York Ebor Festival Trends: DAY FOUR (Sat 24th Aug 2019)

York Dante Stakes Free Tips and Key Trends

The York Ebor Festival concludes on Saturday 24th August 2019, as the four-day meeting heads into it’s final day.

Four more LIVE ITV races to take in, including the Group Three Strensall Stakes, but the final day is always spearheaded by the Ebor Handicap – Europe’s most valuable handicap – did you know that 16 of the last 17 Ebor Handicap winners carried 9-4 or less in weight, while 14 of the last 17 winners came from a double-figure stall?

As always, we’ll be on-hand throughout the whole meeting to take you through the key trends for each day’s LIVE ITV races.

 

DAY FOUR – Saturday 24th August 2019

 

1.50 – Sky Bet Strensall Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m208y ITV

16/16 – Had won over at least a mile before
16/16 – Had won at least twice in the their career
15/16 – Had between 2 and 4 runs already that season
13/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/16 – Had won over a mile before
7/16 – Won by Godolphin
7/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/16 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
4/16 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
4/16 – Had won at York before
Lord Glitters (2/1 fav) won the race in 2018

Note: The 2009 running was a dead-heat

 

2.25 – Sky Bet Melrose Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m6f ITV

14/16 – Not raced at York before
14/16 – Had 4 or more runs that season
12/16 – Won carrying 9-0 or less
12/16 – Had won over 1m4f or further
12/16 – Returned 10/1 or shorter
12/16 – Had a top 5 finish last time out
10/16 – Drawn in stall 8 or lower
4/16 – Winning favourites (1 co)
2/16 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
Ghostwatch (10/1) won the race in 2018


3.00 – Sky Bet City Of York Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 7f ITV

15/16 – Failed to win last time out
15/16 – Aged 5 or younger
13/16 – Drawn in stalls 4 to 8 (inc)
13/16 – Priced 7/1 or shorter
12/16 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
12/16 – Never run at York before
11/16 – Winning distance 1 length or less
11/16 – Had 4 or more runs that season
7/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/16 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute
2/16 – Won by trainer Andrew Balding
1/16 – Placed horses from stall 1
Expert Eye (Evs) won the race in 2018

 

3.40 – Sky Bet Ebor (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m6f ITV

16/17 – Carried 9-4 or less
16/17 – Aged 6 or younger
14/17 – Won from a double-figure stall
14/17 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
12/17 – Carried 9-1 or less
12/17 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
11/17 – Winning Distance – 1 length or less
10/17 – Had 3 or more runs already that season
9/17 – Unplaced favourites
8/17 – Had run at York before
5/17 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/17 – Won last time out
4/17 – Irish-trained winners (4 of the last 9)
4/17 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
3/17 – Ran at Galway last time out
2/17 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/17 – Placed horses from stall 1 (third 2011, third 2013)
1/17 – Winning favourites
Just one winning favourite since 1999
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 1980, 1991 & 1996
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 21/1
Muntahaa (11/1) won the race in 2018