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19th April 2024

2022 Royal Ascot Free Tips and Trends: DAY ONE (Tues 14th June)

More top action in June as the horse racing bandwagon turns its attention to the 2022 Royal Ascot Meeting. The five-day meeting (Tues 14th-Sat 18th June) is always one of the highlights on the flat racing calendar.

Like all big race days, here at TQ we've got it all covered with key trends and stats - use these trends to narrow down the field and find the best past profiles of recent winners.

Did you know? 13 of the last 20 King's Stand Stakes winners finished first or second in their last race

 

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2022 Royal Ascot Horse Racing Trends

 

Day One – Tuesday 14th June 2022

 

2.30 - Queen Anne Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) 1m ITV

Recent Queen Anne Stakes Winners

2021 – Palace Pier (2/7 fav)
2020 – Circus Maximus (4/1 fav)
2019 – Lord Glitters (14/1)
2018 – Accidental Agent (33/1)
2017 – Ribchester (11/10 fav)
2016 – Tepin (11/2)
2015 – Solow (11/8 fav)
2014 – Toronado (4/5 fav)
2013 – Declaration Of War (15/2)
2012 – Frankel (1/10 fav)
2011 – Canford Cliffs (11/8)
2010 – Goldikova (11/8 fav)
2009 – Paco Boy (10/3)
2008 – Haradasun (5/1)
2007 – Ramonti (5/1)
2006 – Ad Valorem (13/2)
2005 – Valixir (4/1)
2004 – Refuse To Bend (12/1)
2003 – Dubai Destination (9/2)
2002 – No Excuse Needed (13/2)

Queen Anne Stakes Trends

19/20 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
17/20 – Previous winners over 1 mile
16/20 – Had between 1 and 2 previous runs that season
16/20 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
15/20 – Had already won a Group 1 race
14/20 - Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
14/20 – Won by a 4 year-old
11/20 – Trained by either R Hannon (3), A P O’Brien (4) or Godolphin (4)
10/20 – Had never run at Ascot before
10/20 – Ran in the Lockinge Stakes at Newbury last time out
9/20 – Favourites that were unplaced
9/20 – Won their previous race
7/20 – Winning favourites
4/20  - Ridden by Frankie Dettori
Only 2 winners from Stall 1 in the last 14 runnings
11 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 4 or higher

TQ BEST BET: BAAEED
TQ NEXT BEST: REAL WORLD

 

3.05 - Coventry Stakes (Group 2) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 6f ITV

Recent Coventry Stakes Winners

2021 – Berkshire Shadow (11/1)
2020 – Nando Parrado (150/1)
2019 – Arizona (15/8 fav)
2018 – Calyx (2/1 fav)
2017 – Rajasinghe (11/1)
2016 – Caravaggio (13/8 fav)
2015 – Buratino (6/1)
2014 – The Wow Signal (5/1 jfav)
2013 – War Command (20/1)
2012 – Dawn Approach (7/2)
2011 – Power (4/1 fav)
2010 – Strong Suit (15/8 fav)
2009 – Canford Cliffs (7/4 fav)
2008 – Art Connoisseur (8/1)
2007 – Henrythenavigator (11/4 fav)
2006 – Hellvelyn (4/1 jfav)
2005 – Red Clubs (11/2)
2004 – Iceman (5/1 jfav)
2003 – Three Valleys (7/1)
2002 – Statue Of Liberty (16/1)

Coventry Stakes Trends

19/20 – Won their previous race
18/20 – Had never raced at Ascot before
16/20 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
17/20 – Had between 1 and 2 previous career runs
15/20 - Came from the top three in the betting
15/20 - Foaled in either Feb or March
12/20 – Won over 6f before
10/20 – Winning favourites (3 joint)
8/20 – Ran at either Newbury or Newmarket last time out
6/20 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
2/20 – Trained by Richard Hannon
1/20 - Won by a Jan foal
12 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 6 or higher
8 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 9-19 (inc)

TQ BEST BET: PERSIAN FORCE
TQ NEXT BEST: BLACKBEARD

 

3.40 - King´s Stand Stakes (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (3yo+) 5f ITV

Recent King’s Stand Stakes Winners

2021 – Oxted (4/1)
2020 – Battaash (5/6 fav)
2019 – Blue Point (5/2)
2018 – Blue Point (6/1)
2017 – Lady Aurelia (7/2)
2016 – Profitable (4/1)
2015 – Goldream (20/1)
2014 – Sole Power (5/1)
2013 – Sole Power (8/1)
2012 - Little Bridge (12/1)
2011 - Prohibit (7/1)
2010 - Equiano (9/2)
2009 - Scenic Blast (11/4 fav)
2008 - Equiano (22/1)
2007 - Miss Andretti (3/1 fav)
2006 - Takeover Target (7/1)
2005 - Chineur (7/1)
2004 - The Tatling (8/1)
2003 – Choisir (25/1)

King’s Stand Stakes Trends

20/20 – Aged 7 or younger
18/20 – Had won a Group race before
17/20 – Aged 4 or older
17/20 – Had won over 5f before
15/20 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/20 – Finished first or second last time out
13/20 – Had run at Ascot before (8 had won at the track)
11/20 – Favourites placed
10/20 – Won by a non-UK based trained horse
6/20 – Ran at either Flemington (3) or Chantilly (3) last time out
6/20 – Favourites that finished third
3/20 – Won by an Australian-trained horse
3/20 – 3 Year-old winners
4/20 – Winning favourites
A horse from stalls 9, 11 & 14 has been placed in 13 of the last 14 runnings

TQ BEST BET: NATURE STRIP
TQ NEXT BEST: KING'S LYNN

 

4.20 - St James´s Palace Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m ITV

Recent St James’s Palace Stakes Winners

2021 – Poetic Flare (7/2 fav)
2020 – Palace Pier (4/1)
2019 – Circus Maximus (10/1)
2018 – Without Parole (9/4 fav)
2017 – Barney Roy (5/2)
2016 – Galileo Gold (6/1)
2015 – Gleneagles (8/15 fav)
2014 – Kingman (8/11 fav)
2013 – Dawn Approach (5/4 fav)
2012 – Most Improved (9/1)
2011 – Frankel (3/10 fav)
2010 – Canford Cliffs (11/4 jfav)
2009 – Mastercraftsman (5/6 fav)
2008 – Henrythenavigator (4/7 fav)
2007 – Excellent Art (8/1)
2006 – Araafa (2/1 fav)
2005 – Shamardal (7/4 fav)
2004 – Azamour (9/2)
2003 - Zafeen (8/1)
2002 – Rock Of Gibraltar (4/5 fav)

St James’s Palace Stakes Trends

20/20 - Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
16/20 – Had either 2 or 3 previous runs that season
17/20 – Favourites that were placed
17/20 – Had won over a mile before
15/20– Previous Group 1 or 2 winners
13/20 – Previous Group 1 winners
13/20 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
12/20 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
11/20 – Won their previous race
10/20 – Ran in the Irish 2000 Guineas (Curragh) last time out (7 won it)
9/20 – Irish-trained winners
6/20 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien
5/20 – Had run at Ascot before
Just 2 winners from stall 1 or 2 in the last 14 runnings
6 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 4 or 5

TQ BEST BET: COROEBUS
TQ NEXT BEST: MY PROSPERO

 

5.00 - Ascot Stakes (Handicap) (CLASS 2) (4yo+ 0-95) 2m4f ITV

Ascot Stakes Recent Winners

2021 – Reshoun (66/1)
2020 – Coeur De Lion (16/1)
2019 – The Grand Visir (12/1)
2018 – Lagostovegas (10/1)
2017 – Thomas Hobson (4/1 fav)
2016 – Jennies Jewel (6/1)
2015 – Clondaw Warrior (5/1 fav)
2014 – Domination (12/1)
2013 – Well Sharp (9/1)
2012 – Simenon (8/1)
2011 – Veiled (11/2)
2010 – Junior (17/2)
2009 – Judgethemoment (13/2)
2008 – Missoula (20/1)
2007 – Full House (20/1)
2006 – Baddam (33/1)
2005 – Leg Spinner (9/1)
2004 – Double Obsession (25/1)
2003 – Sindapour (12/1)
2002 – Riyadh (7/1 fav)

Ascot Stakes Trends

17/20 – Carried 9-0 or more
15/20 – Won by a stable better known for their NH runners
15/20 – Had at least 1 previous run on the flat that season
14/20 – Had won over at least 2m on the flat before
11/20 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
11/20 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/20 – Won their previous race
4/20 – Trained by Willie Mullins (4 of the last 10)
3/20 – Trained by the Pipe stable
3/20 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (3 of the last 10)
3/20 – Winning favourites
2/20 – Trained by Ian Williams
Just one winner (or placed) horse from stall 1 placed in the last 14 runnings

TQ BEST BET: PIED PIPER
TQ NEXT BEST: COLTRANE

 

5.35 - Wolferton Rated Stakes (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (4yo+ 0-110) 1m2f ITV4

Wolferton Rated Stakes Recent Winners

2021 – Juan Elcano (14/1)
2020 – Mountain Angel (8/1)
2019 – Addeybb (5/1)
2018 – Monarchs Glen (8/1)
2017 – Snoano (25/1)
2016 – Sir Isaac Newton (7/1)
2015 – Mahsoob (7/4 fav)
2014 – Contributer (9/1)
2013 – Forgotten Voice (12/1)
2012 – Gatewood (3/1 fav)
2011 – Beachfire (12/1)
2010 – Rainbow Peak (13/8 fav)
2009 – Perfect Stride (8/1)
2008 – Supaseus (12/1)
2007 – Championship Point (25/1)
2006 – I’m So Lucky (16/1)
2005 – Imperial Stride (25/1)
2004 – Red Fort (6/1)
2003 – In Time’s Eye (5/1)

 

Wolferton Rated Stakes Key Trends

14/19 – Had between 1 and 3 runs already that season
14/19 – Finished unplaced last time out
13/19 – Had won 3 or more races during their career
13/19 – Aged 4 years-old
12/19 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
11/19 – Unplaced favourites
11/19 – Had run at Ascot before
9/19 – Returned a double-figure price
7/19 – Ran at either York (4) or Goodwood (3) last time out
4/19 – Trained by John Gosden (4 of last 11)
3/19 – Trained at Kremlin House Stables (Roger Varian/M Jarvis)
2/19 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/19 – Winning favourites
12 of the last 16 winners returned 7/1 or bigger
Juan Elcano (14/1) won the race in 2021

TQ BEST BET: JUAN ELCANO
TQ NEXT BEST: HARROVIAN

 

6.10 - Copper Horse Handicap (4yo+) 1m6f ITV4

Just the two previous runnings
Trainer John Gosden won this race in 2021
Trainer Roger Varian won this race in 2020
Trainer Kevin Philippart De Foy has a 67% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer John Gosden has a 20% record with his runners at the track with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Alan King has a 24% record with his runners at the track with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer David O’Meara is just 3-from-110 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Hannon is just 2-from-79 with his 4+ year-olds at the track

TQ BEST BET: CLEVELAND
TQ NEXT BEST: BANDINELLI