far away and looks a cracking e/w option in the race.”1ST LEE CARTER 12/1
“Brother Tiger – Been running really well of late without winning. Dropped a pound from his last run when a close fourth here, while the drop back to 5f is fine. In really good order at home and draw 1 a bonus. Hopeful of a really good run with top jockey – Fran Berry – booked to ride.” 1ST DAVE GRIFFITHS 7/4
“Scorpion Sid – Won well on rules debut at Chepstow. He looked impressive that day and is built to defy a penalty. This look tougher with Oxwich Bay looking useful, but I couldn’t be happier with our chap.”1ST JAMIE SNOWDEN 10/11
“Ar Mest: Ran very well last time at Huntingdon – has come out of that race very well. If handling the ground here today, should go close.” 1ST GARY MOORE 9/4
“Oud Metha Bridge – As I said before his last run, this is a horse we like. He works very well at home and we were delighted with his first run for us when second here. This looks a nice opportunity for him and if he has a bit better luck in-running then I think he will again be thereabouts as we are 2lbs better off with Lacan, who beat us last time. Each-way.” 1ST JULIA FEILDEN 7/2
“Age Of Wisdom – Won a very weak seller last time at Lingfield. Hoping getting his head in front there will give him a confidence boost. Looks a competitive race but should have a good chance.” 1ST GARY MOORE 11/4
“Dark Alliance was very unlucky not to win last time out, but just got no luck in-running and ended up running on well to take 3rd. The horse remains in cracking form at home and Eddie Greatrex knows him well, so our only unknown is taking him above the mile. If he is as effective with the extra distance then we expect him to go close again.” 1ST MARK LOUGHNANE 15/8
“Rayvin was being a bit of a plonker at the start of his last race when nearly depositing Tom as the tapes went up, he then did get rid of him at the first fence. He jumped pretty nearly every fence loose and passed the post in front so he thinks he won and has been as fresh as paint since. There are only four runners today so he will pick up prize money with a clear round, the ground won’t be as soft as he would prefer but if you’re not in it you can’t win it. He has the cheek-pieces back on today which he didn’t have on last time. 1ST OLIVER SHERWOOD 5/1
“Native Fighter – Ran well on both starts for us since arriving from Germany. This track should suit him better and likely to go well again if in the same form, looks to have a leading chance.” 1ST SIMON DOW 3/1
“Best Tamayuz – Well out of the weights last time, so we can ignore that run. Remains well in himself though and a fine draw in 8. Loves the track and in an open race looks to have place claims.” 1ST SCOTT DIXON 10/1
“Steps And Stairs: First run for us – was formerly with the Jonjo O’Neill yard. Has settled in well and this looks a good place to start him off in what doesn’t look the best of races. Working well and had loads of work so we are really pleased with him. Trip might be a tad on the sharp side, but in a weak contest hopeful running well and we’d be disappointed if he wasn’t in the first three – anything else a bonus.” 1ST HENRY OLIVER 9/4
Also, a lot of our members use the TRAINERS-QUOTES info to lay horses as well as back them – there are plenty of angles these days with the betting exchanges!! Or even back other horses in certain races with the trainers also taking about other horses in races they’ve heard good words about!
YOUR direct line through to the UK’s TOP Trainers – EVERY time they have a horse running…
Be a fly-on-the-wall at the UK’s TOP yards…
Continue to peek behind the stable door to see how the horses are REALLY performing at home… And what the Trainers REALLY think about their chances…?
Get involved and tap into top daily info from 20 leading yards, below - Just drop us a line here and we can discuss any offers we’ve got on at the moment.
You can check out all the latest winning quotes on the main site here………..
Kempton Park Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)
1.50 – Bet At racinguk.com Pendil Novices´ Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 2m4f110y ITV
11/13 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
11/13 – French (8) of Irish (3) bred
10/13 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
10/13 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
10/13 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
10/13 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
9/13 – Had won between 1-2 times over fences before
9/13 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
8/13 – Won last time out
7/13 – Winning favourites
TQ VERDICT: This is a race the Paul Nicholls camp have targeted with a lot of success in recent years – winning a massive 9 of the last 13! With that in mind anything they run is a ‘must-have’ to be on your radar. CYRNAME looks their main hope and after running the useful Terrefort to a neck last time at Sandown then this 6 year-old has decent credentials. Prior to that run he was a 7 length winner here at Kempton over 2m so we know the track suits. Yes, he’s got a bit to prove over this trip, but should find the flatter Kempton track more to his liking and it looked like he was just beaten by a slightly better horse last time, rather than not staying. He’s a big player despite having to give weight away but not only does he head into the race with this stable’s good form in the contest, but is also the highest-rated in the field. For Good Measure, The Unit and Petrou make up the 4 runner field. This trio are closely-matched on the ratings, with the Alan King-trained The Unit likely to give the selection most to think about. However, it’s hard to ignore the Nicholls record in the race, so we’ll stick with Cyrname here.
2.25 - BetBright Adonis Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV
13/14 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/14 - Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/14 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
12/14 – Had won no more than once over hurdles in the UK
11/14 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
11/14 – Winners that went onto run in the Triumph Hurdle (3 winners)
10/14 – Placed favourites
10/14 – Had won over 2m (hurdles) before
9/14– Won carrying either a 4lb or 7lb penalty
8/14 – Won last time out
6/14 – Winning favourites
5/14 – French bred
5/14 – Irish bred
4/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/14 – Winners that went onto win that season’s Triumph Hurdle
3/14 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/14 – Trained by Alan King
Zarkandar, Soldatino and Penzance went onto land that season’s Triumph Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival
Note: The 2006 renewal was staged at Sandown Park
TQ VERDICT: Some useful sorts running here, but on what we’ve seen so far it’s hard to get away from the Alan King-trained REDICEAN. This 4 year-old was an 80-rated flat horse for the David O’Meara camp, but it looks like he’s going to be a better hurdler after dotting-up by 10 lengths both times he’s raced here. He’s travelled well both times and despite not being the most fluent his high-cruising flat speed has seen him outclass his rivals. He’s around 8/1 for the Triumph Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival so if he’s going to head there will need another good display here. Getting 5lbs off the King hot-pot then the consistent mare Malaya looks next best, but she we was firmly put in her place last time at Aintree. She stopped quickly in the heavy ground that day, so did have an excuse, while the return to a quicker surface and a 2 ½ month break should see her in a much better light. Beau Gosse is another interesting runner that comes over from France. He’s won three times from six starts and connections won’t just be bringing him over for a day out.
3.00 – Sky Bet Dovecote Novices´ Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV
11/12 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
11/12 – Had won over 2m (hurdles) before
10/12 – Had never raced over hurdles at Kempton before
9/12 – Placed favourites
9/12 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
9/12 – Won between 0-2 times over hurdles before
9/12 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/12 – Won last time out
6/12 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
5/12 – Winning favourites
4/12 – French bred
4/12 – Trained by Alan King
4/12 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/14 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
2/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/14 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
Note: The 2006 renewal was staged at Sandown Park
TQ VERDICT: SCARLET DRAGON (e/w) was a very useful 108-rated flat horse and if he translates that to hurdles could have a big future. Now with the Alan King team, who have a very good record in this race, he’s sure to have been well-schooled ahead of this and has handled a bit of give in the ground in the past. Yes, a fair bit has to be taken on trust, but he might be worth chancing with the yard having targeted this race with success in 2009, 2012 and 2016. The Nicky Henderson camp also have a fine record in this – winning it in 2013, 2015 and 2017 – they could also have a nice flat recruit on their hands with Humphrey Bogart. This horse was the winner of the Listed Derby Trial at Lingfield in 2016 and went onto put in some fine efforts in Group races. He’s a similar profile to the King horse – a lot of potential, but we’ll have to see how he translates that over hurdles. Carntop was actually a close second in that Derby Trial that Humphrey Bogart won, so is yet another decent flat horse that is trying to make his mark over the sticks – he’s now with the in-form Jamie Snowden yard. Of those that have run over hurdles, then the Paul Nicholls-trained Mont Des Avaloirs sets a fair standard. He is rated 141, while the form of his recent third in the Tolworth Hurdle has since been franked with the second – Kalashinkov – winning the Betfair Hurdle and that horse is now second favourite for the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival. Ballywood, who is also from the Alan King yard, and 5 year-olds Michael’s Mount and Destrier are others that have already made a mark over hurdles and can’t be ruled out either.
3.35 – Betdaq Chase (Handicap) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m ITV
13/15 – Rated 139 or higher
13/15 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
12/15 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
12/15 – Aged 9 or younger
11/15 – Won a class 2 chase or better before
10/15 – Carried 10-13 or more
10/15 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
10/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/15 – Came from the top 4 in the betting
10/15 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
10/15 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
9/15 – Rated between 139 and 150
7/15 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
7/15 – Won last time out
7/15 – Carried 11-5 or more
5/15 – Aged 8 years-old
5/15 – French bred
4/15 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Grand National (all unplaced)
4/15 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/15 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
2/15 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/15 – Ridden by Richard Johnson (won it 5 times in all)
2/15 – Trained by Tom George
2/15 – Trained by Philip Hobbs (won it 4 times in all)
2/15 – Ran in the King George VI Chase last time out
2/15 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (1 winner)
The average winning SP in the last 15 runnings is 10/1
Note: The 2006 running was staged at Sandown Park
TQ VERDICT: Another decent renewal of this Grade Three Handicap. We can expect the front-running Loose Chips to take them along at a fair lick, but at 12 years-old now he’s sure to get found out by some younger legs. 10 of the last 15 winners carried 10-13 or more so this race generally goes to one at the higher end of the handicap. With 12 of the last 15 aged 9 or younger then this is the age bracket to look for, while 13 of the last 15 finished in the top 5 last time out. Theatre Guide took this in 2016, but at 11 now he’s another that’s likely to have a younger horse improve past him. Surprisingly Nicky Henderson has only won this race once before (2004), but in Gold Present he looks to have a lively chance of improving that record. This improving 8 year-old has won his last two in decent fashion and looks set to be another staying chaser from the Seven Barrows yard to make a name for himself. He is, however, up another 8lbs here so will require to kick-on again, but at 8 years-old there is every chance he’ll do just that. He’s a big danger and the yard boasts a decent 31% strike-rate with their chasers at the track - it won’t be easy lumping round 11-12, but he’s one for the shortlist. The consistent Master Dee fits a lot of the main trends and rarely runs a bad race, but recently he’s a horse that’s been finding a few too good off this mark and that might just be the case again here. The Paul Nicholls yard won this in 2008 and 2015 so anything they run should be respected. As De Mee is one of theirs to note, but ART MAURESQUE (e/w) just edges it for me. This 8 year-old was only beaten 8 lengths behind Waiting Patiently last time here and as we all know that form has been more than franked since. He’s a proven course winner here and, yes, he’s still to shine over this longer trip, but he’s only tried it once and fell at the first! He looks fair value of those at the bigger prices. I also like ACTING LASS and was very impressed with the way he won at Ascot last time out. Up just 6lbs for that win looks fair, while that was his third victory on the spin. Okay, he’s only had 7 career runs and just 3 over fences, but he’s done little wrong so far and could be even better now upped to 3m. He’s impressed with his jumping too and with Noel Fehily booked to ride he’ll have every assistance from the saddle.
Newcastle: Stayers In Action For The Eider Chase……..
Newcastle Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)
2.45 - Betfred Eider (A Handicap Chase) Cl2 4m1f ITV
14/14 – Had won over at least 3m before
12/14 – Aged 10 or younger
11/14 – Carried 11-0 or more
11/14 – Priced 11/1 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
10/14 – Irish-bred
10/14 – Winners came from the top 3 in the betting
9/14 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or less
9/14 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
8/14 – Officially rated between 131-139
8/14 – Placed favourites
8/14 – Aged either 8 or 9 years-old
5/14 – Won last time out
5/14 – Won over 3m4f or further before
3/14 – Carried 11-12 in weight
2/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Irish-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 13 runnings is 10/1
TQ VERDICT: Another gruelling test for the stayers here so it goes without saying stamina will be the order of the day. The top-weight – Chase The Spud – is certainly a horse that has plenty of staying power and despite pulling-up in the Welsh National last time was a good winner of the Midlands National last season. This 10 year-old is actually one of the few proven distance winners in the field so based on that must be one for the shortlist. He is, however, a massive 19lbs higher than his Midlands National win and 10lbs higher than his 6 length Haydock victory back in November. There are some key trends on his side though as 12 of the last 14 winners were aged 10 or younger, while 11 of the last 14 carried 11-0 or more. If that weight trend is to be backed-up then it narrows the field down a fair bit, but there is one horse that only falls outside by a pound that certainly catches the eye – VINNIE LEWIS. This 7 year-old was an easy winner at Plumpton last time out over 3m4f in heavy ground so staying this 4m trip should be within range. He’s had 48 days to get over that run, while a 9lb rise looks fair. The second – Shanroe Santos – has since franked the form, while being this is a better race, and despite rated 9lbs higher than last time, he actually gets in here with just 10-13 – 6lbs less than he carried in his last outing. Milansbar ran the field ragged from the front last time in the Classic Chase at Warwick in the first-time blinkers and we can expect more of the same here. However, a 9lb hike makes life tougher, while at 11 years-old he does fall down on the main age trend. Bryony Frost does continue her partnership with the horse though. The 6 year-old Daklondike is another that ticks a lot of boxes and hails from the Pipe yard that often do well with these young stayers. He’s up another 7lbs for his last Haydock win, which looks fair, and with just 10 career runs there should be more to come. For me though, I’d still be a tad concerned that he is such a young horse running over this extreme trip. Jockey Max Kenderick has built up a great partnership with the 9 year-old THEMANFROM MINELLA (e/w) and with just 10-5 to carry (less Max’s 5lb claim) this horse gets in here with a featherweight. He jumped well and made most last time at Wincanton and is only 7lbs higher here. Like a lot of these, the trip will be the furthest he’s gone but with such a light weight he’d be foolish to overlook and can go best of those at the bigger prices. Baywing is another that is sure to have his supporters. He loves this heavy ground and despite being beaten the last twice has run two solid races and not been beaten far. He’s down another few pounds here and if getting the trip is starting to look well handicapped. Finally, if running, West Of The Edge, will be popular. He was a good second at Haydock last time and gets in here off the same mark. He carried 11-8 that day though, but with only 10-5 here would be very dangerous to the selections if lining-up.
Lingfield: It’s Winter Derby Day in Surrey………
Lingfield Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)
2.05 – Betway Hever Sprint Stakes (All-Weather Championship Fast-Track Qualifier) (Listed Race) Cl1 5f6y ITV
10/11 – Rated 96+
9/11 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
8/11 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
8/11 – Raced 6 weeks or longer ago
8/11 – Placed favs
8/11 – Had raced at Lingfield before
7/11 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
6/11 – Ran at Lingfield last time out
4/11 – US bred
4/11 – Winning favourites
3/11 – Mare winners
3/11 – Trained by David Barron
0/11 – Winners from stall 1
TQ VERDICT: The in-form Karijini has won three of her last four starts so heads here in red-hot form and the last of those came just three days ago. She gets weight all-round so that helps, but being rated 85 does mean she’s still got a fair bit to find still with most of the others in this big hike up in grade to a Listed race. The 110-rated Gracious John does look to have a bit in-hand on these terms though and is clearly much better than his last two showings. He beat another runner here – Tomily – by a short-heads at Wolverhampton in December and before that beat the winner of this race 12 months ago – Royal Birth – by a length over this course and distance. He’s a big player, but does need to bounce back from some average runs. As mentioned, Royal Birth took this last year, so can’t be ruled out, but was slammed 5 lengths by ORVAR last time out. This improving Paul Midgley-trained sprinter won on debut for the yard last time and there could be more to come. Yes, draw 8 is not ideal, but he likes to race just off the pace anyway so that might not be as big a problem as it looks. With 8 of the last 11 winners of this race having finished in the top two last time out then he’s also one of just three that fit the bill on that key trend. Boom The Groom has draw 1, but with no winners from that stall in the last 11 years he’s overlooked, while this is a big step up grade for Brother Tiger, despite that horse winning well last time out. The danger to the selection can come from ENCORE D’OR (e/w). Ryan Moore has bene booked to ride and despite having to give weight away to all the others the last time he ran in this grade he won. Draw 2 looks ideal and he heads here fit from a spell over in Dubai. He also loves the track here at Lingfield, with his recent figures at the Surry venue reading a decent 1-4-1-3.
3.15 - Betway Winter Derby (All-Weather Championship Fast-Track Qualifier) (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f ITV
15/15 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or shorter
13/15 – Won by a horse aged 6 or younger
12/15 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the market
11/15 – Had run at Lingfield previously
11/15 – Won over at least 1m2f previously
11/15 – Had raced at either Lingfield (7) or Kempton (4) last time out
11/15 – Winning distance – less than a length
10/15 – Placed in their last race
10/15 – Drawn in stall 7 or less
10/15 – Came from the top 3 in the market
9/15 – Won at Lingfield previously
9/15 – Won their last race
9/15 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
8/15 – Won at least 6 times previously
7/15 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the 15 renewals is 11/2
TQ VERDICT: With Aidan O’Brien sending CLEAR SKIES over from Ireland and a certain Ryan Moore riding then this 5 year-old is going to be very popular here. She gets 4lbs from the others and comes into the race off the back of a 5 ½ length win at Dundalk. She stays further than this 1m2f trip, while her only blot recently was when tried over 2m (3rd). This will, however, be a harder test up into a Group Three with all her runs recently coming in just handicaps. Having said that these powerful connections clearly feel she’s up to the rise in grade and with Ryan riding – then sorry to all the others – but they also have the best jockey in the race. She does have some stern opposition though, especially with last year’s winner – CONVEY – in the race. This Stoute-trained runner got up by a neck 12 months ago and we can expect another bold show. A recent run would not be a concern as he took this off a break last year, but the Stoute yard have said that he might just need the run – a big player still in my book. Stoute also has the 112-rated Autocratic in the race and off that mark is the highest-rated in the field. Draw 10 gives him a tricky stating point, but over 1m2f he should be fine. He was a Group Three winner of the Brigadier Gerard Stakes at Sandown last May, but has only raced on the AW once before (2nd Chelmsford). Utmost, Khalidi, Mr Owen and Master The World provide plenty of depth to the race, but the way Clear Skies won last time out and the fact O’Brien is sending her over is a positive sign so we’ll stick with her.
THAT’S YOUR LOT!!!
Have a GREAT Weekend