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31st October 2020

Old Newton Cup Free Tips and Trends

Run over 1m4f the Bet365 Old Newton Cup is staged at Haydock racecourse.

This handicap race has seen 11 of the last 18 renewals being won by a 4 year-olds, while 13 of the last 18 winners carried 9-1 or less in weight.

We give you all the key stats ahead of the 2020 renewal, this year run on Sunday July 5th.

Recent Old Newton Cup Winners

2019 – Kelly’s Dino (14/1)
2018 – Rainbow Rebel (12/1)
2017 – Dylan Mouth (25/1)
2016 – Tawdeea (8/1)
2015 – Notarised (12/1)
2014 – De Rigueur (9/1)
2013 – Star Lahib (8/1)
2012 – Number Theory (8/1)
2011 – Halicarnassus (14/1)
2010 – Dangerous Midge (17/2)
2009 – Red Merlin (15/2 jfav)
2008 – Mad Rush (5/2 fav)
2007 – Dansili Dancer (15/2)
2006 – Consular (16/1)
2005 – Zeitgeist (9/1)
2004 – Alkaased (7/1)
2003 – Collier Hill (8/1)
2002 – Sun Bird (40/1)

Key Old Newton Cup Betting Trends

16/18 – Had won a race over 1m4f before
14/18 – Aged 5 or younger
14/18 – Officially rated between 89 and 97
13/18 – Won no more than 5 times before
13/18 – Carried 9-1 or less
12/18 – Drawn in stall 13 or lower
12/18 – Had won at least 3 times before
11/18 – Favourites placed in the top 4
11/18 – Aged 4 years-old
10/18 – Irish or USA bred
10/18 – Carried 8-12 or less
9/18 – Raced within the last 7 days
7/18 – Winners that came from the top 3 in the betting
7/18 – Placed horses (top three) from stall 4
6/18 – Had won a race at Haydock before
5/18 – Won last time out
4/18 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/18 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/18 – Trained by Clive Cox
2/18 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
The average winning SP in the last 18 years is 12/1

TQ VERDICT: 19 runners here but some fair trends to note. With 14 of the last 18 winners aged 5 or younger, then this is a negative for the likes of Scarlet Dragon, Frankuus, Anythingtoday, Euchen Glen, Hochfeld, Star Of The East & Glencadam Glory, who are all 6+ year-olds. 13 of the last 18 carried 9-1 or less in weight, while 12 of the last 18 came from stalls 13 or lower. Taking all that into account the Mark Johnston runner THE TRADER (e/w) ticks a lot of the main trends. This 4 year-old has still 1 and only 9-0 to carry. He was a nice winner at HQ last month on his return to the track and a 6lb rise for that looks fair as he won by just under 3 lengths. Jockey PJ McDonald rides too and he’s got a great record on the horse 1-2-3-1! Of the rest, the Stoute runner – Laafy – is sure to attract attention and we can expect the Balding runner – Ranch Hand – to have improved for it’s run last month (6th) at Royal Ascot. But the other pick is LE DON DE VIE (e/w), from the Hughie Morrison team. This 4 year-old ran a cracker to be fourth in the Duke Of Edinburgh Stakes at Royal Ascot last time and despite having 5 ½ lengths to find with the winner of that race – Scarlet Dragon – a combination of that being his first run back and a 7lb swing in the weights suggests there will be less between them here. Course winner, Babbo’s Boy, Deja and Dal Horrisgle are three others that could easily go well in a very competitive handicap.

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