Free Horse Racing Trends: Sat 8th Sept 2018

Newmarket July Meeting Free Tips and Trends: DAY TWO Fri 13th July 2018

This Saturday the ITV cameras head to Haydock, Kempton and Ascot to take in races across the three venues. The Group One Sprint Cup is the clear highlight of the weekend from Haydock – Did you know that 14 of the last 16 Sprint Cup winners were aged 5 or younger, while 11 of the last 16 came from stalls 6 or higher?

So, as always, we’ve got it all covered here at TRANERS-QUOTES with all the key trends, plus our verdict, on each of the LIVE ITV races – we’re confident these trends will point you in the direction of a few winners, or at least help narrow down some of the big fields – So, let’s get going!

 

Saturday 8th September 2018

 

HAYDOCK Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

1.50 – Read Luke Morris Blog At Unibet Handicap Cl2 1m6f ITV

9/9 – Came from stalls 3-10 (inc)
9/9 – Had run in the last 4 weeks
8/9 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
8/9 – Rated between 81-89 (inc)
7/9 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
7/9 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
6/9 – Came from stalls 6-10 (inc)
6/9 – Irish Bred
5/9 – Placed favourites
5/9 – Won last time out
4/9 – Ran at either York (2) or Newbury (2) last time out
3/9 – Winning favourites
Taxmeifyoucan (16/1) won the race in 2017
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 15/2

2.25 – Unibet Mile (Registered as The Superior Mile Stakes) (Group 3) Cl1 1m ITV

12/14 – Won over 1m or further before
12/14 – Won 3 or more times before
11/14 – Winning distance 1 length or more
11/14 – Had won a Listed or better race before
10/14 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Had 3 or more runs that season
9/14 – Placed favourites
8/14 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
7/14 – Ran at either York or Ascot last time out
6/14 – Winning favourites
4/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Had won at Haydock before
3/14 – Trained by Roger Charlton
3/14 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
5 of the last 9 winners came from stalls 1 or 4
Ballet Concerto (8/1) won the race in 2018

3.35 – 32Red Casino Handicap Cl2 1m6f ITV

14/15 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
14/15 – Had won at least twice before
13/15 – Finished 4th or better last time out
13/15 – Had run 4 or more times that season
13/15 – Aged 3, 4 or 5 years-old
11/15 – Rated 90 to 101
11/15 – Drawn in stall 8 or higher
9/15 – Winning distance ¾ lengths or less
8/15 – Carried 9-0 or more
7/15 – Ran at Haydock before
7/15 – Had run over 1m6f before
6/15 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
5/15 – Ran at York last time out
4/15 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/15 – Ridden by Joe Fanning
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 9/1
Sepal (11/4) won the race in 2017

4.15 – 32 Red Sprint Cup (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 6f ITV

14/16 – Aged 5 or younger
13/16 – Had 4 or more career wins to their name
13/16 – Rated 111 or higher
13/16 – Had won over 6f before
12/16 – Didn’t win their previous race
12/16 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
12/16 –Had 4 or more runs that season
11/16 – Winning distance 1 length or less
11/16 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
10/16 – Had won a Group race before
9/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/16 – Ran at Deauville (3) or York (5) last time out
7/16 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
7/16 – Had run at Haydock before (3 had won)
6/16 – Had won a Group 1 before
5/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Placed horse from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 9/1
Harry Angel (2/1) won the race in 2017

 

 Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)

 2.45 – Cunard Handicap Cl2 7f ITV

Only 7 previous runnings
7/7 – Didn’t win last time out
7/7 – Had run at the course before
7/7 – Had won over 7f before
7/7 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
7/7 – Winning distance 1 ¼ lengths or less
6/7 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
5/7 – Irish bred
5/7 – Unplaced last time out
4/7 – Rated between 95-97
4/7 – Had between 4-7 wins already
3/7 – Aged 5 years-old
2/7 – Winners from stall 12
0/7 – Winning favourites
Remarkable(10/1) won the race in 2017

3.55 – Lavazza Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m4f ITV

Only 8 previous runnings
7/8 – Rated between 84-95
6/8 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
5/8 – Had won just once before
5/8 – Horses placed from stall 10
5/8 – Returned a double-figure price
4/8 – Carried 9-0 or more
4/8 – Horses placed from stall 8
4/8 – Won last time out
4/8 – Had run at Ascot before (3 won)
3/8 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/8 – Won by trainer Saeed Bin Suroor
2/8 – Winning favourites (1 co)
Note: the 2015 running was a dead-heat
Duke Of Bronte (16/1) won the race in 2017

 

Kempton Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

 

2.05 – 188Bet September Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f ITV

11/12 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/12 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
9/12 – Didn’t win last time out
9/12 – Had won between 4-7 times before
9/12 – Had won over 1m4f before
9/12 – Placed favourites
8/12 – Winning distance – 1 ¼l or more
7/12 – Horses from stall 2 that finished in the top 3
7/12 – Had run at Kempton before
7/12 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
5/12 – Ran at York (3) or Windsor (2) last time out
4/12 – Aged 4 years-old
4/12 – Godolphin-owned runners
4/12 – Winning favourites
3/12 – Winners from stall 2
3/12 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
0/12 – Winners from stall 1
Chemical Charge (13/8 fav) won the race in 2017

3.15 – 188Bet Extra Place Races ‘London Mile’ Handicap (Series Final) Cl2 1m ITV

12/12 – Had run at Kempton before
10/12 – Had won over a mile before
10/12 – Won between 3-7 times before
10/12 – Unplaced favourites
9/12 – Aged 4 years-old
8/12 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
6/12 – Returned 20/1 or bigger in the betting
5/12 – Rated between 77-85
5/12 – Horses from stall 9 that finished in the top 3
4/12 – Ran at Kempton last time out
4/12 – Won last time out
2/12 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
1/12 – Winning favourites
4 of the last 6 winners came from stalls 14 or 16 (2 each)
Brilliant Vanguard (8/1) won the race in 2017