- Uttoxeter: We’ve Got The Midlands National Down To 5…….
- Kempton: Key Trends to Help Find the Winners………
- Trainers Quotes: More Top Winners This Week……
Hi, wow – so that’s another Cheltenham Festival done-and-dusted!
Hopefully you managed to find a few winners and if you went we hope the head and liver isn’t too bad!!
So, after the carnage of the Festival the weekend after is always a bit of a comedown with punters generally taking a break. However, there is still some decent LIVE ITV racing to take in with the cameras heading to Kempton and Uttoxeter, with the Midlands National at Uttoxeter the main event.
Run over a gruelling 4m1f trip is goes without saying that stamina is the order of the day – we’ve got the race covered below with key trends and stats – did you know ALL of the last 14 winners of the race were aged 9 or younger, while 12 of the last 14 carried 10-12 or less!? We take a look at the big staying race in a bit more detail below.
So, bundles to get stuck into and we’ll be hoping to find plenty more winners for you and as always, we’ve got it all covered with free tips and all key trends for the LIVE races. Enjoy!
Have a Great Weekend
This Week At Trainers-Quotes………More winners for the TQ yards………..
Another top week at TQ – not loads of runners at Cheltenham but we did see a top run from Gary’s Benetar to be third in the JLT Novices’ Chase on Thursday. A great run and with more improvement to come looks to have a big future.
Jamie’s Thebannerkingrebel unfortunately choked a bit in the bumper, hence while he was pulled-up, but he’ll be back to fight another day and is a horse the yard thinks a lot of.
Away from the carnage of Cheltenham we’ve also had loads of top winners to help members through a busy week and after all a winner 4/1 winner at the other tracks still pays out the same as a 4/1 winner at The Festival!!
Here’s a snippet of what members were told this week…………………………
“Cest Du Gateau – We expected better last time at Uttoxeter but the step up from 2m to 2m3f will help. Dropped 3lbs from last time so that helps and won’t mind the ground. Lightly-raced with just 5 career runs and is fresh and well after 3 1/2 months off. Poor race so hoping for much better here. Each-way.” 1st 6/1 TIM VAUGHAN
“Samarayia – Ran ok last time at Market Rasen when 5th – only beaten around 10 lengths. Drop in trip is a plus as got a tad tired over 2m3f last time but we are 2lbs lower here and also have a 3lb claimer on. Not a great race but the ground is fine too and looks a race between us and 2 others. Bit to prove off this mark but her work is very good at the moment. Expected to go well and should not be far away.” 1ST 11/8 HENRY OLIVER
“Benatar – Hopefully our best chance so far at the Festival in what should be a strongly-run race. Three-from-three over fences and won’t mind the ground and could have reasonable chances. Looking forward to a big day.” 3RD 10/1 GARY MOORE
“Candesta – Has at least won here at the track – in fact, is our only winner here. Needed the run last time and should be better this time – he should have an each-way chance at a fair price in what doesn’t look the greatest of races.” 2ND 25/1 JULIA FEILDEN
“Feathery – Ran a great race last time out on her debut for the yard when third at Wolves. She is better than a 78 horse and looks over-priced to me and a decent each-way option.” 3rd 9/2 CHARLIE FELLOWES
“Chocolate Box – Mambo Dancer and Azam are feared but this a horse we quite like that we got from the Luca Cumani yard. Has winning form at the track too so that’s a plus. Will look to go hurdling too but no matter what happens here one to watch.” 1st 9/2 MARK LOUGHNANE
Don’t forget the TQ VIEW daily selection is what the team feel is the ‘best quote’ of the day. With over 5 years’ experience speaking to all the trainers they are in no better place to sort the wheat from the chaff!
Yet again more proof that our TQ info that – don’t forget comes direct from the yards each day – is a must-have for any serious punter!
Also, a lot of our members use the TRAINERS-QUOTES info to lay horses as well as back them – there are plenty of angles these days with the betting exchanges!! Or even back other horses in certain races with the trainers also taking about other horses in races they’ve heard good words about!
YOUR direct line through to the UK’s TOP Trainers – EVERY time they have a horse running…
Be a fly-on-the-wall at the UK’s TOP yards…
Continue to peek behind the stable door to see how the horses are REALLY performing at home… And what the Trainers REALLY think about their chances…?
Get involved and tap into top daily info from 20 leading yards, below – Just drop us a line here and we can discuss any offers we’ve got on at the moment.
You can check out all the latest winning quotes on the main site here………..
Uttoxeter: Midlands National Day……………….
Uttoxeter Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)
1.50 – Betfred “Home of Goals Galore” Novices´ Handicap Hurdle Cl3 1m7f168y ITV
10/10 – Didn’t win last time out
8/10 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
8/10 – Carried 11-5 or less
7/10 – Had won at the trip (2m) before
7/10 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Unplaced favourites
6/10 – Carried between 11-2 and 11-11
6/10 – Placed 2nd, 3rd, 4th last time out
3/10 – Irish bred
4/10 – Had run at the track before (2 winners)
1/10 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1
Broughton’s Rhythm (4/1) won the race in 2017 (Henry Spiller)
2.25 – Betfred Supports Jack Berry House Handicap Chase Cl3 3m ITV
11/14 – Aged 8 or younger
11/14 – Carried 10-9 or more
10/14 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
10/14 – Had won between 1-2 times over fences before
10/14 – Had won over at least 3m (chases) before
9/14 – Placed last time out
9/14 – Never raced at Uttoxeter before
9/14 – Returned 7/1 or less
8/14 – Unplaced favourites
8/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/14 – Aged 7 years-old
5/14 – Won last time out
2/14 – Trained by Alan King
2/14 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
2/14 – Winning favourites
American (2/1 fav) won the race in 2017 (Harry Fry)
3.00 – Betfred ´Treble Odds On Lucky15´s´ Handicap Hurdle Cl3 2m3f207y ITV
Only 6 Previous Runnings
6/6 – Carried 10-13 or more in weight
5/6 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
3/6 – Winning favourites
2/6 – Aged 8 years-old
Fortunate George (4/1 fav) won the race in 2017 (Emma Lavelle)
The average winning SP in the last 6 runnings is 6/1
Trainer Sue Smith has a good record with her chasers at the track
Trainer Philip Hobbs has good record with his chasers at the track
Jockey Noel Fehily has a good record riding over fences at the track
3.35 – Betfred Midlands Grand National Chase Handicap (Listed Race) Cl1 4m1f110y ITV
14/14 – Aged 9 or younger
13/14 – Had won between 1-4 times over fences before
12/14 – Carried 10-12 or less
12/14 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
11/14 – Won by an Irish bred horse
11/14 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
10/14 – Carried 10-9 or less
10/14 – Had never run at Uttoxeter before
10/14 – Officially rated 133 or less
10/14 – Unplaced favourites
9/14 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
8/14 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
8/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/14 – Returned a double-figure-price in the betting
4/14 – Won last time out
4/14 – Trained by David Pipe
3/14 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
2/14 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 14 runnings is 11/1
TQ VERDICT: As always, a competitive renewal but it’s also been a decent trends race so hopefully we can narrow down the 18 runners a bit. With ALL of the last 14 winners aged 9 or younger then this knocks out half the field (9 runners), while 12 of the last 14 carried 10-12 or less.
If we apply that weight trend to the age stat then of the nine we are now left with just FIVE – BALLYMALIN, BACK TO THE THATCH, THEMANFROM MINELLA, BILLY BRONCO & THE ARTFUL COBBLER.
If the prices allow then you might be able to alter stakes to even back all five – as the likes of Billy Bronco, Themanfrom Minella and Ballymalin all are sure to be double-figure odds.
Back to the Hatch looks likely to dispute the favourites berth and it’s easy to see why. This 6 year-old was still going well in the Eider Chase that the useful Baywing won at Newcastle last time out and he gets in here off the same mark. Yes, he’ll need to brush-up his jumping but that race was three weeks away now and he’s sure to have been well-schooled by the Henry Daly camp since.
Before that tumble he was an easy 11 length winner at Chepstow in heavy ground and despite having yet to win over this far was in the process of running well over 4m1f last time so there is every chance he’ll stay the extra yardage! Looks a big player.
However, with just 10-3 to carry THE ARTFUL COBBLER (e/w) looks the slightly better value of the five key trend horse that remain. 7 or 8 year-old have won 8 of the last 14 runnings of this race so this 7 year-old has that age trend on his side too. He’s won his last three in the style of an improving staying chaser and despite an 8lb hike in the ratings the fact he gets in here with just 10-3 will be a huge asset in conditions. He had 11-3 on his back last time.
Yes, this is a big step up in class but he’s done little wrong of late and deserves to take the step up. Last time he won over 3m5f in heavy ground so there is every chance he’ll also get the longer trip, while with just four chase starts (won 3 of those) there looks like there should be more on offer.
Don’t forget, at big prices Billy Bronco, Ballymalin and Themanfrom Minella also tick two of the main age and weight trends so there is no harm having small cover bets on these too.
Kempton: Three Jumps Races LIVE on ITV ……….
Kempton Park Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)
2.05 – Matchbook VIP Chase (A Novices’ Limited Handicap) Cl3 2m ITV
10/11 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
9/11 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
7/11 – Carried 11-0 or less
7/11 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
7/11 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
7/11 – Won at least once over fences before
5/11 – Unplaced last time out
5/11 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
5/11 – Won last time out
4/11 – Won 3 or more times before over fences
4/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Trained by Tom George (2 of last 5)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1
Days Of Heaven (4/1) won the race in 2017 (Nicky Henderson)
Trainer Nicky Henderson has an excellent strike-rate with his chasers at the track
2.40 – Matchbook Racing Is Commission Free Silver Plate Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m5f ITV
Only 4 previous runnings
Nicky Henderson has won 2 of the last 3 runnings
No winning favourite yet from the last 4 runnings
All 4 previous winners carried 11-6 or more
Brio Conti (8/1) won the race in 2017 (Paul Nicholls)
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a good strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Harry Fry has a good strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Philip Hobbs has a poor strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Gary Moore has a poor strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
3.15 – Matchbook Silver Bowl (A Handicap Chase) Cl2 2m4f110y ITV
Only four previous running
1 winning favourite (co) from the last 4 runnings
3 of the last 4 winners carried 11-2 or more
Trainers Ian Williams, Paul Nicholls, Tom George and Jonjo O’Neill have won the race so far
Max Ward (9/2 co fav) won the race in 2017 (Tom George)
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a good strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Trainer Dan Skelton has a poor strike-rate with his chasers at the track
THAT’S YOUR LOT!!!
Have a GREAT Weekend