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28th October 2020

Betfair Chase Trends and Free Tips

Staged at Haydock Park racecourse the Betfair Chase Registered as the Lancashire Chase) is a Grade One race and is run over a slightly longer trip (3m1f). The contest is a fairly new one, being first run in 2005 and takes place in November each season.

Trainer Paul Nicholls has made the race his own, winning the decent prize 6 times in the last 11 years, including four times with Kauto Star, while for the last two years we've seen the popular grey Bristol De Mai land the pot.

Here at TQ we are on hand with all the key stats ahead of the 2019 renewal – this year run on Saturday November 23rd.

 

Recent Betfair Chase Winners

2018 - BRISTOL DE MAI (13/2)
2017 - BRISTOL DE MAI (11/10 fav)
2016 – CUE CARD (15/8 fav)
2015 – CUE CARD (7/4)
2014 - SILVINIACO CONTI (10/3)
2013 – CUE CARD (9/1)
2012 – SILVINIACO CONTI (7/4)
2011 – KAUTO STAR (6/1)
2010 – IMPERIAL COMMANDER (10/11 fav)
2009 – KAUTO STAR (4/6 fav)
2008 – SNOOPY LOOPY (33/1)
2007 – KAUTO STAR (4/5 fav)
2006 – KAUTO STAR (11/10 fav)
2005 – KINGSCLIFF (8/1)

Key Betfair Chase Betting Trends

14 Previous runnings
12/14 - Won over at least 3m (fences) previously
11/14 - Raced within the last 4 weeks
11/14 – Won by and Irish (3) or French (8) bred horse
11/14 - Placed in the top three in their last race
11/14 - Won a Grade One chase previously
10/14 - Raced at Haydock previously
10/14 - Officially rating of 168 or higher
9/14 – Favourites placed
8/14 – Aged 8 or older
7/14 - Raced at Wetherby in the Charlie Hall last time out
7/14 - Winning distance - 2 ½ lengths or less
7/14 – Won by a previous winner of the race
6/14 – Winning favourites
5/14 – Won their latest race
4/14 - Raced at Aintree last time out
Bristol De Mai has won the last two runnings
The average winning price in the last 14 runnings is 11/2
The Paul Nicholls yard has won the prize in 2006, 2007, 2009, 2011, 2012 & 2014
The Nigel Twiston-Davies yard has won the prize in 2010, 2017 and 2018
The Colin Tizzard yard has won the prize in 2013, 2015 and 2016

 

TQ VERDICT: A small but select field line-up for another Betfair Chase, but what the race lacks in quantity it makes up for in quality. Last season’s Ryanair Chase hero – Frodon – can be expected to run well and will be a lot fitter for his return run at Aintree. The low sun that day meant that some of the fences were taking out and connections felt that was against Frodon, whose jumping is a big asset. He’s a course winner here too and the Nicholls record in the race is second-to-none – 6 wins since 2006. The Colin Tizzard yard have a fair recent record in the race too, with three wins since 2013. They pin their hopes on Lostintranslation here and after winning well on his return at Carlisle is a player. However, the form took a bit of a knock with the runner-up Count Meribel not running as well as expected in the BetVictor Gold Cup last weekend and this 7 year-old is still rated 9lbs off the winner of this race for the last two seasons – BRISTOL DE MAI. Now, for whatever reason the current champ of this race seems to save his best for Haydock and is now 4-from-4 at the track. He’s still only 8 years-old and this poplar grey is expected to take all the beating at this favourite course again. Twiston-Davies should also know where he stands with Lostintranslation, as he trains Count Meribel, who was second to that that horse last time. Bristol is back from 233 days off, but has gone well fresh in the past and has won this race twice before off a lay-off. He cats well in soft/heavy ground but also took the price on good ground last year, so conditions are not a real concern, while the Twiston-Davies yard seem to have their horses in decent order. This popular grey is expected to make it 5-from-5 at the track and land this race for a third time. Ballyoptic, another Twiston-Davies runner, makes up the field and has come back this season in great order with two wins, but is still rated 11lbs off his stablemate.

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