- Newbury: Lockinge Stakes, Plus Much More………….
- Ascot: Three LIVE Races From HQ…………………
- TQ: Dunlop Keeps Derby Dream Alive……….
Hi, well the flat turf action is starting to really hot-up as the big meetings come at us thick-and-fast – we’ve already had the Chester May Meeting, plus we enjoyed three excellent days at York last midweek……..but there’s still bundles more to come!!
There is no let-up for the ITV cameras either, as after being on the Knavesmire last week as they head to Newmarket and Newbury this Saturday. The Group One Lockinge Stakes at Newbury is the weekend feature where all eyes will be on the William Haggas-trained Addeybb – he will be looking to try and add this race to the Lincoln Handicap and the Group Two Bet365 Mile that he’s already won this season.
Then over at HQ we’ve a couple of decent-looking Listed races and a competitive handicap to take in but it’s the Berkshire track at Newbury that will be the flagship fixture this Saturday.
So, a bumper day to look forward to with a stonking seven LIVE races spread across Newbury and Newmarket and, as always, we’ll be hoping to find plenty more winners for you and as always, we’ve got it all covered with free tips and all key trends for the LIVE races. Enjoy!
Have a Great Weekend
This Week At Trainers-Quote: Dunlop Dreams Of Derby Success….
It’s been another top week here at Trainers-Quotes with last Saturday in particular being a day to remember. The winners were flying in all over the place – including Jamie Snowden’s Monbeg Theatre, Mick Appleby’s Moonraker, Jane Chapple-Hyam’s Ubla and Scott Dixon’s Pearl Noir but it was the Harry Dunlop camp that stole the show with their KNIGHT TO BEHOLD (1st 7/1) romping away with the Lingfield Derby Trial.
Harry’s 3 year-old is now into 20/1 for the Epsom Classic next month as he’ll be looking become the first horse since High Rise (1998) to win both races!
Ok, there’s a certain Saxon Warrior, who landed the 2,000 Guineas in facile fashion earlier this month heading the Derby market, but the way Harry’s horse disposed of his Lingfield field last Saturday suggests he’s certainly got a chance in the fourth Classic of the season.
Don’t forget, that was his first try over that longer trip and being related to the 2009 Derby winner – Sea The Stars – then he’s got the credentials to run a big race.
The Dream Is Still Alive!!
That’s not all, as we also saw some tasty TQ View returns this week with Gary’s King Cool (1st 11/4) and Gay’s Crystal Deauville (1st 9/1) going in for members – more evidence on just how valuable the TQ info can be!!
Here’s just a snippet of what members were told this week…………………………
“Crystal Deauville – We were delighted with his win last time out at Brighton – that came on good-to-soft ground so only small concern would be the much firmer ground here. If he does go on it then we think he’ll win this as remains in cracking form and has come out of that last race really well. 5lbs higher here, but William offsets that with his claim. “1st 9/1 Gay Kelleway (TQ VIEW)
“Moi Aussie – Fresh and well after around 3 months off. Returns to Yarmouth as she’s a proven CD winner here. Bit more needed back on the grass as returns on a higher mark than her recent AW rating. But is only a pound higher than when winning here towards the end of May and also took this race 12 months ago off a 7lb lower mark. Kevin’s 5lb claim helps on that score though so all-in-all at a track we know she likes then hopeful of a decent each-way run.” 1st 16/1 Mick Appleby
“Monbeg Theatre – Won well at Cheltenham the last day when stepped up in trip on decent ground – with another of today’s runners – Whataknight just over 3 lengths back in second. He’s gone up 8lbs as a result but he’s still unexposed and he’s in good form. It’s an open and competitive race, as you’d expect, but we are looking forward to it. Page continues in the saddle and claims 5lbs again – it all helps!” 1st 11/1 Jamie Snowden
“Knight To Behold – No secret that he’s a horse we like a lot. Won well last time at Newmarket over a mile back in October and is now ready to step up in trip. Well bred (Sea The Stars) and so should be well suited to the extra yardage coming out of a Derby-winning family. We’ve been delighted with his progress over the winter and looking forward to this season to see what he can do. The O’Brien and Gosden runners are clearly feared but we can’t be ruled out either and could be the e/w value in the race. “ 1st 7/1 Harry Dunlop
“Uber Cool – If Haydock has had rain than we feel Uber Cool has an e/w fit to the race – has won at the track last year so that’s a bonus. Last start was so slowly run that I would have been quicker on my crutches! So, that’s why we’ve backed up again just 7 days later. Graham Lee rides.” 1st 7/2 Jane Chapple-Hyam
“Moonraker – Another nice recruit to the yard for us this season – came from the Mick Channon camp. Was once rated in the early 100’s so has rather lost his way so we’ll see if we can get him back on track. Hoping a new routine and change of scenary will do the trick but is a horse that is certainly capable of winning a race like this. Is, however, on a long losing run and is now rated 76 now so that tells it’s own story. We are returning him to Ascot too as he’s gone well here in the past several times and also won over this course and distance. Draw 2 looks ok and the ground is fine. Been doing well at home so hoping for a nice run back but even though an experienced sort we’ll find out plenty today but looking for a nice stable debut run.” 1st 7/2 Mick Appleby
“Carolinea – Is a yard favourite and deserves to get some black type. It’s a strong Listed contest today but we will be hoping to finish in the first three, which isn’t out of the question on her recent AW form.” 3rd 20/1 Charlie Fellowes
“Jackpot Royale – Did ok last season in his three runs at a 2 year-old – wasn’t beaten far each time and now handicapped then hoping we can get a win from him this season. Has got stronger over the winer and this longer trip is what he needs now. Looks a fair opening mark and at least in a race like this we are getting weight. We’ll know a bit more were we are after this but looking for a nice run and think he’ll run better than his odds suggest.” 2nd 14/1 Mick Appleby
“Channel Packet – Apprentice race so another race that comes with it’s risks. Our horse has only had 7 career runs though so should have more to come and ran well on the turf last July when a close fourth at Redcar. Doesn’t look the best of races and we are actually the top-rated so are also the top-weight. Jockey claims 7lbs though so that brings us a lot closer to the others in terms of weight. Has come on for the last run and so in a race of this nature place claims – but that probably applies to the all!” 2nd 14/1 Mick Appleby
“Pearl Noir – Has come on for the first two runs this season. He came second in this race 12 months ago off a 4lb higher mark and looks decent each-way value to go well again – especially as we’ve a further 7lbs off with the jockey’s claim.” 1st 11/1 Scott Dixon
“King Cool – Ran well latest but just bumped into one. Conditions should suit as in great form at home so I would have to give him every chance” 1st 11/4 Gary Moore TQ VIEW
“The Fresh Prince didn’t really appear to get home over three miles last time out at Southwell, he won a point to point before I bought him and we always thought he would get the trip so there is still hope on that score. He shows a lot of speed at home but on a racecourse he has been largely disappointing, he is by Robin Des Pres and a lot of them are bridle horses, they travel well into a race and then find very little when asked. I think Prince is better competing in lower grade races off a big weight than running in better class races with a low weight, he’s a giant among mice. He’s dropped back down to a good mark again and he will appreciate a small field, I think he prefers better ground but if they do get rain at Plumpton he should handle conditions too. Prince is an extremely good looking horse with a lot of presence, he works and schools exceptionally well at home, hence the frustration that he doesn’t transfer it to a racecourse. A trappy race with just 4 runners and we all look to have a chance – should go well though and looking for a decent run.” 1st 2/1 Oliver Sherwood
“Our Three Sons – Won three handicap hurdles last summer. He’s taken well to fences at home and should be winning again this summer. This looks tight though with just 4 runners and three of us with fair chances – looks like we’ve got the Blake horse and favourite – Coole Cody – to beat though.” 1st 8/11 Jamie Snowden
“Royalraise – Paul’s Port Melon is the one we’ve all got to beat but Royal will head here with a fair chance too. We get 4lbs off the favourite and the horse is well after a fair third at Southwell last time. Goes well on this good ground and after just getting outpaced a bit in the closing stages last time the step up to 3m here will help. For a 9 year-old is actually fairly lightly-raced with just 15 career runs. Has the stamina for this trip and Gina Andrews, who rode last time too, continues in the saddle.” 1st 5/4 Oliver Sherwood
Don’t forget the TQ VIEW daily selection is what the team feel is the ‘best quote’ of the day. With over 5 years’ experience speaking to all the trainers they are in no better place to sort the wheat from the chaff!
Yet again more proof that our TQ info that – don’t forget comes direct from the yards each day – is a must-have for any serious punter!
Also, a lot of our members use the TRAINERS-QUOTES info to lay horses as well as back them – there are plenty of angles these days with the betting exchanges!! Or even back other horses in certain races with the trainers also taking about other horses in races they’ve heard good words about!
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Newbury: A Star-studded Field Line-Up In The Lockinge….
Newbury Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)
1.50 – Shalaa Carnarvon Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f8y ITV
12/13 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
12/13 – Had between 1-3 previous wins
11/13 – Had won over 6f before
11/13 – Drawn in stall 5 or lower
10/13 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
10/13 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
8/13 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
5/13 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/13 – Winning favourites
3/13 – Drawn in stall 3
3/13 – Won last time out
3/13 – Trained by Richard Hannon
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 4/1
TQ VERDICT: Based on the official ratings then this Listed contest should really rest between Cardsharp, Eqtidaar, Juliet Capulet, Murillo and Shabaaby. If we then look at some of the main trends then with 11 of the last 13 winners coming from stalls 5 or lower then Eqtidaar (8), Juliet Capulet (6) and Murillo (9) would all have this stat to overcome. So that leaves us with SHABAABY and CARDSHARP as the two we are going to focus on. Yes, the jockey booking for Shabaaby suggests this Hamdan Al Maktoum runner is the second choice with the owners main jockey – Jim Crowley – preferring Eqtidaar. However, the jockeys don’t always get it right. On a plus, the Owen Burrows yard have started the season in decent order so this is a plus ahead of Shabaaby’s chance. He’s also rated 107, which is the same as Eqtidaar so there is a strong chance that Mr Crowley had a hard job picking which one to ride anyway. A fourth last at the backend of last season at York in a Listed race was a solid effort and with another winter on his back can be expected to be stronger this term. Cardsharp was a busy 2 year-old last season and this will actually be his 13th career outing – miles more than the rest of these. We last saw him running down the field in the 2,000 Guineas (11th of 14) but ran well for much of the way so this drop back to 6f is a huge plus. He’s the joint-highest rated in the field (108) with Murillo while the better ground and – as I say – the return to this trip is a bonus. His form over 6f reads well – 1-1-3-3-3 – so based on that and with jockey James Doyle knowing the horse well (7 rides) then everything looks in place for this drop into Listed grade to bring out a much better showing from this Mark Johnston-trained 3 year-old. Of the rest, the Richard Hannon team have a fair record in this race – winning it in 2010 and 2014 so their All Out, who gets a 5lbs fillies allowance from the others, is another that should benefit from the return to 6f after finding 7f stretching her last time.
2.25 – Al Rayyan Stakes (Registered As The Aston Park) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m4f5y ITV
14/15 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
13/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/15 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
11/15 – Drawn 4 or lower
10/15 – Irish bred
10/15 – Had run at Newbury before
10/15 – Placed favourites
10/15 – Had won at Listed or Group class before
9/15 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
7/15 – Had won between 1-3 times before
7/15 – Aged 4 years-old
4/15 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
1/15 – Won last time out
3 of the last 10 winners were Godolphin-owned
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/2
TQ VERDICT: Just the five runners heading to post here but still a fascinating little contest. Second Step and Scarlet Dragon are two proven course and distance winners in the field and can be expected to go well. However, both return to the flat off the back of 238 day absences, although Scarlet Dragon has been jumping since. They’ve till a bit to find with the 114-rated Raheen House, who was a winner at this level last season when taking the Bahrain Trophy on the Newmarket July course back in July. He returned with a below-par 5th in the Sagaro Stakes at Ascot last time but that was over 2m so the drop back in trip will suit. We can also expect him to have come on for that run and can go well. However, the one they’ve all got to topple is the Sir Michael Stoute-trained CRYSTAL OCEAN. The yard has a cracking record in the race – winning it three times in the last 15 years, with the most-recent being in 2015. This 4 year-old returned to the track with a gutsy head win at Sandown back in April and that victory was even better as it came over an inadequate 1m2f trip. He was second in the St Leger over 1m6f so clearly stays a longer trip, plus was a solid winner over this 1m4f distance when running away with the Group Three Gordon Stakes at Goodwood last August. Mick Channon’s Buildmeupbuttercup completes the field and was a fair fourth at Goodwood on his only flat turf run but with the yard only 1 from 28 with their older horses at the track that would be a worry.
3.00 – Al Zubarah London Gold Cup (Open Handicap) Cl2 1m2f6y ITV
15/15 – Had won between 1-2 times before
13/15 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
12/15 – Rated 90 or lower
12/15 – Carried 8-10 or more
12/15 – Winners from stall 8 or lower
11/15 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
10/15 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
8/15 – Won last time out
8/15 – Had won over 1m2f before
7/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
7/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/15 – Irish bred
5/15 – Raced at Newbury before (2 won here)
4/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/15 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 8/1
TQ VERDICT: Several interesting runners here and some fair trends too. With 12 of the last 15 winners carrying 8-10 or more and also coming from stall 8 or lower then the top three on the card – Connect, Masaarr and Dukhan all fit the bill here. 13 of the last 15 runners were also placed in the top three last time out, plus it’s been a good race for trainers Mark Johnston and Sir Michael Stoute. Johnston runs two – Communique and Poet’s Prince, while Stoute has Mekong. Frankie Dettori has a cracking 29% strike-rate when riding 3 year-olds at the track so his mount Dukhan looks sure to be popular too. This Hugo Palmer-trained runner ticks a lot of the main trends and has two solid races in defeat this season – the first-time cheekpieces are an interesting addition this time. The Clive Cox camp run two – Connect and He’s Amazing but the yard are a poor 0-from-39 with their 3 years-olds here so that would be a concern. In contrast, the John Gosden stable boast an impressive 26% strike-rate with their 3 year-olds at the course so their Glencadam Master can’t be overlooked. However, the two that I’m going to play here are the Roget Varian-trained MASAARR and Mark Johnston’s POET’S PRINCE. The Varian stable won this race last year so will be keen to follow-up and in Masaarr they look to have a decent chance. This 3 year-old stayed on really well over a mile to win a fair handicap last time at Doncaster so the step up to 1m2f looks the right call. Yes, more is needed in this higher grade too but with just 4 career runs we can expect more. Stall 5 is a plus and he also ticks most of the other main trends – like weight and recent form. The other pick – Poet’s Prince – does have draw 11 to overcome but he was a good winner when stepping up to 1m2f for the first time at Chelmsford recently. He’s not been out of the first two in his last five runs and looks a typical tough Mark Johnston performer – who, don’t forget, have a fine record in this race – that can excel now he’s been stepped up in distance.
3.40 – Al Shaqab Lockinge Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m ITV
15/15 – Won over a mile before
13/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/15 – Had won a Group One race before
12/15 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
11/15 – Had won at least 4 times before
11/15 – Aged 4 years-old
10/15 – Having their first run of the season
10/15 – Winning favourites
9/15 – Unplaced last time out
4/15 – Won by the Richard Hannon yard (Has won the race 5 times in all)
3/15 – Won by a mare
3/15 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/15 – Won by a Cheveley Park stud-owned horse (won it 5 times in all)
2/15 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute (has won the race 7 times in all)
0/15 – Winners from stall 1 or 2
The average winning SP in the last 15 runnings is 3/1
No winner aged 7 or older since 1958
The last Aidan O’Brien-trained winner was Hawk Wing (2003)
TQ VERDICT: Onto the big weekend race and the first thing to note here is that we’ve not seen a winner aged 7 or older since 1958! With that in mind, the likes of Suedois and Lightning Spear, who are both 7 year-old, are overlooked. In contrast, 4 year-olds have by far the best recent records too – winning 11 of the last 15. Of the 16 runners 50% (8) are 4 year-olds – Accidental Agent, Addeybb, Alexios Komnenos, Beat The Bank, Lahore, Lancaster Bomber, War Decree and Rhododendron. The last three-named all hail from the powerful Aidan O’Brien yard but it’s interesting, and slightly surprising, that the Ballydoyle camp have not won this since Hawk Wing flew home in 2003! Rhododendron looks their main hope and also gets a handy 3lbs fillies allowance from the rest. She is the pick of Ryan Moore and was a Group One winner of the Prix de l’Opera in France last October. However, I’m not sure the drop back to a mile will suit and has actually only won 1 of her last seven. She’s also got draw 2 and we’ve not seen a winner from stall 1 or 2 in the last 15 years. I’m happy to look elsewhere. Limato will be popular and at a rating of 119 is the joint-highest in the field with Librisa Breeze and Deauville but he’s been beaten both times he’s tried a mile and is another that is often fancied for these big races but seems to just fall short. He’s won just 1 of his last 6 and the last 9 times he’s been sent off favourite he’s actually been beaten 6 times. Zabeel Prince looks an improver from the Roger Varian yard after an easy Listed win at Doncaster back in March. This is a big step up but he deserves his chance and having won 4 of his last 5 can’t be ruled out. However, the two I like here are BEAT THE BANK and ADDEYBB, who are both improving 4 year-olds. Beat The Bank won three on the spin last summer and can probably be forgiven his flop on Champions Day at Ascot last October. That was his 6th race of the season and he also lost all chance by pulling too hard. Prior to that he dotted up by 5 lengths in the in the Group Two Shadwell Stakes at Newmarket and on that form would go close. He’s gone well fresh in the past so the 210 day break is fine and Jim Crowley is a plus in the saddle. Addeybb is the other horse that risen up the ranks this season. He’s already landed the Lincoln in easy fashion and followed-up in the Group Two Bet365 Mile last time at Sandown. This is a step up to the top level but he’s a horse that’s done nothing wrong this season and looks likely to take the step up in class in his stride. James Doyle rides and the Haggas camp boast an impressive 26% record at the track with their 4 year-olds. Those against him will look to this being the quickest ground he’s encountered so far but he’s won on a good surface so I’m not too concerned about that, while off a rating of 117 he’s already right in the thick of things with the other big players in this field so doesn’t look to have much to find.
Newmarket: Three LIVE Races From HQ To Take In……
Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)
2.05 – Betway Fairway Stakes (Listed) Cl1 (3yo) 1m2f ITV
11/11 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
11/11 – Had won between 1-2 times before
10/11 – Had raced in the last 3 weeks
9/11 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
9/11 – Favourites placed in the top three
9/11 – Had won over 1m or further before
8/11 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
8/11 – Draw 1,2 or 3
7/11 – Had raced at Newmarket before (Rowley)
5/11 – Winning favourites
5/11 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/11 – US-bred winners
3/11 – Trained John Gosden
2/11 – Had won over 1m2f before
2/11 – Won last time out
2/11 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/11 – Godolphin-owned winners
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1
TQ VERDICT: Just the three runners here which is a bit disappointing. However, all three yards represented here have recent form in the race. Richard Hannon took this in 2015 and 2016 so his Department Of War will be trying to add to that record, while John Gosden won the race in 2012 and 2013 – they run Court House. Finally, the Godolphin camp have landed the prize in 2011 and 2014 – they have the final runner – Old Persian – and it’s this one that gets the call. This 3 year-old is a proven course and distance winner here and rated 105 sets a fair standard. He was only just run out of things in the final stages over this trip here a few weeks ago in a Listed race but it was still a fair effort. His form at the course reads 1-1-2, plus William Buick, who won on him two starts back, is back in the saddle. This looks a bit easier and he’s taken to get back to winning ways. Court House steps up to 1m2f for the first time and if getting the trip can go well but breeding suggests it might be hit or miss as to whether he does get the extra yardage. Department Of War is the final runner but after only landing a maiden on his debut run at Nottingham then it’s hard to know exactly how good this one is going to be.
2.40 –Betway King Charles II Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 7f ITV
14/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/15 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
12/15 – Won only once before
12/15 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
12/15 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
11/15 – Winners from stall 4 or lower
11/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/15 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
9/15 – Raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before
8/15 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Trained by the Hills stable
2/15 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/15 – Trained by Richard Hannon (2 of last 4 winners)
2/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/15 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/1
TQ VERDICT: Another small field here with just 5 runners but really it will be a shock if Ambient is taking this so that leaves us with four. The Richard Fahey camp have been in decent order all week at York so their Great Prospector can be given a mention but despite running well in-and-around this sort of grade he’s not won now for six races with his only victory being on debut over 6f last June. Mutaaqeb returns to the track after a 203 day break and is up from 6f to 7f this time. Owen Burrows’ charge looks sure to be suited by the step up in trip and there should be more to come from this lightly-raced 3 year-old. However, this can be left to the two proven course and distance winners in the field – Purser and AURUM – with slight preference for the last-named. Purser hails from the John Gosden yard and so far is 3-from-4 over this 7f trip. We know the track suits too but my only slight concern is that since stepping up into Listed or Group company he’s been beaten three times. So that leaves us with Aurum. This Godolphin runner won by an easy 2 ¾ lengths on debut here over his trip and although that form is hard to assess he’s clearly held in high regard and with just one career run there should be more on offer. Godolphin have a fair record in the race so this one is taken to remain unbeaten with William Buick riding.
3.15 – Betway Handicap Cl2 6f ITV
15/15 – Had won between 1-3 times before
12/15 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
12/15 – Had won over 6f before
12/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/15 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
10/15 – Finished 1st, 2nd or 3rd last time out
9/15 – Carried 8-12 or more
9/15 – Favourites placed in the top 4
8/15 – Rated between 91-96
8/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/15 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before
5/15 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Won by a mare/filly
3/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Won by the Kremlin House (Varian) stable
2/15 – Trained by Richard Fahey
8 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 1-8
7 of the last 10 winners came between stalls 3-7
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1
TQ VERDICT: Trainer Richard Fahey has a good record in this race – winning it in 2011 and 2014 – and after having a good time of it up at York in midweek then his pair Lucky Lucky Man and SHOWMETHEDOUGH can’t be ruled out. The last-named is the slightly more interesting one for me with Paul Hanagan booked to ride. Yes, draw 11 might be a small negative but his recent runs this season have both been over 5f and he’s not quite had the pace to stay with the field. He’s up to 6f here and his only run over this trip was a winning one. With just 8-10 he looks well treated, plus has form on a faster surface too. A recent 6th at Chester over 5f was another example of him doing all his best work at the end of the race, while the yard have been firing in the winners this week at York. Richard Hannon is another yard that does well here at the track with his 3 year-olds – he’s got Mayyasah and Yafta – entered here with the last-named looking interesting after a recent second (or 11) here over this course and distance. A 4lb rise for that looks harsh but that was also his first run for 7 months so should have also come on for it. Red Roman is the only proven course and distance winner in the field but with a decent 22% strike-rate with his 3 year-olds at the track the Mick Channon runner – TRICKSY SPIRIT – is the other of interest. This 82-rated handicapped won well last time out at Bath and a 3lb rise for that looks fair. She was held up that day and came with a good late run so the step up to 6f is fine and she’s also a winner over this trip in the past too.
THAT’S YOUR LOT!!!
Have a GREAT Weekend