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19th June 2021

1000 Guineas Free Tips and Betting Trends

First run back in 1814, the 1,000 Guineas is a Group One flat race run over 1m just for 3 year-old fillies. The contest is one of the five English Classics and staged at Newmarket racecourse in late April or early May each year.

It’s the second of the five English Classics with the 2,000 Guineas run the day before being the first, while winners of this race often go onto run well in that year’s Epsom Oaks the following month – the last horses to land both races in the same season was Kazzia in 2002 and Minding in 2016.

Here at TRAINERS-QUOTES we look back at recent winners and gives you the key stats to take into the 2021 renewal – this year run on Sunday 2nd May.

Did you know? 17 of the last 19 1,000 Guineas winners finished in the top three last time out?

 

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Recent 1,000 Guineas Winners

2020 - Love (4/1)
2019 – Hermosa (14/1)
2018 - Billesdon Brook (66/1)
2017 - Winter (9/1)
2016 – Minding (11/10 fav)
2015 – Legatissimo (13/2)
2014 – Miss France (7/1)
2013 – Sky Lantern (9/1)
2012 - Homecoming Queen (25/1)
2011 – Blue Bunting (16/1)
2010 – Special Duty (9/2 fav)
2009 – Ghanaati (20/1)
2008 – Natagora (11/4 fav)
2007 – Finsceal Beo (5/4 fav)
2006 – Speciosa (10/1)
2005 – Virginia Waters (12/1)
2004 – Attraction (11/2)
2003 – Russian Rhythm (12/1)
2002 – Kazzia (14/1)

Note: The 2020 running was staged in June (Covid-19)

1,000 Guineas Betting Trends

17/19 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
15/19 – Had won between 2-3 times before
14/19 – Had won a Group race before
13/19 – Drawn between 2-13 (inc)
12/19 – Yet to win a race over a mile (or further)
11/19 – Won their previous race
11/19 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
11/19 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
11/19 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) before
9/19 – Returned a double-figure price
9/19 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
9/19 – Won on their seasonal reappearance
8/19 – Favourites unplaced
8/19 – Irish-trained winners
7/19 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) before
6/19 – Drawn in stalls 7 or 8
6/19 – Previous Group One winners
5/19 – Went onto win the Coronation Stakes at Royal Ascot
4/19 – Won by a US bred horse
4/19 – Won by the favourite
4/19 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/19 – French-trained winners
3/19 – Went onto finish fourth in the Epsom Oaks
2/19 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
3/19 – Went onto win the Epsom Oaks (Kazzia 2002, Minding 2016, Love 2020)
Just one horse placed from stall 1 in the last 13 runnings
9 of the last 13 winners came between stalls 2-8 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 19 years is 13/1

1,000 Guineas Facts

Owner Hamdam Al Maktoum has won the race 5 times (1990, 1991, 1995, 2000 & 2009)
Frankie Dettori has ridden the ridden the winner 3 times (1998, 2002 & 2011)
Ryan Moore has ridden the winner 4 times (2012, 2015, 2016, 2020)
Godolphin have won the race 3 times (1998, 2002 & 2011)
Aidan O’Brien has trained six winners, Virginia Waters (2005), Homecoming Queen (2012), Minding (2016), Winter (2017), Hermosa (2019), Love (2020)

TQ VERDICT: A decent renewal that will give us plenty of clues for the season ahead for the Classic generation. Nell Gwyn first and second – Sacred and Saffron Beach – renew rivalry here, but the last horse to win both races was Speciosa in 2006, so last month’s race has a bit to prove in terms of being a decent trial for the 1,000 Guineas. Alcohol Free battled on well to win the Fred Darling on her return at Newbury last month and having landed the G1 Cheveley Park Stakes here over 6f last September then we know the track suits – but the extra furlong is the unknown. Therefore, it’s hard to get away from the Aidan O’Brien runner in the race – SANTA BARBARA – who represents a yard that have a cracking record in the race (6 wins), including the last two renewals. This 3 year-old won well on debut at The Curragh back in September, but the key is that win came over a mile so we know she’ll be fine over this trip – most of her rivals are unproven over it. Yes, she’s actually bred to stay further too, so there is every chance we’ll see this Oaks entry being stepped up in trip after this, but I’ll take her to land the second of the English Classics and the seventh in this race for trainer Aidan O’Brien. Of the others, O’Brien also runs Mother Earth and Frankie has been booked to ride, so she can’t be ruled out at a bigger price, while Statement and Vadream are race fit from decent recent runs and could sneak into the frame at nice odds if the race falls apart a bit.

 

 

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