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6th December 2022

2022 Royal Ascot Free Tips and Trends: DAY FOUR (Fri 17th June)

On DAY FOUR at  ROYAL ASCOT we've seven more mouth-watering races to look forward to that include the Group One Commonwealth Cup, plus the Group Three Albany Stakes and the Group One Coronation Stakes.

Did you know? 18 of the last 20 Coronation Stakes winners returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting.

Like all big race days here at TQ we've got it all covered with key trends and stats - use these trends to narrow down the field and find the best past profiles of recent winners.

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2.30 - Albany Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 6f ITV

Albany Stakes Past Winners

2021 – Sandrine (16/1)
2020 – Dandalla (13/2)
2019 – Daahyeh (4/1 fav)
2018 – Main Edition (7/1)
2017 – Different League (20/1)
2016 – Brave Anna (16/1)
2015 – Illuminate (4/1 fav)
2014 – Cursory Glance (14/1)
2013 – Kiyoshi (8/1)
2012 – Newfangled (7/4 fav)
2011 – Samitar (16/1)
2010 – Memory (15/2)
2009 – Habaayib (16/1)
2008 – Cuis Ghaire (8/11 fav)
2007 – Nijoom Dubai (50/1)
2006 - Sander Camillo (4/1 fav)
2005 – La Chunga (10/1)
2004 – Jewel In The Sand (10/1)
2003 – Silca’s Gift (5/1)

Albany Stakes Key Trends

20/20 – Had between 1 and 2 previous runs
20/20 – Never raced at Ascot before
19/20 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
16/20 – Won by either a Feb or Mar foal
16/20 – Won their previous race
14/20 – Placed favourites
10/20 – Returned a double-figure price
9/20 – Previous winner over 6f
6/20 – Winning favourites
5/20 – Won by trainers Channon (2) or Hannon (3)
3/20 – Ran at Sandown last time
2/20 – Trained by Roger Varian (2 of the last 8)
16 of the last 17 winners came from double-figure stalls
12 of the last 17 winners came from stalls 11-15 (inc)

TQ VERDICT: MEDITATE
TQ DANGER: FULLY WET

3.05 - Commonwealth Cup (Group 1) (Class 1) (3yo) 6f ITV

Commonwealth Cup Recent Winners

2021 – Campanelle (5/1)
2020 – Golden Horde (5/1)
2019 – Advertise (8/1)
2018 - Eqtidaar (12/1)
2017 - Caravaggio (5/6 fav)
2016 - Quiet Reflection (7/4 fav)
2015 - Muhaarar (10/1)

Commonwealth Cup Trends

7/7 – Won over 6f before
5/7 – Drawn 8 or lower
6/7 – Had run at Ascot before
5/7 – Won 3+ times before
4/7 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
4/7 – Rated 117 or higher
2/7 – Winning favourite
2/7 – Came from stall 8
2/7 – Won last time out

TQ VERDICT: PERFECT POWER
TQ DANGER: TWILIGHT JET

3.40 - Duke of Edinburgh Stakes Handicap (CLASS 2) (3yo+ 0-105) 1m4f ITV

Duke of Edinburgh Past Winners

2021 – Quickthorn (7/2 fav)
2020 – Scarlet Dragon (33/1)
2019 – Baghdad (7/2 fav)
2018 – Dash Of Spice (7/2 fav)
2017 – Rare Rhythm (20/1)
2016 – Kinema (8/1)
2015 – Arab Dawn (6/1 jfav)
2014 – Arab Spring (11/4 fav)
2013 – Opinion (8/1)
2012 – Camborne (11/2 fav)
2011 – Fox Hunt (12/1)
2010 – Cill Rialaig (16/1)
2009 – Drill Sergeant (14/1)
2008 – Sugar Ray (8/1)
2007 – Pevensey (8/1)
2006 – Young Mick (28/1)
2005 – Notable Guest (4/1)
2004 – Wunderwood (15/2)
2003 – Waverley (14/1)

Duke of Edinburgh Key Trends

18/19 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
17/19 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
17/19 – Had at least 2 previous career wins to their name
16/19 – Carried 9-0 or more
14/19 – Placed last time out
12/19 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
12/19 – Had won over 1m4f before
11/19 – Trained by Hughie Morrison (4), Mark Johnston (3) or Sir Michael Stoute (4)
9/19 – Had run at Ascot before
8/19 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
7/19 – Ran at either York or Epsom last time (inc 7 of last 10 winners)
6/19 – Ran at Newmarket last time
5/19 – Unplaced favourites
5/19 – Winning favourites
4/19 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
15 of the last 16 winners came from a double-figure stall

TQ VERDICT: JUST FINE
TQ DANGER: AJERO

4.20 - Coronation Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m ITV

Coronation Stakes Past Winners

2021 – Alcohol Free (11/2)
2020 – Apline Star (9/2)
2019 – Watch Me (20/1)
2018 – Alpha Centauri (11/4 fav)
2017 – Winter (4/9 fav)
2016 – Qemah (6/1)
2015 – Ervedya (3/1)
2014 – Rizeena (11/2)
2013 – Sky Lantern (9/2 jfav)
2012 – Fallen For You (12/1)
2011 – Immortal Verse (8/1)
2010 – Lillie Langtry (7/2 fav)
2009 – Ghanaati (2/1 fav)
2008 – Lush Lashes (5/1)
2007 – Indian Ink (8/1)
2006 – Nannina (6/1 jfav)
2005 – Maids Causeway (9/2)
2004 – Attraction (6/4 fav)
2003 – Russian Rhythm (4/7 fav)
2002 – Sophisticat (11/2)

Coronation Stakes Recent Trends

20/20 – Had won over at least 7f before
18/20 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
16/20 – Had between 1 and 2 previous runs that season
15/20 – Had won a Group 1 or 2 previously
13/20 – Had won over at least a 1 mile before
9/20 – Had run at Ascot before (3 winners)
9/20 – Ran in that season’s English 1,000 Guineas
8/20 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
8/20 – Unplaced last time out
5/20 – Ran in that season’s Irish 1,000 Guineas
3/20 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
14 of the last 16 winners returned 8/1 or shorter
No winners from stall 1 in the last 16 runnings
13 of the last 16 winners came from stalls 5 or higher
Just 4 horses placed from stall 2 (2nd ) in the last 16 runnings
9 of the last 16 winners were non UK-trained – French (4), Irish (5)

TQ VERDICT: INSPIRAL
TQ DANGER: CACHET

5.00 - Sandringham Handicap (Listed Race) 1m ITV

Sandringham Handicap Recent Winners

2021 – Create Belief (6/1)
2020 – Onassis (33/1)
2019 – Thanks Be (33/1)
2018 – Agrotera (11/2 fav)
2017 – Con Te Partiro (20/1)
2016 – Persuasive (11/4 fav)
2015 – Osaila (13/2)
2014 – Muteela (9/2 fav)
2013 – Annecdote (11/1)
2012 – Duntle (4/1 fav)
2011 – Rhythm Of Light (8/1)
2010 – Timepiece (5/1)
2009 – Moneycantbuymelove (9/2 fav)
2008 – Festivale (10/1)
2007 – Barshiba (16/1)
2006 – Red Evie (5/1 co-fav)
2005 – Beautyandthebeast (9/2)
2004 – Celtic Heroine (11/1)
2003 – Hold To Ransom (11/1)
2002 – Tashawak (12/1)

Sandringham Handicap Trends

17/20 – Had between 2 and 4 previous runs that season
16/20 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
15/20 – Had never run at Ascot before
15/20 – Had won over at least 7f before
14/20 – Placed in their previous race
13/20 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
12/20 – Carried 8-11 or more
10/20 – Won their last race
9/20 – Returned a double-figure price
8/20 – Had exactly 3 runs already that season
6/20 – Winning favourites (1 co)
4/20 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
3/20 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (7 winners in all)

TQ VERDICT: FRESH HOPE
TQ DANGER: CRENELLE

5.35 - King Edward VII Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m4f ITV

King Edward VII Stakes Recent Winners

2021 – Alenquer (13/8 fav)
2020 – Pyledriver (18/1)
2019 – Japan (6/4 fav)
2018 – Old Persian (9/2)
2017 – Permian (6/1)
2016 – Across The Stars (7/1)
2015 – Balios (3/1)
2014 – Eagle Top (12/1)
2013 – Hillstar (15/2)
2012 – Thomas Chippendale (9/2)
2011 – Nathaniel (11/4 fav)
2010 – Monterosso (7/2)
2009 – Father Time (9/1)
2008 – Campanologist (9/1)
2007 – Boscobel (7/1)
2006 – Papal Bull (5/4 fav)
2005 – Plea Bargain (9/2)
2004 – Five Dynasties (11/4 fav)
2003 – High Accolade (5/2 fav)

King Edward VII Stakes Key Trends

18/19 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
17/19 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the
15/19 – Had never raced at Ascot before
14/19 – Finished in the top three last time out
13/19 – Placed favourites
12/19 - Had won at least 2 previous races during their career
11/19 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
9/19 – Had already won a Listed or better class race
6/19 – Winning favourites
3/19 – Trained by John Gosden
3/19 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
3/19 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
3/19 – Trained by Mark Johnston
Just 1 winner from stall 1 in the last 16 runnings
11 of the last 16 winners came from stalls 4-9 (inc)
13 of the last 15 winners returned 9/1 or shorter

TQ VERDICT: OTTOMAN FLEET
TQ DANGER: LYSANDER

6.10 - Palace Of Holyroodhouse Handicap (3yo) 5f ITV

Two previous runnings
Trainer Charlie Fellowes has a 27% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer William Haggas has a 20% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Fahey is just 2 from 31 (6%) with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Hannon is just 5 from 83 (6%) with his 3 year-olds at the track
Significantly (10/1) won this race in 2021
Trainer Karl Burke won this race in 2021
Jockey Clifford Lee won this race in 2021
Trainer Tim Easterby won this race in 2020
Jockey Silvestre De Sousa won this race in 2020

TQ VERDICT: KORKER
TQ DANGER: LADIES CHURCH

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