- DONCASTER: Can O’Brien Land A Ninth Vertum Futurity Trophy?…..
- NEWBURY: Two LIVE Races From The Berkshire Track……
- CHELTENHAM: Jumping Returns to NH HQ…………..
- TQ UPDATE: Horses To Follow From Sherwood & Moore………
Wow – we’ll that was certainly a performance and a half last week from Cracksman in the Champion Stakes at Ascot….wasn’t it? It’s certainly been a great climax to the flat turf season, but the curtain officially comes down on another grass campaign this Saturday at Doncaster………then it’s all systems go over the jumps!
The newly-named Group One Vertum Futurity Trophy – the old Racing Post Trophy – takes centre stage as we get a chance to see some of the stars of the future on show in this end-of-season 2 year-old contest. It’s a race the powerful Aidan O’Brien camp have won eight times in the past and, once again, look to have a strong hand with the likes of Magna Grecia and Japan, while John Gosden, who is yet to win this race, will be hoping to put that right with the hat-trick seeking Turgenev.
We’ve also two flat races LIVE from Newbury that include the Group Three Horris Hill Stakes, plus jumping fan……….the wait is over as we are back with action from Cheltenham too – a fixture that for many signals the ‘real’ start of the new National Hunt season!
Oh, an extra treat this week too – with the jumping action starting to ramp-up then we’ve been speaking to our NH yards to get their main horses to follow – we start this week with Oliver Sherwood and Gary Moore (see below).
So, plenty to look forward too and, as always, we’ll be hoping to find plenty more winners for you with free tips and all key trends for the LIVE races. Enjoy!
Have a Great Weekend!
This Week At Trainers-Quotes: Sherwood and Moore Give Us Their Horses To Follow…………….
Another good week in terms of quotes with some more nice winners and placed returns (see below a selection), while – as mentioned above – we’ve also been speaking to Gary Moore and Oliver Sherwood this week to get their ‘horses to follow’ for the coming jumps season.
Here’s just a sample of recent winners…………………
“Chozen – Another that returns from a break but is fit and well. Top-weight of 12-0 makes life hard and may have likes softer ground but should be okay on that score. Chasing debut here too but schooling well. Probably not the best of races though gives us a chance despite his absence – a horse to note as the season moves on, especially with a bit more give underfoot, but of my two in the race think this one has the better chance and would not be shocked if he can go well here.”
1st 11/2 Tim Vaughan
“Robero – Has won twice on the AW and ran ok here last time out over a mile – just got a bit tired in the closing stages so the drop back to 7f is a plus. We are also down 2lbs this time and Josie Gordon takes over. Look to have the Simcock horse to beat but feel we are starting to look well-handicapped and expected to get much closer today – each-way chance.”
2nd 14/1 Gay Kelleway
“Gibeno – Plenty to prove at the moment but has had a few excuses the last twice. The drop back to 7f will help and he’s also 3lb lower than last time. We are also putting the visor on for the first time and this looks his level at the moment. Yet to win a race but only had 9 career runs and the encouraging factor is that his two runs over 7f have been good ones. Be delighted to see a step back in the right direction – small e/w chance due to his good record over this distance.”
3rd 33/1 Mick Appleby
“Fieldsman – Been running really well of late and ran a cracker under a penalty last time (4th). Track is no issue and has come out of that race well. Tom is riding well at the moment too so a plus in the saddle – confident of a good run.”
2nd 5/1 Dave Griffiths
“Cap St Vincent – One of two in the race for us – both looks to have similar chances. This 5 year-old was last seen back in May so no matter what will improve for the run here (155 day break). Is fit and ready to run though on chase debut and returns off a 3lb lower mark than over hurdles. Done plenty of schooling over the summer too and should be more to come from him with just 6 career runs, but will probably be better for the outing.”
3rd 33/1 Tim Vaughan
“Lord Fendale – Consistent sort and it should be more of the same here. Returned earlier this month to run a decent third at Newton Abbot but that was only a Selling Handicap Hurdle. Conor Brace also rode him that day and continues in the saddle to claim a handy 7lbs. Hoping the visor for the first time suits and in what looks an open race feel we’ve got decent place claims again here – ground, track and trip are all fine. “
2nd 9/2 Tim Vaughan
“Lincoln Park – Showed a great attitude last time out when winning well at Pontefract. We are up 6lbs for that so more needed, but we feel the extra furlong will help bring out a bit more as saw out the 6f well last time and acted well with a bit of give last time. Heavy ground will be a lot harder and a bigger unknown and it won’t be easy in conditions with 10-1 to carry. But the horse is well and now he’s got off the mark that should give him more confidence. Each-way but looks one of my best chances on the day.”
1st 9/2 Mick Appleby
“Storm Patrol – Has plenty of ability – disappointing the last twice over hurdles. Possibly a non-stayer so dropping back in trip, despite pedigree suggesting otherwise. Hopeful of an improved showing and working well at home.”
3rd 16/1 Suzy Smith
“Jersey Bean – Bean hasn’t run since winning a novice hurdle over this trip at Fontwell in February, he unfortunately picked up an infection in his leg which took ages to clear up so we then turned him away for a good holiday. Bean comes from a family that I have had a lot of success with and they have all wanted soft/heavy ground but he seems to prefer better ground, something we didn’t have a lot of last winter. Open-looking race at the head of the betting but we are one of those so should be in the shake-up.
1st 10/3 Oliver Sherwood
“Lord Murphy – Hard horse to win with (1 from 23) but often never far away in his races. Solid performer that ran well two days ago here to be third. Has come out of that race well – Same mark, trip and grade so no reason why he can’t be involved again here.”
3rd 7/2 Mark Loughnane
“Thomas Macdonagh – Is a lovely type. He goes well and could well be decent. This looks a competitive race but he’s likely over-priced and should out-run his odds.”
2nd 5/1 Jamie Snowden
“Zapper Cass: Into a claimer here – off top-weight though so we are helping on that front with Mark taking off 7lbs. Others are still rated higher than us though and we have to give them weight so looks to be a tall ask. Dire race though helps and the softer ground is a help as last win came with give. Mark has been lucky when riding the horse though so could sneak into a place if the race falls apart but probably not a contest to get too interested in.”
1st 33/1 Mick Appleby
“Royal Hall – First time over the distance but we think he will stay which should give him a reasonable chance. Remains on the upgrade and has been running well on the flat recently too. Ground is suitable so each-way chance here today. “
1st 6/1 Gary Moore
“Take Em Out – Tough ask to beat the hot favourite but a small chance of filling a place if the Pipe and O’Brien horses run below-par. Fast ground is fine for him and back into a handicap here should see him more competitive. A bit to prove but if a few of the others behind the market leader run below-par then a small chance of sneaking second or third. However, really, we’d just be delighted with a step forward.”
2nd 16/1 Tim Vaughan
“Boxatricks – Put in a much-improved performance at Wolverhampton last time but threw the race away by hanging right – we hope by running here at Kempton, and going right handed, will suit him better. He has been working well at home and we hope he have an each-way chance here in a weak race.”
2nd 16/1 Julia Feilden
“Outrage – Won nicely last time out at Newcastle and was beaten just a head the time before over course and distance. This is slightly tougher but should remain competitive.”
2nd 11/2 Daniel Kubler
“Reveleon – Hasn’t built on his debut win for the yard -5 runs ago – and needs to bounce back from a very poor run last time. The better ground here will help and didn’t seem to handle the Bath track that well last time. The longer Yarmouth straight will help and Theo helps by taking off 5lbs this time. We are also plonking the visor on so this will keep his mind on the job. Certainly capable and looks a big price based on his win back in Nottingham but we’d like to see a return to form on the track really. Small e/w (1 1/2 stars).”
3rd 20/1 Mick Appleby
“Whenapoet – We’ve 11 lengths to find with So Hi Storm, who beat us last time so it’s not going to be easy. Step up to a mile will suit us though and we’ve a fair weight pull in our favour this time too. We also were not the best away last time so looking for better on that score. Hopeful we can get closer but the way the Burke horse won last time suggests we might be playing for places at best here.”
3rd 16/1 Mick Appleby
Don’t forget the TQ VIEW daily selection is what the team feel is the ‘best quote’ of the day. With over 5 years’ experience speaking to all the trainers they are in no better place to sort the wheat from the chaff!
Yet again more proof that our TQ info that – don’t forget comes direct from the yards each day – is a must-have for any serious punter!
Also, a lot of our members use the TRAINERS-QUOTES info to lay horses as well as back them – there are plenty of angles these days with the betting exchanges!! Or even back other horses in certain races with the trainers also taking about other horses in races they’ve heard good words about!
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DONCASTER: The Turf Flat Season Draws To A Close………
Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)
1.45 –Doncaster Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV
11/11 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
10/11 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
10/11 – Drawn in stall 9 or lower
10/11 – Foaled in February or later
10/11 – Had won over 6f before
10/11 – Won between 1-2 times before
9/11 – Won last time out
8/11 – Carried 9-1 in weight
8/11 – Favourites placed in the top 3
7/11 – Raced at York, Nottingham or Kempton last time out
7/11 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
7/11 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
6/11 – March-born foals
5/11 – Irish bred
4/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
2/11 – Trained by Brian Meehan
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10.5/1
Trainer Marco Botti has won 2 of the last 3 runnings
TQ VERDICT: Some promising sorts for the future in this 2 year-old race. The likes of Barbill, Kodyanna and Dave Dexter have already had plenty of racing during their young careers and should not be far away, while Heartwarming, Canton Queen and the hat-trick seeking San Donato are others to consider. With only two career runs then Breath Of Air looks interesting too – he bolted-up last time out at Newbury and despite this being a big step up in grade is one of the lesser-exposed runners in the field. He should go well. However, the call here is GARRUS to get back to winning ways. The Jeremy Noseda yard are 2 from 8 with their juveniles at the track and this colt wasn’t disgraced when running fourth in the Group Two Mill Reef Stakes last time out. He won well in his two previous races, while the slightly quicker ground here will be more to his liking. A certain Frankie Dettori riding is the icing on the cake.
3.25 – sunracing.co.uk Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 5f ITV
14/14 – Ran 5 or more times that season
13/14 – Had won over 5f before
13/14 – Aged 5 or younger
11/14 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/14 – Returned 9/1 or bigger in the betting
9/14 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/14 – Carried 8-10 or less
9/14 – Unplaced favourites
9/14 – Had run at Doncaster before (4 won)
5/14 – Ran at Pontefract (3) or Ayr (2) last time out
5/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Winners from stall 1
2/14 – Ridden by Oisin Murphy
2/14 – Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of last 5)
1/14 – Winning mare/filly
8 of the last 11 winners came from a double-figure stall
The average winning SP in the 10 years is 11.5/1
TQ VERDICT: A huge 22 runners here so it’s not a race to go overboard in. The recent trends suggest looking for a horse drawn in double-figures with 8 of the last 11 winners ticking that box so if that’s to be backed-up then we can at least put a line through those drawn 1-9 – Copper Knight, Holmswood, Line Of Reason, Excessable, Dakota Gold, Abel Handy, Mayleaf Shine, East Street Revue and Equimou. Next up is the age as a massive 13 of the last 14 winners were aged 5 or younger – of the 22 runners then a further five fall down here – Line Of Reason, Foolaad, Sir Robert Cheval, Rapid Applause and Duke of Firenze. The consistent Tarboosh is sure to be popular with at string of 1’s and 2’s after it’s name but it won’t be easy with 9-10 to carry. So, the three tentative picks here are ERISSIMUS MAXIMUS (e/w), QUICK LOOK (e/w) and ORNATE (e/w). The first-named won well last time at Ascot and a 4lb rise for that looks fair. Any rain would help, but he’s clearly in good order and that’s a big factor with these sprinters, plus gets in with a light weight. Quick Look also has a light weight and will have options from stall 10. The better ground (has run on heavy recently) will help and Easterby yard also took this race in 2010. Finally, Ornate looks like a horse that’s starting to hit form. He is very well-handicapped on old form and ran well for much of the way last time at Musselburgh after a 118 day break. With the expected improvement and Andrea Atzeni booked then he looks interesting off a mark of 94, having been rated as high as 110 at his peak.
4.05 – Vertem Futurity Trophy (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) (CLASS 1) (2yo) ITV 1m
15/16 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or more
14/16 – Had won either 1 or 2 races before
14/16 – Placed favourites
13/16 – Foaled in February or later
13/16 – Finished in the top two last time out
13/16 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
11/16 – Winning favourites
11/16 – Had raced at least twice previously
11/16 – Won their last race
10/16 – Foaled in either Feb or March
10/16 – Had won over a mile before
9/16 – Ran at either the Curragh (3) or Newmarket (6) last time out
6/16 – Won by an Irish-based yard
5/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
4/16 – Won by a Montjeu-bred colt
4/16 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni
3/16 – Went onto win the Epsom Derby
2/16 – Went onto win the 2,000 Guineas
1/16 – Went onto win the St Leger
Five winners have gone onto win the following season’s Epsom Derby
Aidan O’Brien has won the race 8 times – 1997, 1999, 2001, 2002, 2009, 2011, 2012 & 2017
The average SP in the last 16 runnings is 7/1
TQ VERDICT: A new name to this final Group One of the season but still the same look as the powerful Aidan O’Brien yard are well-represented again with three of the 11 runners. They are looking for their ninth win in the race and it’s Magna Grecia that will be heading there as their main hope. This 2 year-old won his maiden on debut at Naas well and then wasn’t’ disgraced when a close second at Newmarket in the Autumn Stakes. He’s a horse that’s clearly held in high regard and can be expected to have learned a lot from those first two runs. It’s also been a good race for the favourites in recent years so his chance in an obvious one – it would be a shock if he’s not in the mix. However, at the prices and the fact he’s not yet won over a mile his knockers do have a few things to cling to. With that in mind the John Gosden runner – TURGENEV (e/w) – could be the value call against him. The yard has actually never won this race but with a 24% record with their juveniles at the track they do well with their youngsters here. This colt also heads here in a three-timer after wins at Newcastle and HQ – both over a mile, so we know he gets the trip well. Yes, this is a step up, but he’s caught the eye in those wins and the yard will certainly know the time of day as to whether he’s up to this leap up in grade – they clearly feel he is. Frankie gets the leg-up as this combination will be hoping to cap-off what’s already been another top year for Gosden and Mr Dettori. The yard also run Kick On, who won very well last time out, but you feel Turgenev is their main hope. Of the rest, Phoenix Of Spain ran the classy Too Darn Hot to just under two lengths last time in the Group Two Champagne Stakes at Doncaster so sets a fair standard too. He is stepping up from 7f to a mile though so has a bit to prove regarding the trip, while the Charles Hills yard are only 4 from 43 with their 2 year-olds at the track. Great Scot is another to note having won three of his four, while with jockey Andrea Atzeni having won 4 of the last 5 runnings of this race his mount Raakib Alhawa would be foolish to totally ignore too.
NEWBURY: Two LIVE Races From The Berkshire Track…….
Newbury Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)
2.20 – Teddington Royal British Legion Stakes (Registered As The St Simon) (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f5y ITV
16/16 – Aged 5 or younger
15/16 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
14/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/16 – Had won at least twice before
13/16 – Had at least 4 runs that season
13/16 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/16 – Placed favourites
10/16 – Had run at Newbury before (4 won)
10/16 – Rated 107 or higher
10/16 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
10/16 – Placed horses from stall 6
7/16 – Winners from stalls 6 or 8
6/16 – Won by a filly or mare
6/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Trained by Andrew Balding
0/16 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/2
TQ VERDICT: A decent renewal that should really revolve around the likes of Morando, Communique, Weekender and YOUNG RASCAL, with the last-named looking the one to beat. This William Haggas runner landed the Group Three Legacy Cup here over a furlong shorter trip last month and being rated 116 then he’s on the highest mark in the field. He also gets a 3 year-old allowance from the older horses, plus the way he ran on last time suggests this extra furlong will be right up his street too. Jim Crowley, who rode last time too, remains in the saddle. Of the rest, Commuinque has had a bust season but is a tough performer that can be expected to make another bold bid from the front. Morando represents the Andrew Balding yard that won this in 2016 and 2008, and a recent second in the Listed Doonside Cup was a solid effort – this step up in trip looks within range, but it is the furthest he’s gone so it’s still an unknown. Weekender is also sure to be in the mix and the form of his recent third in the Irish St Leger probably makes him the one to beat. However, he’s a horse that’s only won once from 9 starts on the turf so seems to be placed more often than win these days. Of the rest, if the rain came then What About Carlo and Raheen House would both be interesting, while Desert Skyline was 3 lengths behind Stradivarius last weekend at Ascot to suggest he’s got a squeak but was also just over 4 lengths behind the pick when also running in the Legacy Cup back in September.
2.50 – Molson Coors Stakes (Registered As The Horris Hill Stakes) (Group 3) Cl1 7f ITV
14/15 – Foaled in Feb or later
12/15 – Priced 15/2 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Won just 1 or 2 races before
11/15 – Never raced at Newbury
11/15 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
11/15 – Had at least 3 previous career runs
9/15 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
8/15 – Won over 7f before
8/15 – Favourites unplaced
7/15 – Foaled in February
7/15 – Won their last race
7/15 – Winning distance – ¾ lengths or less
4/15 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
4/15 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
1/15 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1
TQ VERDICT: The once-raced Chairmanoftheboard could not have been more impressive when winning on debut at Goodwood a few weeks ago – dotting-up by an easy 8 lengths that day. He’s clearly a useful sort and coped well with the soft ground that day. He looks a big player, but also little value in a race that will be a lot harder to win that that debut contest. The John Gosden camp boast an excellent 28% record with their 2 year-olds at the track so their AZANO, who broke his duck on the second attempt at Yarmouth last time by an easy 5 lengths. Another that is stepping up in grade, but he looks a progressive sort that has at least won over this trip. Victory Command and Fanaar are others that can go well but with the Richard Hannon camp having a good record in this race the other pick against the favourite is their DIRTY RASCAL. This consistent juvenile is yet to finish outside the top two from his seven career starts and was a good winner over this course and distance last time out. He’ll need to make the step up from handicap company into this Group level, but he’s a tough performer that also heads into the race as one of the most experienced.
CHELTENHAM: Jumping Returns To Prestbury Park…….
Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends ITV/RUK)
2.00 – ‘Matchbook’ Exchange Handicap Chase Cl2 3m1f ITV
12/12 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting market
10/11 – Won over at least 3m previously
9/11 – First run of the season
8/11 – Carried 10-11 or more in weight
8/11 – Favourites unplaced
8/11 – Rated 136 or higher
8/11 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or less
7/11 – Irish bred winners
7/11 – Had won at Cheltenham previously
6/11 – Won by a horse aged 8 years-old
5/11 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
5/11 – Ridden by jockey Richard Johnson
5/11 – Unplaced in their last race
1/11 – Winning Favourites
Cogry (13/2) won the race 12 months ago
Singlefarmpayment was 2nd in the race last year
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2
TQ VERDICT: A decent renewal with many big names heading to post. Last year’s winner – Cogry – will be popular again with just 10-4 in weight to carry. He’s 2lbs higher than last year but is the only course and distance winner in the field and is a horse that often goes well fresh. However, the horse that was third 12 months ago – DOING FINE (e/w) – could be the answer. He’s been threatening to land one of these big-field handicaps for a few seasons now and being 2lbs lower than last year suggests the handicapper is giving him a chance. He’s only got 10-4 to carry too – had 10-9 last year – and is also a proven course winner. Add in that the Neil Mulholland yard have been amongst the winners in the last few weeks then that’s another positive sign. There are some big names at the head of the handicap though and with six of the last 11 winners aged 8 years-old then Shantou Village, Laurium, from the Nicky Henderson yard, West Approach, from the in-form Colin Tizzard camp, and Minella Rocco, who – don’t forget – was second in the 2017 Cheltenham Gold Cup, all fit that age stat. Off a mark of 157 then MINELLA ROCCO (e/w) is certainly starting to look very dangerous – having been rated as high as 165 this time last year. He’s still got time on his side, but a recent wind-op could have done the trick and he might be worth chancing that he can finally start fulfilling his potential. Dell’Arca and the Gordon Elliott pair at the foot of the handicap – Rightdownthemiddle and Swingbridge – are certainly others that command respect.
2.35 – Masterson Holdings Hurdle Cl2 2m110y ITV
7/9 – Having their first run of the new jumps season
6/9 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
6/9 – Carried 10-12 in weight
5/9 – Placed in their last race
4/9 – Irish bred winners
4/9 – Favourites placed
3/9 – Winning favourites
3/9 – Won 3 times over hurdles previously
2/9 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
The average SP in the last 9 runnings is 4/1
TQ VERDICT: Some promising 4 year-olds on show here. Redicean will be popular for the Alan King yard, who won this race in 2016, but despite showing a lot of promise last season when winning three races over hurdles at Kempton he failed to build on that in the Triumph Hurdle, when only sixth. With that in mind there are a few course concerns, while it won’t be easy having to give weight away to all the others – including 8lbs to the 148-rated GUMBALL. This Philip Hobbs-trained runner was pulled-up in the Triumph Hurdle but seems to be a much better horse on a better surface – on good ground he’s 3-from-3. The in-form Richard Johnson is the icing on the cake. Of the rest, Padleyourowncanoe, Eragon De Chanay and Esprit De Somoza are certainly no back numbers but on the official ratings do have a bit of ground to make up with the selection.
3.10 – Randox Health Handicap Chase Cl2 1m7f199y ITV
Only 3 previous runnings
Foxtail Hillwon the race in 2017 for trainer Neil Mulholland
Boondooma won the race in 2016 for trainer Dr Richard Newland
All three winners aged between 6-8 years-old (2 aged 8)
All three winners returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
1 winning favourite
2 of the 3 winners carried 11-1 or more
TQ VERDICT: A tight little race and a case can really be made for any of the seven runners heading to post. With only 10-0 to carry then the hat-trick seeking LILLINGTON must have every chance with regular rider – Tom Scudamore – doing the weight. The Tizzard yard have had several winners in the week too and even though this is a step up in grade he’s a horse on the up that will head here fitter than most after recently dotting-up at Stratford. Modus and Duke Of Navan are decent performers at this level too, while the Harry Whittington-trained Bigmartre ended last season with a top win at Ayr in a Grade Two Novice Chase. He’s a horse that stays further than this 2m trip and won first time out last season so is certainly another one with a big chance here. The only niggle would be that his only two runs at the track have been poor ones. Paul Nicholls has his horses in rude health at the moment too and runs Tommy Silver that would have the form to run well too. However, the other pick is last year’s winner – FOXTAIL HILL. This Nigel Twiston-Davies runner took this on his return run last year so the 189 break is not a worry, plus he’s the only proven course and distance winner in the field. He’s actually 2lbs lower than last year too and with the yard amongst the winners already this month then he’s sure to be well tuned-up to defend his title.
3.45 – Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Series Qualifier) Cl2 2m7f208y ITV
7/9 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/9 – Priced 17/2 or bigger in the betting
7/9 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
7/9 – Had run at Cheltenham before (3 winners)
6/9 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
6/9 – Last ran 6 month+ ago
5/9 – Unplaced favourites
4/9 – Won last time out
3/9 – Irish Bred
2/9 – Mare winners
2/9 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/9 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/9 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 9/1
TQ VERDICT: A really competitive contest to end the live action at Prestbury Park. There’s been a fair amount of support for the Stuart Edmonds-trained Theclockisticking during the week and it’s easy to see why after running well in Listed and Grade Three Hurdles recently. He was also second at the track last April and seems to relish the better ground. It’s an open race but it would be a shock if this fairly consistent performer is not going close. My only worry would be that he’s little value in the betting, while despite a string of solid efforts he’s still winless from his last six. The Nicky Martin yard head into the race having had 2 winners from their last three so their Sykes can’t be ruled out, while the Paul Nicholls yard (34%) are also going great guns at the moment – they run The Eaglehaslanded. Rejaah was a good winner here back in April on similar ground so can go well too, even off a 6lb higher mark, while the 11 year-old Regal Flow is also a past course winner to note. However, the Hobbs and Twiston-Davies yards have won four of the last 9 runnings of this race between them (two each) so their runners – WAIT FOR ME (e/w) and GOODBYE DANCER (e/w) – might be worth a small interest. Hobbs’ Wait For Me gets in here with topweight but that’s because he’s the highest-rated in the field. Richard Johnson has been booked to ride too and he’s another that is well-suited by good ground. Goodbye Dancer will need to overcome a 596 day break after clearly having some issues but he wouldn’t be risked in a race like this unless the Twiston-Davies yard though he was ready to run. He’s gone well fresh in the past too and is only 4lbs higher than his last win. Sam Twiston-Davies gets the ride too so his fitness might just be worth chancing.
THAT’S YOUR LOT!!!
Have a GREAT Weekend