Welcome to Trainers Quotes!
25th April 2024

2021 July Cup Free Tips and Trends

The July Cup is a Group One contest is run over 6f at Newmarket racecourse and is one of the highlights for the best sprinters all around the world each year.

Run on the final day of the three-day Newmarket July Meeting the race is worth around £225,000 to the winner.

We take a look back at the recent winners and give you some key trends ahead of the 2020 renewal, this year run on Saturday 10th July.

Did you know  -18 of the last 19 July Cup winners were aged 5 or younger?


Recent July Cup Winners

2020 - Oxted (12/1)
2019 - Ten Sovereigns (9/2)
2018 - U S Navy Flag (8/1)
2017 - Harry Angel (9/2)
2016 – Limato (9/2 fav)
2015 - Muhaarar (2/1 jfav)
2014 - Slade Power (7/4 fav)
2013 - Lethal Force (9/2)
2012 - Mayson (20/1)
2011 - Dream Ahead (7/1)
2010 -  Starspangledbanner (2/1 fav)
2009 - Fleeting Spirit (12/1)
2008 - Marchand d'Or (5/2 fav)
2007 - Sakhee's Secret (9/2)
2006 - Les Arcs (10/1)
2005 - Pastoral Pursuits (22/1)
2004 - Frizzante (14/1)
2003 - Oasis Dream (9/2)
2002 - Continent (12/1)

July Cup Betting Trends

18/19 – Aged 5 or younger
17/19 – Had won over 6f before
16/19 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
15/19 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
15/19 – Had between 1-3 previous runs that season
14/19 – Had won a Group 1 or 2 race before
14/19 – Won by a horse trained in the UK
11/19 – Placed last time out
9/19 – Ran last time out in either the King’s Stand Stakes or Diamond Jubilee
9/19 – Unplaced favourites
7/19 – Won their previous race
5/19 – Winning favourites
4/19 – Irish-trained winners (O’Brien trained 2 of the last 3 winners)
2/19 – Trained By Hughie Morrison
1/19 – French-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 18 years is 8/1
Just one horse aged older than 5 has won since 1968
Aidan O’Brien has won the race 5 times before (1999, 2001, 2010, 2018 & 2019)

TQ VERDICT: Several chances here in what looks an open renewal of this Group One. The David Evans-trained Rohaan has risen up the ranks to win his last three, one of which was the G2 Sandy Lane Stakes at Haydock, when seeing off another of the runners here - Dragon Symbol - by a nose. He acts on all ground and should go well. The already mentioned Dragon Symbol has since run well to be second in the Commonwealth Cup at Ascot - winning that race but was placed second after a stewards’ enquiry. CREATIVE FORCE (e/w) is another progressive young sprinter - winning his last four, including the Jersey Stakes last time at Royal Ascot over 7f. The drop back to 6f will be fine and despite this being a step up again is worth having onside. Starman, was last seen winning the Duke Of York Clipper Stakes by a neck and having won 4 of his 5 starts is another to consider. But of the main players, OXTED gets the verdict. This Roger Teal runner was a good winner of the King’s Stand Stakes at Ascot last time over 5f but won going away that day so this step back up to 6f is fine and he's also the top-rated in the field and a proven CD winner at the track. Of those at bigger prices, G1 winner - Supremacy - can’t be ruled out if bouncing back to form in the first-time blinkers, while Extravagant Kid and Art Power have place claims too. But the Hollie Doyle-ridden GLEN SHIEL (e/w) ran an excellent second at Ascot last time in the Diamond Jubilee Stakes and rarely runs a bad race. He’s the second highest-rated in the field (117) and acts on all ground.