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8th December 2021

Saturday Racing Tips and Trends: 30th October 2021

Another cracking Saturday of LIVE ITV Racing and it’s jumping all the way!

At Wetherby, the Grade Two Charlie Hall Chase is their main event, while at Ascot the competitive Sodexo Gold Cup Handicap is always a competitive affair to unravel.

Did you know? Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies has won the Charlie Hall Chase six times

To help, here at TQ we're on hand with all the key race trends for this Saturday’s LIVE ITV races - use these stats to whittle down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/Sky)

 

1.35 - Ascot Underwriting Chase (A Novices´ Limited Handicap) Cl3 2m3f ITV4

8 previous runnings
8/8 – Aged 7 or younger
7/8 – Irish bred
7/8 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
6/8 – Yet to win over fences
5/8 – Aged 6 year-old
3/8 – Had run at Ascot before
2/8 – Winning favourites

TQ BEST BET: SIZABLE SAM
TQ DANGER: KID COMMANDO

 

2.10 – Bateaux London Handicap Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 2m ITV4

17/17 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
17/17 – Had won over at 2m or 2m1f over hurdles before
14/17 – Never raced at Ascot before
14/17 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles
10/17 – Having their first run of the season
9/17 – Unplaced last time out
9/17 – Placed favourites
8/17 – Winning favourites (1 co, 2 joint)
6/17 – Ran at Huntingdon (3) or Aintree (3) last time out
7/17 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
6/17 – Won by a French bred horse
4/17 – Ridden by a conditional jockey
3/17 – Won by trainer Alan King, including two of last 4 renewals
2/17 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/17 – Won by trainer Paul Nicholls
2/17 - Won by trainer Nicky Henderson
7 of the last 12 winners were aged 5 years-old

TQ BEST BET: SOARING GLORY
TQ DANGER: WILD MAX

 

2.45 – Byrne Group Handicap Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 2m1f ITV4

15/18 – Aged 8 years-old or younger
13/18 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
12/18 – Irish (5) or French (7) bred
12/18 – Had won between 1-3 times over fences before
10/18 – Having their first run of the new season
10/18 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
8/18 – Rated 130 or lower
8/18 – Unplaced favourites
6/18 – Won last time out
5/18 – Aged 8 years-old
4/18 – Ran at either Ascot (2) or Aintree (2) last time out
4/18 – Won carrying 11-12
4/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/18 – Winning favourites
3/18 – Trained by Venetia Williams
Amoola Gold (9/2) won the race in 2020
Diego Du Charmil (13/2) won the race in 2019

TQ BEST BET: SULLY D'OC AA
TQ DANGER: ONE FOR ROSIE


3.20 – Bateaux London Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m ITV4

16/16 – Had won a chase race over at least 2m4f before
13/16 – Didn’t win last time out
12/16 – Had run at Ascot before (6 won)
11/16 – Carried 10-10 or more
10/16 – Had won at least 3 times over fences before
10/16 – Aged 8 or older
10/16 – Having their first run of the season
9/16 – Unplaced favourites
9/16 – Had won a chase race over at least 3m before
9/16 – Unplaced in their last race
9/16 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or more
6/16 – Officially rated 135 to 138 inc
6/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
4/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/16 – Trained by Gary Moore
2/16 – Ran at Sandown last time out
2/16 – Ridden by Aidan Coleman
Vinndication (2/1 fav) won the race in 2019
Regal Encore won the race in 2020
9 of the last 11 winners were aged 9 or younger
Go Conquer won the race in 2017 and was third in 2018

TQ BEST BET: VINNDICATION
TQ DANGER: REGAL ENCORE

 

Wetherby Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.20 - bet365 Handicap Chase Cl3 (4yo+ 0-125) 2m3 1/2f ITV4

Just 3 previous runnings
2/3 – Winning favourites
2/3 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
Trainer Tom George won the race in 2020
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies won the race in 2019
Trainer Charlie Longsdon won the 2018 running

TQ BEST BET: GERICAULT ROQUE
TQ DANGER: TEMPLEHILLS

 

1.55 – bet365 Mares´ Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 2m110y ITV4

13/14 – Had won over at least 2m1f over hurdles before
12/14 – Had between 2-5 previous hurdles wins to their name
11/14 – Having their first run of the season
10/14 – Never raced at Wetherby before
9/14 – Placed favourites
9/14 – Had won a NH Flat race previously
8/14 – Finished unplaced last time out
7/14 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
5/14 – Winning favourites
4/14 – Ran at Punchestown last time out
2/14 – Trained by John Quinn
Mrs Hyde (6/1) won the race in 2020

TQ BEST BET: MIRANDA
TQ DANGER: HER INDOORS

 

2.30 – bet365 Hurdle (West Yorkshire Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m26y ITV4

19/19 – Had won over at least 2m3f over hurdles before
18/19 – Had won at least 3 times over hurdles before
17/19 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
16/19 – Won this on their seasonal reappearance
16/19 – Failed to win their last race
14/19 – Officially rated 149 or higher
13/19 – Placed favourites
13/19 – Aged 6,7 or 8 years-old
11/19 – Finished unplaced last time out
10/19 – Ran at either Aintree (5) or Cheltenham (5) last time out
7/19 – Had won at Wetherby before
5/19 – Winning favourites
3/19 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
3/19 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/19 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
Roksana (13/8) won this race in 2020
The Worlds End (7/2) won this race in 2019

TQ BEST BET: PAISLEY PARK
TQ DANGER: INDEFATIGABLE

 

3.05 – bet365 Charlie Hall Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 3m1f ITV

17/19 – Rated 151 or higher
16/19 – Were having their first run of the season
16/19 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
15/19 – Had won over at least 3m over fences before
14/19 – Aged 8 or older
13/19 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
12/19 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
11/19 – Ran at Ayr (3), Aintree (6) or Cheltenham (2) last time out
11/19 – Placed favourites
8/19 – Had run at Wetherby before (4 won)
7/19  - Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
4/19 – Winning favourites
4/19 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies (6 wins in total)
2/19 - Trained by Paul Nicholls (4 wins in total)
2/19 – Trained by Evan Williams
Nigel Twiston-Davies has won the race in 1992, 1994, 2005, 2007, 2017 and 2019
The average winning SP in the last 19 runnings is 13/2

TQ BEST BET: CYRNAME
TQ DANGER: CLONDAW CASTLE

 

Down Royal Horse Racing Trends

2.50 – Ladbrokes Champion Chase (Grade 1) 3m ITV4

14/16 – Had won at least a Grade 2 Chase before
13/16 – Had won at least 5 times over fences before
12/16 – Aged 8 or older
12/16 – Had won over at least 3m over fences before
12/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
11/16 – Winning distance 2 ½ lengths or more
11/16 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
9/16 – Had won a Grade 1 Chase before
7/16 – Having their first run of the season (including 6 of last 9 winners)
7/16 – Winning favourites
7/16 – Had run at Down Royal before
5/16 – Won their last race
4/16 – Trained by Gordon Elliott (4 of the last 8)
4/16 – Raced at Aintree last time out
4/16 – Raced at Limerick last time out
4/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/16 - Trained by Noel Meade (3 of the last 7)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

TQ BEST BET: MINELLA INDO
TQ DANGER: FRODON

 

 

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