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8th December 2021

2021 Breeders’ Cup Betting Tips and Trends: Sat 6th Nov

The 2021 Breeders’ Cup will be staged this year at Del Mar racecourse for just the second time in the events history – and with plenty of mega-pots up for grabs then the best horses from around the globe will be heading to the California track in hope of making it into the Breeders’ Cup record books.

The 2021 Breeders’ Cup meeting will run over Friday 5th November and Saturday 6th November.

We take a look at four of the main races – the Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mares Turf, Breeders’ Cup Turf, Breeders’ Cup Mile and, of course, the Breeders’ Cup Classic from a trends and stats angle………

 

Breeders’ Cup Trends and Tips

 

8:59 – Maker’s Mark Breeders´ Cup Filly & Mare Turf (Grade 1) (3yo+ Fillies & Mares) (Turf) 1m3f ITV4


Past Breeders´ Cup Filly & Mare Turf Winners

2020 - Audarya
2019 – Iridessa
2018 – Sistercharlie
2017 – Wuheida
2016 – Queen’s Trust
2015 – Stephanie’s Kitten
2014 - Dayatthespa
2013 – Dank
2012 – Zagora
2011 – Perfect Shirl
2010 – Shared Account
2009 – Midday
2008 – Forever Together
2007 – Lahudood
2006 – Ouija Board
2005 – Intercontinental
2004 – Ouija Board

Key Breeders´ Cup Filly & Mare Turf Trends

17/17 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
17/17 – Had raced in the last 12 weeks
16/17 – Won by either a UK (7) or US (9) based yard
14/17 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
14/17 - Previous Group/Grade 1 winners
13/17 – Drawn in stall 7 or lower (note, different tracks)
13/17 – Placed favourites
12/17 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
11/17 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/17 – Had won no more than 6 times
9/17 – Had won over 1m2f before
7/17 – Won last time out
7/17 – Drawn in stalls 5,6 or 7 (note, different tracks)
4/17 – Winning favourites
4 of the last 9 runnings went to trainer Chad Brown
No horse has won back-to-back runnings
Ouija Board (2004 & 2006) the only horse to win the race twice
Audarya (12/1) won the race in 2020 (James Fanshawe)

TQ SELECTION: LOVE
DANGERS: MY SISTER NOT/POCKET SQUARE

 

10:20 – FanDuel Breeders´ Cup Mile (Grade 1) (3yo+) (Turf) 1m ITV4

 

Past Breeders’ Cup Mile Winners

2020 - Order Of Australia
2019 – Uni
2018 – Expert Eye
2017 – World Approval
2016 – Tourist
2015 - Tepin
2014 - Karakontie
2013 – Wise Dan
2012 – Wise Dan
2011 – Court Vision
2010 – Goldikova
2009 – Goldikova
2008 – Goldikova
2007 – Kip Deville
2006 – Miesque’s Approval
2005 – Artie Schiller
2004 – Singletary

Key Breeders´ Cup Mile Trends

17/17 – Had won over at least a mile before
16/17 – Had won at least 4 times before
16/17 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
14/17 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
12/17 – Aged 4 or older
11/17 – US-trained winners
11/17 – Had won a Group/Grade1 race before
8/17 – Winning favourites (including 8 of last 12)
8/17 – Drawn between stalls 8-11 (note, different tracks)
6/17 – Won last time out
4/17 – French-trained winners
2/17 – UK/IRE-trained winners
Trainer Mark Casse has won 2 of the last 6 renewals
Order Of Australia (40/1) won the race in 2020 (Aidan O’Brien)

TQ SELECTION: SPACE BLUES
DANGERS: GOT STORMY/BLOWOUT   

 

11:40 - Longines Breeders´ Cup Turf (Grade 1) (3yo+) (Turf) 1m4f ITV

 

Past Breeders´ Cup Turf Winners

2020 - Tarnawa
2019 – Bricks And Mortar
2018 – Enable
2017 – Talismanic
2016 – Highland Reel
2015 - Found
2014 – Main Sequence
2013 – Magician
2012 – Little Mike
2011 – St Nicholas Abbey
2010 – Dangerous Midge
2009 – Conduit
2008 – Conduit
2007 – English Channel
2006 – Red Rocks
2005 – Shirocco
2004 – Better Talk Now

Key Breeders´ Cup Turf Trends

16/17 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
16/17 – Had won at least 3 times before
15/17 – Raced in the last 8 weeks
14/17 – Had won a Group/Grade 1 before
13/17 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
13/17 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/17 – Had won over 1m4f before
12/17 – European-trained winners
12/17 – Placed favourites
11/17 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher (note, different tracks)
7/17 – Won last time out
5/17 – US-trained winners
4/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/17 – Winning favourites
4 of the last 10 runnings went to trainer Aidan O’Brien
Tarnawa (3/1) won the race in 2020 (Dermot Weld)

TQ SELECTION: TARNAWA
DANGERS: JAPAN/BROOME

 

12:40 – Longines Breeders´ Cup Classic (Grade 1) (3yo+) (Dirt) 1m2f ITV

 

Past Breeders’ Cup Classic Winners

2020 - Authentic
2019 – Vino Rosso
2018 – Accelerate
2017 – Gun Runner
2016 – Arrogate
2015 – American Pharoah
2014 – Bayern
2013 – Mucho Macho Man
2012 – Fort Larned
2011 – Drosselmeyer
2010 – Blame
2009 – Zenyatta
2008 – Raven’s Pass
2007 – Curlin
2006 – Invasor
2005 – Saint Liam
2004 – Ghostzapper

Key Breeders´ Cup Classic Trends

17/17 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
17/17 – Had won over at least 9f before
17/17 – Raced in the last 9 weeks
16/17 – Previous Group/Grade 1 winners
16/17 – USA-trained winners
16/17 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
12/17 – Had won at least 5 times before
11/17 – Won last time out
11/17 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/17 – Unplaced favourites
7/17 – Had raced at Belmont Park last time out
2/17 – Winning favourites
4 of the last 7 winners were trained by Bob Baffert
In the 37 runnings to date of the Breeders’ Cup Classic - 4 year-old horses have the best record – winning 15, while 3 year-olds have taken 13 and 5 year-olds have won 9.

TQ SELECTION: MEDINA SPIRIT
DANGERS: KNICKS GO, ART COLLECTOR  

 

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